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FE
ACCE-researched

FirstEnergy Corp. Common Stock (FE) fair value

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric · NYSE · United States
$46.15-0.73%
Market cap $26.7BNext earnings 2026-10-27Updated Oct 21, 2026
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Our verdict
Trades 36% above our fair value
Price
$46.15
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$34.06
Model range
$20.25 to $50.17
Fair value $34.06
Price $46.15
2 models fit FirstEnergy Corp. Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 2 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Premium(i)Bronze40
Valued as a utility: Dividend discount, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Discounted cash flow.
ACCE opinionFirstEnergy Corp. Common Stock (FE)
Fair value (2 models)
$34.06
ACCE price target
$46.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST; previously $35.69 since 12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST.
Price used: $46.15 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: P/E comparison and Dividend discount.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
35.5% above
-26.2% to fair value
ACCE score
53
out of 100
Analysts
56% buy
16 covering
P/E
24.7x
forward 15.7x
1-year return
-0.8%
Dividend yield
4.00%

FirstEnergy Corp. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

FirstEnergy runs regulated electric transmission and distribution utilities across Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Jersey and other states, earning returns on rate base set by state commissions rather than on commodity prices, which makes its earnings stream comparatively predictable. The structural case rests on that regulated rate base growing as utilities replace aging poles, wires and substations, and on the company's transmission assets, which carry federal rate treatment. The near-term story is the forward multiple: trailing P/E of 24.3 compresses to 15.4 on forward earnings, so the market is pricing in a meaningful earnings recovery. Revenue grew 8.8% and the company is a $26.2B market cap with a 9.5% ROE, which is modest for the sector and leaves room for improvement if rate case outcomes cooperate. The composite score of 53/100 and absence from any major index argue this stays a name to scrutinize carefully before anything else, with regulatory risk and the depth of the recovery in earnings as the central questions.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 13, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 5 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Negative free cash flow
    FCF is -$2.0B despite positive earnings. Unsustainable for a utility; signals capital intensity or operational stress.
  • high
    Elevated leverage with weak cash generation
    Debt/Equity 2.01 combined with negative FCF limits financial flexibility and increases refinancing risk.
  • moderate
    ACCE score deterioration
    Score fell 8 points in 90 days (60 to 52). Moat rating (M:31) is particularly weak for a regulated utility.
  • moderate
    Insider selling concentration
    Last 10 disclosures show $3.83M in sales, zero buys. No offsetting insider conviction signal.
  • moderate
    Sequential revenue decline
    QoQ revenue fell 12.5% despite 8.8% YoY growth, suggesting recent deceleration or seasonality concerns.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 8.8% year over year, outpacing the 6.6% five-year average, signaling accelerating demand.
  • Analyst consensus targets $52.67, implying 17.0% upside from the current $45.00 share price.
  • A 4.2% dividend yield combined with 56% of analysts rating Buy or Strong Buy suggests attractive income with conviction.
Why it could disappoint
  • Negative free cash flow of $2.0B over the last twelve months cannot sustain the 4.2% dividend without equity dilution.
  • Debt to equity of 2.01 paired with negative free cash flow yield of -7.7% signals unsustainable capital structure.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Oct 27, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where FE's valuation models land
Price
$46.15
Model fair value
$34.06
Model range
$20.25 to $50.17
Fair value $34.06
Price $46.15
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Mixed56% buy · 16 covering analysts
● Strong buy 5● Buy 4● Hold 7● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
1 buy · 0 sells
Since Jul 10, 2026, 1 member
Average delay
0 days
From trade to public filing
Full trade list on ProDo politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-0.1%
1 month
+5.7%
3 months
-7.6%
6 months
-6.6%
YTD
+3.1%
1 year
-0.8%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$45.72
21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CESTFair value$34.06$35.69$45.72
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$35.69$27.36$45.00
1 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$27.36$27.08$43.64
29 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$27.08$27.54$43.30
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$27.54$28.06$43.19
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$46.00first publication$44.73
17 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$28.06$28.39$45.33
15 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$28.39$28.68$46.13
12 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$28.68$28.98$46.25

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth60Value49Quality61Momentum40Total53
Valuation
Trailing P/E
24.7x
Forward P/E
15.7x
PEG
3.00
P/B
1.95x
EV / Revenue
3.4x
Book value/sh
$22.35
Enterprise value
$54.2B
Profitability
ROE
9.5%
FCF yield
-3.74%
ROIC
2.1%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
2.16
Dividend yield
4.00%
Beta
0.42

Price

-1.1% · 1Y

Ask anything about FE

Answered from FirstEnergy Corp. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 0% of peers
low 14.5x24.7xhigh 24.7x
ROEbetter than 60% of peers
low 7%9%high 11%
Div yieldbetter than 83% of peers
low 2.3%4.0%high 4.6%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
FE FirstEnergy Corp. Common Stock$46.15$3436% above24.7x9.5%6153
CNP CenterPoint Energy Inc (Holding Co) Common Stock$41.20--24.3x9.8%5755
PPL PPL Corporation Common Stock$35.35$2825% above20.7x8.6%6555
DTE DTE Energy Company Common Stock$133.06$11218% above20.9x11.0%4944
ES Eversource Energy (D/B/A) Common Stock$67.84$671% above16.9x9.0%5748
POWERGRID.NS Power Grid Corporation of India Limited₹248.40₹20123% above14.5x-8151
FTS.TO FortisC$80.99--23.9x7.5%6956

Sector report card

Where FE ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Oct 19, 2026
    FirstEnergy Pennsylvania Electric Company Announces Extension of Exchange Offer for its 4.150% Senior Notes Due 2028 and 4.550% Senior Notes Due 2031
  • PR Newswire•Oct 2, 2026
    FirstEnergy to Webcast Third Quarter Earnings Teleconference
  • PR Newswire•Sep 29, 2026
    FirstEnergy Corp. Declares Common Stock Dividend of 46.5 Cents Per Share
13 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 5
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
Oct 5
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
Oct 5
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR