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PPL
ACCE-researched

PPL Corporation Common Stock (PPL) fair value

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric · NYSE · United States
$34.98-1.05%
Market cap $26.3BNext earnings 2026-11-04Updated Oct 21, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 23% above our fair value
Price
$34.98
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$28.36
Model range
$19.60 to $35.68
Fair value $28.36
Price $34.98
3 models fit PPL Corporation Common Stock and they disagree: 1 of 3 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Premium(i)
Valued as a utility: Dividend discount, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionPPL Corporation Common Stock (PPL)
Fair value (3 models)
$28.36
ACCE price target
$34.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CEST; previously $29.83 since 12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CEST.
Price used: $34.98 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Dividend discount.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
23.4% above
-18.9% to fair value
ACCE score
55
out of 100
Analysts
76% buy
17 covering
P/E
20.7x
forward 16.5x
1-year return
-6.4%
Dividend yield
3.22%

PPL Corporation Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

PPL Corporation is a regulated electric and gas utility, with its Kentucky Utilities and Louisville Gas and Electric subsidiaries serving customers in Kentucky and its Pennsylvania Electric and PPL Electric Utilities arms serving customers in Pennsylvania. Its moat is the rate base: regulators allow it to earn a set return on infrastructure it builds, which gives predictable earnings with limited competitive exposure. The growth driver is the capital program, as grid hardening, generation investment and load growth from data centers and industrial users feed a larger rate base over time. Revenue grew 4.2%, operating margin is 23.6%, and the forward P/E of 16.2 sits below the trailing 20.3, implying expected earnings growth. The offset is ROE of 8.6%, which is modest and leaves little room for error if regulatory outcomes disappoint, and the stock carries a composite score of 52/100 and no index membership, so the case needs a deeper look at allowed returns and financing costs before it earns a place in the portfolio.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 13, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Negative free cash flow
    FCF is -$1.94B despite positive earnings. Utilities typically generate cash; this signals capital intensity or operational stress requiring scrutiny.
  • high
    Score deterioration
    ACCE score fell 6 points to 51/100 in 90 days. Momentum sub-score at 31/100 is weak. Earnings beat masks underlying weakness.
  • moderate
    Elevated leverage
    Debt/Equity 1.35 is high for a regulated utility. Combined with negative FCF, limits financial flexibility and dividend sustainability.
  • moderate
    Earnings volatility
    QoQ revenue fell 23.9% despite +4.2% YoY growth and +21.2% earnings growth. Lumpy results suggest one-time items or seasonal distortion.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-10-11 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Analyst consensus sees 17.2% upside to $40.13, with 76% of analysts rating Buy or Strong Buy.
  • Forward P/E of 16.2x trades below the 19.8x sector median, offering valuation discount.
  • Dividend yield of 3.3% plus steady 4.2% revenue growth supports income and modest capital appreciation.
Why it could disappoint
  • Negative free cash flow of -1.9B and -7.5% free cash flow yield signal the company cannot fund operations and dividends from operations alone.
  • Consensus fair value of $29.83 sits 12.9% below the current $34.25 share price, suggesting overvaluation.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 4, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where PPL's valuation models land
Price
$34.98
Model fair value
$28.36
Model range
$19.60 to $35.68
Fair value $28.36
Price $34.98
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish76% buy · 17 covering analysts
● Strong buy 9● Buy 4● Hold 4● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-0.5%
1 month
+8.5%
3 months
-3.4%
6 months
-9.7%
YTD
-0.1%
1 year
-6.4%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CESTFair value$28.36$29.83$34.61
21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$34.61
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$29.83$29.46$34.25
8 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$29.46$28.97$33.70
1 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$28.97$29.69$32.58
27 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$29.69$30.01$32.03
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$34.00first publication$32.88
13 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$30.01$30.83$34.08
30 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$30.83$30.36$34.20
22 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$30.36$31.38$34.58

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth56Value57Quality65Momentum40Total55
Valuation
Trailing P/E
20.7x
Forward P/E
16.5x
PEG
0.97
P/B
1.61x
EV / Revenue
4.7x
Book value/sh
$20.00
Enterprise value
$44.3B
Profitability
ROE
8.6%
FCF yield
-5.38%
ROIC
2.8%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
1.30
Dividend yield
3.22%
Beta
0.58

Price

-6.3% · 1Y

Ask anything about PPL

Answered from PPL Corporation Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 67% of peers
low 14.5x20.7xhigh 24.7x
ROEbetter than 20% of peers
low 7%9%high 11%
Div yieldbetter than 33% of peers
low 2.3%3.2%high 4.6%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
PPL PPL Corporation Common Stock$34.98$2823% above20.7x8.6%6555
FE FirstEnergy Corp. Common Stock$46.49$3437% above24.7x9.5%6153
CNP CenterPoint Energy Inc (Holding Co) Common Stock$41.20--24.3x9.8%5755
ES Eversource Energy (D/B/A) Common Stock$67.84$671% above16.9x9.0%5748
DTE DTE Energy Company Common Stock$133.06$11218% above20.9x11.0%4944
POWERGRID.NS Power Grid Corporation of India Limited₹248.40₹20123% above14.5x-8151
FTS.TO FortisC$80.99--23.9x7.5%6956

Sector report card

Where PPL ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Sep 24, 2026
    PPL Electric Utilities selected for U.S. Department of Energy grant for Montour Grid Resilience and Advanced Reconductoring Project
  • PR Newswire•Sep 14, 2026
    PPL Electric Proposes New Customer Protection Transmission Rider, Building on its Existing Customer Protection Framework
  • PR Newswire•Jul 23, 2026
    PPL Corporation signs Ratepayer Protection Pledge and highlights existing customer protections in Pennsylvania and Kentucky
2 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 16
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-15
View on SEC →
Oct 2
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
Oct 2
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR