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SDGR
ACCE-researched

Schrodinger Inc. Common Stock (SDGR) fair value

Healthcare · Health Information Services · NASDAQ · United States
$23.80+5.31%
Market cap $1.7BNext earnings 2026-11-04Updated Oct 24, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 21% above our fair value
Price
$23.80
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $19.64
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a loss-making company: Sales comps and Analyst consensus.
ACCE opinionSchrodinger Inc. Common Stock (SDGR)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
$21.00
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $23.80 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Analyst consensus and Sales comps.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
41
out of 100
Analysts
71% buy
7 covering
P/E
0.0x
forward 0.0x
1-year return
+8.4%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Schrodinger Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Schrodinger sells physics-based molecular simulation software to drug and materials researchers, and develops its own drug candidates. Its software is used in drug discovery workflows and earns licence revenue with a 56.9% gross margin. Growth depends on software adoption and milestone payments from its pipeline. Revenue grew 7.5% but the operating margin is -70.5%, so cost discipline and pipeline progress are the questions.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 14, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Negative FCF and cash burn
    FCF is -$29.2M while revenue grows only 7.5% YoY. Burn rate unsustainable without capital raise or path to profitability.
  • high
    Operating margin deeply negative
    Operating margin -70.6% with net margin -21.0%. Company loses money on every dollar of sales; no clear timeline to breakeven.
  • high
    High short interest with insider selling
    Short interest 26.6% combined with $0.94M insider sales (no buys) in last 10 disclosures. Suggests insiders lack conviction.
  • moderate
    Valuation disconnect from fundamentals
    P/S 7.9 at $27.28 vs ACCE fair value $21.00. Stock trades 30% above model midpoint despite negative earnings and cash burn.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue growth accelerated to 12.2% annually over five years, showing the core business model is gaining traction despite near-term headwinds.
  • The stock beat earnings expectations by 113.3% in the latest quarter, suggesting management is executing better than consensus anticipated.
  • Analyst consensus rates 71% of coverage as Buy or Strong Buy, indicating professional investors see value at current levels.
Why it could disappoint
  • The company burned 29 million dollars in free cash flow last year and operates at a negative 21.0% net margin with no clear path to profitability.
  • Analyst mean price target of 21.43 dollars implies 21.4% downside from the current 27.28 dollar share price.
  • Revenue growth has decelerated sharply to 7.5% year over year, far below the historical 12.2% average needed to justify current valuation.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 4, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where SDGR's valuation models land
Price
$23.80
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $19.64
Model
Fair value
Upside
Analyst consensus
Sales comps
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish71% buy · 7 covering analysts
● Strong buy 5● Buy 0● Hold 2● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+5.3%
1 month
-18.6%
3 months
+59.0%
6 months
+101.9%
YTD
+33.1%
1 year
+8.4%

SEC filings

Held by ETFs

ETFs we cover that hold Schrodinger Inc. Common Stock among their largest holdings, by weight.

  • ARKG · ARK Genomic Revolution ETF2.6% of the fund
Holdings as of 2026-10-24

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$21.00first publication$28.85

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth28Value13Quality39Momentum83Total41
Valuation
Trailing P/E
0.0x
Forward P/E
0.0x
PEG
no data
P/B
6.65x
EV / Revenue
7.3x
Book value/sh
$4.51
Enterprise value
$1.9B
Profitability
ROE
-16.2%
FCF yield
0.74%
ROIC
-17.9%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.30
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.62

Price

+5.7% · 1Y

Ask anything about SDGR

Answered from Schrodinger Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0x0.0xhigh 79.1x
ROEbetter than 0% of peers
low -16%-16%high 6%
Div yieldbetter than 83% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 0.4%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
SDGR Schrodinger Inc. Common Stock$23.80----16.2%3941
OMCL Omnicell Inc. Common Stock ($0.001 par value)$37.75$372% above44.9x3.1%5559
CERT Certara Inc. Common Stock$10.33$822% above--2.2%4744
GDRX GoodRx Holdings Inc. Class A Common Stock$3.54$535% below70.8x2.5%5451
OMDA Omada Health Inc. Common Stock$18.95--79.1x1.8%4347
TDOC Teladoc Health Inc. Common Stock$6.34----13.0%4338
HSTM HealthStream Inc. Common Stock$35.16$2171% above46.7x6.0%7171

Sector report card

Where SDGR ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 14, 2026
    Schrödinger Research Published in Nature Reveals New Insights into Lithium-Ion Battery Chemistry
  • Business Wire•Sep 17, 2026
    Schrödinger Reports Inducement Grants under Nasdaq Listing Rule 5635(c)(4)
  • Business Wire•Sep 9, 2026
    Schrödinger Announces Licensing and Collaboration Agreement with Tectora Therapeutics, a New Biotechnology Company It Co-founded to Advance Immunology and Inflammation Programs
10 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
September 2026
Sep 21
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-17
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 5
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-06-30
View on SEC →
Aug 5
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-05
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR