Market cap $21.3BNext earnings 2026-10-21Updated Oct 23, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 51% above our fair value
Price
$415.62
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$276
Model range
$201 to $411
Fair value $276
Price $416
4 models fit Reliance Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 1 of 4 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Silver73
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionReliance Inc. Common Stock (RS)
Fair value (4 models)
$276
ACCE price target
$443
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CEST; previously $289 since 12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 22 Oct 2026, 01:52 CEST; previously $365 since 25 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CEST.
Price used: $416 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
50.8% above
-33.7% to fair value
ACCE score
76
out of 100
Analysts
22% buy
9 covering
P/E
19.6x
forward 16.4x
1-year return
+51.8%
Dividend yield
0.00%
Reliance Inc. Common Stock in four questions
Plain answers, details below
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Overview
ACCE thesis
Reliance Inc. is the largest metals service center in North America, distributing carbon steel, aluminum, stainless and specialty metals through roughly 300 locations, and processing much of it in-house (cutting, sawing, and value-added fabrication) before it reaches fabricators and manufacturers. Its scale in fragmented distribution is the moat: a national network with broad inventory and processing capability is hard for smaller regional service centers to replicate, and it supports a 28.3% gross margin that sits well above what commodity steel producers earn. The near-term driver is pricing: revenue growth of 26.5% reflects metal price strength flowing through to a distributor that holds inventory, and the company's value-added processing mix is what determines whether that margin holds as prices normalize. At a 16.7x forward P/E against 23.3x trailing, the market is pricing in a meaningful earnings step-up, which makes the next few quarters of margin and volume data the key test. The 9.5% operating margin and 12.2% ROE are the figures to scrutinize, since they indicate how much of the top-line gain is actually reaching shareholders. Worth a deeper look to pressure-test whether current pricing conditions are durable.
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
moderate
Valuation stretched against models
Price trades 50.8% above the model fair value of $275.58, though it sits 6.2% below the ACCE price target of $443.00. Model and target disagree sharply.
moderate
Insider selling without buying
Last 10 disclosed insider transactions total $1.88M in sales and no buys. Insiders own only 0.5% of shares.
AI research notes
AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 24, 2026 · figures from 2026-10-23 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
Revenue grew 26.5% year over year, well above its 10.2% average annual pace over five years.
The company generated $503M of free cash flow over the last twelve months and cut its diluted share count by 6.0%.
Earnings per share of 8.02 beat the 6.76 expected, a surprise of 18.6%, and the stock trades at 16.4x forward earnings against a sector median of 17.1x.
Why it could disappoint
The stock trades 50.8% above the model fair value of $275.58, and four of five valuation models sit well below the share price.
Return on invested capital of 6.6% and a net margin of 5.7% are thin, and earnings may be lifted by elevated metal prices.
At $415.62 the price implies yearly cash flow growth of 5.2% forever, and the free cash flow yield is only 2.4%.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.
Walk me through this stock
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Valuation
INVESTOR
Where RS's valuation models land
Price
$415.62
Model fair value
$276
Model range
$201 to $411
Fair value $276
Price $416
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality
INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE
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