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OUST
ACCE-researched

Ouster Inc. Common Stock (OUST) fair value

Technology · Electronic Components · NASDAQ · United States
$29.69+6.11%
Market cap $2.0BNext earnings 2026-11-03Updated Oct 24, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 21% below our fair value
Price
$29.69
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $37.44
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a loss-making company: Sales comps and Analyst consensus.
ACCE opinionOuster Inc. Common Stock (OUST)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
$26.00
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST; previously $29.00 since 28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $29.69 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Analyst consensus and Sales comps.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
38
out of 100
Analysts
83% buy
6 covering
P/E
0.0x
forward -237.5x
1-year return
-10.0%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Ouster Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Ouster makes digital lidar sensors that give robots, vehicles, drones and infrastructure systems a three-dimensional view of their surroundings. Its in-house chip design supports a cost advantage over some rivals. Growth depends on volume contracts in industrial, smart infrastructure and automotive markets. Revenue grew 55.9% with a 46.6% gross margin, but the operating margin is -46.6%, so losses must narrow as volume scales.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 14, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Severe cash burn
    Negative FCF of $64.8M despite 56% revenue growth. Company is unprofitable (net margin -26%) and burning cash to fund expansion.
  • high
    Valuation disconnect
    P/S of 14.0x with negative earnings and operating margin of -46.6%. Stock trades at $39.90 vs ACCE fair value of $29.00; 38% premium to midpoint.
  • moderate
    Insider selling pressure
    Last 10 disclosures show $1.66M in insider sales vs $0 in buys. Insiders reducing exposure while stock trades above model fair value.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue has grown 55.9% year over year with a 55.1% five-year average, showing consistent scaling.
  • Analysts overwhelmingly favor the stock, with 83% rating it Buy or Strong Buy and a 48.9% upside to mean target.
  • The company beat earnings expectations by 16.1% on the latest report, suggesting execution is tracking ahead of consensus.
Why it could disappoint
  • Net margin is negative 26.0% and free cash flow is negative 65 million, meaning the company burns cash despite revenue growth.
  • Share count diluted by 20.9% last fiscal year while ROE and ROIC remain deeply negative at negative 18.0% and negative 17.8%.
  • At current valuation, free cash flow yield is negative 2.3%, implying the stock prices in no near-term path to profitability.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 3, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where OUST's valuation models land
Price
$29.69
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $37.44
Model
Fair value
Upside
Analyst consensus
Sales comps
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish83% buy · 6 covering analysts
● Strong buy 5● Buy 0● Hold 1● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+4.4%
1 month
-24.6%
3 months
-12.8%
6 months
+5.2%
YTD
+37.2%
1 year
-10.0%

SEC filings

Recent ACCE blog coverage

  • $OUST ACCE Score Drops 15 Points to 39 - What Changed
    Ouster's ACCE composite score fell from 54 to 39. We break down what likely drove the move across growth, value, quality, and momentum.
    2026-06-16

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$26.00$29.00$31.87
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$29.00first publication$43.72

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth64Value13Quality43Momentum32Total38
Valuation
Trailing P/E
0.0x
Forward P/E
-237.5x
PEG
no data
P/B
7.65x
EV / Revenue
12.7x
Book value/sh
$5.42
Enterprise value
$2.6B
Profitability
ROE
-18.0%
FCF yield
-3.21%
ROIC
-17.8%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.07
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
3.23

Price

-19.9% · 1Y

Ask anything about OUST

Answered from Ouster Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0x0.0xhigh 44.6x
ROEbetter than 0% of peers
low -18%-18%high 19%
Div yieldbetter than 0% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 3.3%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
OUST Ouster Inc. Common Stock$29.69----18.0%4338
5214.T Nippon Electric Glass Co., Ltd.¥4859.00--14.8x5.5%5541
6770.T Alps Alpine Co., Ltd.¥2054.00--15.8x6.2%4744
NCAB.ST NCAB Group AB (publ)kr 81.20kr 37122% above44.6x18.9%6465
6787.T Meiko Electronics Co., Ltd.¥18400.00--29.2x15.3%5556
4980.T Dexerials Corporation¥3005.00--18.8x-9571
5344.T Maruwa Co.,Ltd.¥46560.00--30.6x-9360

Sector report card

Where OUST ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 13, 2026
    Ouster Announces Date for Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Call
  • Business Wire•Oct 7, 2026
    AVerMedia and Stereolabs Accelerate AI Vision Deployment with NVIDIA JetPack 7.2
  • Business Wire•Oct 1, 2026
    Ouster Partners with Seneca to Advance Autonomous Drone Technology for Wildfire Response Operations
9 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 7
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-05
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 16
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-14
View on SEC →
Sep 16
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-14
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR