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PKX
ACCE-researched

POSCO HOLDINGS INC. American Depositary Shares (Each representing 1/4th of a share of Common Stock) (PKX) fair value

Basic Materials · Steel · NYSE · United States
$51.32-1.97%
Market cap $15.8BNext earnings 2026-10-26Updated Oct 21, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 18% below our fair value
Price
$51.32
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$62.66
Model range
$30.64 to $83.81
Fair value $62.66
Price $51.32
4 models fit POSCO HOLDINGS INC. American Depositary Shares (Each representing 1/4th of a share of Common Stock) and they partly agree: 2 of 4 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Discount(i)
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionPOSCO HOLDINGS INC. American Depositary Shares (Each representing 1/4th of a share of Common Stock) (PKX)
Fair value (4 models)
$62.66
ACCE price target
$65.00
Rating
Undervalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST; previously $60.32 since 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $51.32 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
18.1% below
+22.1% to fair value
ACCE score
53
out of 100
Analysts
100% buy
1 covering
P/E
16.7x
forward 10.0x
1-year return
-4.5%
Dividend yield
2.95%

POSCO HOLDINGS INC. American Depositary Shares (Each representing 1/4th of a share of Common Stock) in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

POSCO Holdings makes flat-rolled steel for automotive, appliance and construction customers, and its Korean mills supply a large share of the country's carbon steel, with a growing secondary-battery materials business (cathode and anode material, lithium) layered on top. The structural case rests on its integrated Korean steelmaking base and the high-grade automotive and electrical steel it sells into EV and hybrid supply chains. The near-term story is margin repair: revenue is growing 9.7%, but the 4.3% operating margin and 2.2% ROE show that little of that growth is reaching shareholders yet. At 9.7x forward earnings against 17.8x trailing, the market is pricing in a meaningful earnings recovery, so the question for the portfolio manager is whether the battery and steel mix shift can lift margins back toward levels that justify that rerating. The name is not in any index we track, and the 57/100 score reflects thin profitability, so it merits a deeper look only if the margin recovery thesis holds up under review.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 14, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Massive negative free cash flow
    FCF of -$3.46 trillion is implausible or indicates severe working capital deterioration. Steel cycles often trap cash; sustainability unclear.
  • high
    Quality score collapse
    Q-score of 35/100 signals earnings quality concerns. Earnings YoY +328% may not reflect sustainable operational performance.
  • moderate
    Long-term revenue decline
    5-year revenue CAGR of -6.6% masks recent bounce. Cyclical recovery may not persist; structural headwinds in steel demand.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Recent earnings beat expectations by 52.9%, suggesting operational momentum and potential for multiple expansion from the 18.3x trailing P/E.
  • Year-over-year revenue grew 9.7% while share count fell 15.4%, delivering per-share growth even as the core business expanded.
  • Analyst consensus rates the stock a buy with an 18.4% upside to the mean price target of $68.04 from $57.48.
Why it could disappoint
  • Net margin of 1.9% and ROE of 2.2% show the core business generates almost no profit on capital deployed.
  • Free cash flow was negative KRW 3.5T last year and the FCF yield stands at negative 14.8%, signaling cash burn despite earnings.
  • Five-year revenue has declined 6.6% per year on average, indicating the steel business faces structural headwinds despite recent quarterly strength.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Oct 26, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where PKX's valuation models land
Price
$51.32
Model fair value
$62.66
Model range
$30.64 to $83.81
Fair value $62.66
Price $51.32
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish100% buy · 1 covering analyst
● Strong buy 1● Buy 0● Hold 0● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-6.6%
1 month
-8.8%
3 months
-1.9%
6 months
-26.8%
YTD
-3.6%
1 year
-4.5%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CESTFair value$62.66$60.32$56.22
21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CESTRatingFairly valuedfirst publication$56.22
17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$60.32$59.15$55.21
27 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$59.15$60.82$56.95
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$65.00first publication$56.06
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$60.82$60.22$59.05
20 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$60.22$59.50$58.21
17 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$59.50$62.52$59.64
13 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$62.52$63.78$62.94
6 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$63.78$62.99$62.74

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth76Value75Quality35Momentum25Total53
Valuation
Trailing P/E
16.7x
Forward P/E
10.0x
PEG
0.89
P/B
0.43x
EV / Revenue
0.6x
Book value/sh
KRW 36.05
Enterprise value
$30.2B
Profitability
ROE
2.2%
FCF yield
-7.96%
ROIC
0.7%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.51
Dividend yield
2.95%
Beta
1.68

Price

-8.3% · 1Y

Ask anything about PKX

Answered from POSCO HOLDINGS INC. American Depositary Shares (Each representing 1/4th of a share of Common Stock) fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 50% of peers
low 12.5x16.7xhigh 38.0x
ROEbetter than 25% of peers
low 2%2%high 12%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%2.9%high 4.0%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
PKX POSCO HOLDINGS INC. American Depositary Shares (Each representing 1/4th of a share of Common Stock)$51.32$6318% below16.7x2.2%3553
005490.KS POSCO HoldingsKRW 286000.00KRW 34878418% below16.1x2.2%3554
RS Reliance Inc. Common Stock$417.92$27652% above19.6x12.2%6576
5401.T Nippon Steel Corporation¥667.80--12.5x5.5%3974
TATASTEEL.NS Tata Steel Limited₹172.33--18.9x-6057
TX Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value)$55.36$8636% below16.6x4.4%5176
JINDALSTEL.NS Jindal Steel Limited₹1037.00--38.0x-6753

Sector report card

Where PKX ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Sep 24, 2026
    Global Automotive Steel Market Report, 2026 Edition Featuring Profiles of ArcelorMittal, Nippon Steel Corp., POSCO, Tata Steel, Nucor Corp., and China Baowu Steel Group
  • PR Newswire•Sep 9, 2026
    Building Together: HYUNDAI-POSCO Louisiana Steel Marks a Major Milestone, Welcomes Nearly 700 Residents to Community Day
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 4, 2026
    [Latest] Global Iron and Steel Casting Market Size/Share Worth USD 320.07 Billion by 2035 at a 5.59% CAGR: Custom Market Insights (Analysis, Outlook, Leaders, Report, Trends, Forecast, Segmentation, Growth Rate, Value, SWOT Analysis)
7 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
September 2026
Sep 30
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-09-30
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 31
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-08-31
View on SEC →
Aug 18
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-08-18
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR