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OIO

OIO Group Ordinary Shares (OIO) fair value

Industrials · Waste Management · NASDAQ · United States
$1.90+1.60%
Market cap $661MUpdated Oct 18, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 57% below our fair value
Price
$1.90
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $4.44
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a loss-making company: Analyst consensus.
ACCE opinionOIO Group Ordinary Shares (OIO)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
$1.48
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $1.90 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Analyst consensus.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
24
out of 100
Analysts
100% buy
1 covering
1-year return
-84.0%
Dividend yield
0.00%

OIO Group Ordinary Shares in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

OIO Group is an industrials name in waste management, with a market capitalisation of about $564M and a 53.0% gross margin that suggests a service-heavy rather than commodity recycling model. The company is shrinking, though: revenue is down 22.1% and return on equity is -23.2%, and with a zero operating margin the business is not yet earning its keep at the operating line. A forward P/E of 18.4 against a trailing P/E of zero points to an expected earnings recovery that the trailing figures do not yet show, so the thesis rests on whether that turn arrives. Its 24/100 score and absence from any index make it a name to examine only if you want to underwrite that recovery specifically, not a shortlist candidate on current fundamentals.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Revenue shrinking fast
    Revenue fell 22.1% year over year, against a 5-year CAGR of 10.2%. The top line is contracting sharply after a decade of growth.
  • high
    Free cash flow negative
    Free cash flow was $-2,008,207, and ROE sits at -23.2%. The business is burning cash and destroying shareholder equity.
  • moderate
    Price above ACCE target
    The price of $1.90 sits 28.4% above the ACCE price target of $1.48, so the stock already prices in more than our model supports.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 19, 2026 · figures from 2026-03-31 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Over five years revenue has grown about 10.2% per year on average, showing the business has expanded over time.
  • Debt is modest relative to equity, with debt to equity at 0.41.
Why it could disappoint
  • Revenue fell 22.1% over the past year, a sharp reversal from its longer-term growth record.
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months was negative at -$2M, so the business is consuming cash rather than generating it.
  • The diluted share count rose 548.8% in the last fiscal year, heavily diluting existing shareholders.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

Ask ACCE

Valuation

INVESTOR
Where OIO's valuation models land
Price
$1.90
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $4.44
Model
Fair value
Upside
Analyst consensus
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish100% buy · 1 covering analyst
● Strong buy 1● Buy 0● Hold 0● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+6.7%
1 month
+1.6%
3 months
-4.0%
6 months
-35.2%
YTD
-84.2%
1 year
-84.0%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$1.48first publication$1.71

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth7Value33Quality39Momentum17Total24
Valuation
Trailing P/E
no data
Forward P/E
no data
PEG
no data
P/B
46.82x
EV / Revenue
110.7x
Book value/sh
$0.32
Enterprise value
$645M
Profitability
ROE
-23.2%
FCF yield
-0.31%
ROIC
-20.2%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.41
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.45

Price

-83.8% · 1Y

Ask anything about OIO

Answered from OIO Group Ordinary Shares fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
ROEbetter than 33% of peers
low -78%-23%high 12%
Div yieldbetter than 33% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 6.0%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
OIO OIO Group Ordinary Shares$1.90----23.2%3924
SCHP.PA Séché Environnement SA€73.80--32.1x3.9%3747
NVRI Enviri Corporation Common Stock$19.15----78.1%1331
DBG.PA Derichebourg SA€7.62€1549% below9.1x11.9%5259
BFSA.DE Befesa S.A.€31.90€358% below14.9x11.0%5856
GPE.PA Groupe Pizzorno Environnement€62.15--22.1x10.1%4758
PESI Perma-Fix Environmental Services Inc. Common Stock$12.31----31.6%3121

Sector report card

Where OIO ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Jul 15, 2026
    De Tomaso Advances Next-Generation V12 Programme with Italtecnica
  • GlobeNewswire•Jul 14, 2026
    De Tomaso Advances Next-Generation V12 Programme with Italtecnica
  • GlobeNewswire•May 13, 2026
    OIO Group Enters into Term Sheet for Proposed Strategic Acquisition of German Specialist Automotive Engineering and Production Platform
4 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
17 filings of 31
July 2026
Jul 7
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-07-07
View on SEC →
May 2026
May 1
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-05-01
View on SEC →
May 1
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-04-30
View on SEC →
14 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR