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RGNX
ACCE-researched

REGENXBIO Inc. Common Stock (RGNX) fair value

Healthcare · Biotechnology · NASDAQ · United States
$6.68-6.83%
Market cap $441MNext earnings 2026-11-05Updated Oct 24, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 60% below our fair value
Price
$6.68
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $16.76
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a loss-making company: Sales comps and Analyst consensus.
ACCE opinionREGENXBIO Inc. Common Stock (RGNX)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
$7.50
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 1 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $6.68 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Analyst consensus and Sales comps.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
32
out of 100
Analysts
83% buy
12 covering
P/E
0.0x
forward 0.0x
1-year return
-46.9%
Dividend yield
0.00%

REGENXBIO Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

REGENXBIO develops gene therapies using its AAV vector platform, and licenses that platform to other drug developers for royalties and fees. Licensing means partners fund part of the development. The catalysts are clinical data and regulatory milestones for its own programmes. Revenue grew 405.7%, though the gross margin is -44.9% and ROE is -137.6%, so revenue is lumpy and tied to deals.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 14, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • severe
    Negative gross margin
    Gross margin of -44.9% indicates the company loses money on each unit sold. This is unsustainable and signals fundamental business model problems.
  • severe
    Massive negative FCF
    Free cash flow of -$184M annually with $533M market cap means the company is burning cash at 34% of its market value per year. Runway is critical.
  • high
    Extreme leverage and losses
    Debt/Equity of 3.49, ROE of -137.6%, and net margin of -112.6% show heavy debt burden combined with severe operating losses. Solvency risk is material.
  • high
    Revenue quality concern
    QoQ growth of +1589.6% is an outlier spike, not sustainable. Combined with negative margins, this suggests one-time or non-recurring revenue rather than durable business growth.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue surged 405.7% year over year, signaling major commercial traction or milestone achievement.
  • Latest earnings beat expectations by 258.3%, suggesting the company is executing better than the street modeled.
Why it could disappoint
  • Net margin of negative 112.6% and free cash flow burn of negative $184M show the company is far from profitability.
  • The 405.7% revenue growth reflects one-time milestone payments, not recurring commercial revenue, making run-rate valuation unreliable.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 5, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where RGNX's valuation models land
Price
$6.68
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $16.76
Model
Fair value
Upside
Analyst consensus
Sales comps
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish83% buy · 12 covering analysts
● Strong buy 7● Buy 3● Hold 2● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-3.6%
1 month
-10.9%
3 months
-31.3%
6 months
-23.7%
YTD
-53.6%
1 year
-46.9%

SEC filings

Recent ACCE blog coverage

  • $RGNX ACCE Score Drops 14 Points to 38 - What Drove It
    REGENXBIO's ACCE composite score fell from 52 to 38. We break down what likely drove the move across growth, value, quality, and momentum.
    2026-08-25

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
1 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$7.50first publication$7.45

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth64Value11Quality34Momentum17Total32
Valuation
Trailing P/E
0.0x
Forward P/E
0.0x
PEG
0.26
P/B
2.50x
EV / Revenue
1.9x
Book value/sh
$1.32
Enterprise value
$289M
Profitability
ROE
-137.6%
FCF yield
-26.70%
ROIC
-43.8%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
2.54
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.13

Price

-51.0% · 1Y

Ask anything about RGNX

Answered from REGENXBIO Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0x0.0xhigh 252.1x
ROEbetter than 0% of peers
low -138%-138%high 16%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 0.7%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
RGNX REGENXBIO Inc. Common Stock$6.68----137.6%3432
ZEAL.CO Zealand Pharma A/Skr 226.00--5.7x16.3%9051
BIOA-B.ST BioArctic AB (publ)kr 300.00kr 25916% above252.1x5.2%6238
BAVA.CO Bavarian Nordic A/Skr 247.40kr 37835% below12.7x12.2%8686
CAMX.ST Camurus AB (publ)kr 666.00kr 325105% above58.8x15.9%9055
BIOCON.NS Biocon Limited₹323.50--95.7x-6752
CORT Corcept Therapeutics Incorporated Common Stock$85.86$40117% above238.5x8.2%7573

Sector report card

Where RGNX ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Oct 12, 2026
    REGENXBIO to Host Investor Event Highlighting Surabgene Lomparvovec (Sura-vec) in Wet AMD on October 20
  • PR Newswire•Sep 24, 2026
    REGENXBIO Presents Positive Three-Year Durability Data for Surabgene Lomparvovec in Diabetic Retinopathy at Retina Society Annual Scientific Meeting
  • PR Newswire•Sep 8, 2026
    REGENXBIO to Participate in Upcoming Investor Conferences
8 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 16
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-14
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 23
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-23
View on SEC →
Sep 3
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-01
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR