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PCT

PureCycle Technologies Inc. Common stock (PCT) fair value

Industrials · Pollution & Treatment Controls · NASDAQ · United States
$2.77-0.36%
Market cap $559MNext earnings 2026-11-04Updated Oct 17, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 55% below our fair value
Price
$2.77
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $6.10
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a loss-making company: Sales comps and Analyst consensus.
ACCE opinionPureCycle Technologies Inc. Common stock (PCT)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
$4.24
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $2.77 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Analyst consensus and Sales comps.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
26
out of 100
Analysts
40% buy
5 covering
P/E
0.0x
forward 142.9x
1-year return
-78.9%
Dividend yield
0.00%

PureCycle Technologies Inc. Common stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

PureCycle Technologies makes purified recycled polypropylene, a resin it produces by dissolving waste polypropylene and separating out contaminants, aiming to match virgin resin for food-grade and consumer packaging applications. Its moat is still unproven: the process is novel, the Ohio facility is the first of its kind at scale, and the company has yet to show it can run consistently at nameplate. Revenue grew 173.5% year on year, but gross margin of -782.8% and operating margin of -916.1% mean every dollar of sales is currently produced at a large loss, so the investment case rests entirely on ramp execution and future unit economics. The stock screens poorly on our 26/100 score, carries a forward P/E of 142.9 on negative earnings, and has a -61.6% ROE, with no index membership to support liquidity. The reason to look closer is the gap between the revenue inflection and the margin profile: a deeper review should focus on plant utilization, cost per pound of resin, and how the company funds the losses until those margins turn.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • severe
    Heavy cash burn
    Free cash flow is -$183.6M against a $589M market cap, with operating margin at -916.1%. Funding needs look large relative to the equity value.
  • high
    Extreme short interest
    Short interest is 40.2% of shares outstanding. Position sizing should reflect the risk of a sharp squeeze in either direction.
  • high
    Heavily leveraged balance sheet
    Debt/Equity is 16.91, and ROE is -61.6%. Equity is thin relative to liabilities, which limits room to absorb further losses.
  • moderate
    Stock trades below ACCE target
    At $2.93 the stock sits 34.7% below the ACCE price target of $4.24. The score has held at 26/100 over 90 days with no improvement.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 21, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 173.5% year over year in the June 2026 10-Q, showing the business is scaling quickly from a small base.
  • At $2.77, the shares trade 34.7% below our $4.24 ACCE price target, which leaves room if the company executes.
Why it could disappoint
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months was negative $184M, so the business is burning cash rather than generating it.
  • Debt is 16.91 times equity, leaving the balance sheet heavily leveraged while return on equity sits at -61.6%.
  • Earnings per share missed expectations by 26.9%, coming in at -0.33 against -0.26 expected, and the share count rose 10.0%.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 4, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where PCT's valuation models land
Price
$2.77
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $6.10
Model
Fair value
Upside
Analyst consensus
Sales comps
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Mixed40% buy · 5 covering analysts
● Strong buy 2● Buy 0● Hold 3● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-9.8%
1 month
-46.2%
3 months
-52.6%
6 months
-61.9%
YTD
-67.8%
1 year
-78.9%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$4.24first publication$3.44

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth64Value11Quality13Momentum17Total26
Valuation
Trailing P/E
0.0x
Forward P/E
142.9x
PEG
no data
P/B
66.74x
EV / Revenue
95.3x
Book value/sh
$0.08
Enterprise value
$1.3B
Profitability
ROE
-61.6%
FCF yield
-32.87%
ROIC
-18.2%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
16.91
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
2.63

Price

-78.9% · 1Y

Ask anything about PCT

Answered from PureCycle Technologies Inc. Common stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0x0.0xhigh 25.7x
ROEbetter than 17% of peers
low -183%-62%high 9%
Div yieldbetter than 83% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 3.6%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
PCT PureCycle Technologies Inc. Common stock$2.77----61.6%1326
ADUR Aduro Clean Technologies Inc. Common Stock$9.77----48.3%4720
CDZI CADIZ Inc. Common Stock$4.34----183.1%2116
ERII Energy Recovery Inc. Common Stock$6.68$75% below25.7x8.6%6546
GVS.MI GVS S.p.A.€5.26--23.9x9.3%6764
7004.T Kanadevia Corporation¥1029.00--11.8x7.8%4356
ENVI.AS Envipco Holding N.V.€3.12----18.9%3935

Sector report card

Where PCT ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 12, 2026
    IPL Schoeller & PureCycle Launch Off-the-Shelf Container Line, SnapPack Square EVO, Ahead of State Sustainability Mandates
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 6, 2026
    PureCycle Technologies Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results
  • GlobeNewswire•Jul 23, 2026
    PureCycle Schedules Second Quarter 2026 Corporate Update
5 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
September 2026
Sep 25
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-23
View on SEC →
Sep 8
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-04
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 31
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-28
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR