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NRC

National Research Corporation Common Stock (Delaware) (NRC) fair value

Healthcare · Health Information Services · NASDAQ · United States
$21.93+2.57%
Market cap $485MNext earnings 2026-10-26Updated Oct 21, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 128% above our fair value
Price
$21.93
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$9.62
Model range
$8.09 to $11.46
Fair value $9.62
Price $21.93
3 models fit National Research Corporation Common Stock (Delaware) and they disagree: 1 of 3 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Bronze52
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionNational Research Corporation Common Stock (Delaware) (NRC)
Fair value (3 models)
$9.62
ACCE price target
$21.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST; previously $10.78 since 5 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST.
Price used: $21.93 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, Dividend discount, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
128.0% above
-56.1% to fair value
ACCE score
56
out of 100
Analysts
100% buy
1 covering
P/E
91.4x
forward 17.2x
1-year return
+88.1%
Dividend yield
2.81%

National Research Corporation Common Stock (Delaware) in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

National Research Corporation sells patient experience and healthcare performance surveys and analytics to hospitals and health systems, with its NRC Health platform and benchmarking databases forming the core of the business. Its moat rests on long-running benchmark datasets that hospitals use for regulatory-linked and reimbursement-linked quality reporting, which makes switching costs real and gives the franchise a recurring, sticky revenue base. Revenue growth of 4.0% is modest, and the trailing P/E of 84.0 reflects depressed or one-off earnings rather than a premium on the business, while the forward P/E of 17.2 implies the market expects earnings to normalise. Operating margin of -0.2% against a 61.7% gross margin says the spread between gross profit and overhead is the thing to examine, since small changes in cost discipline or sales efficiency would move profitability sharply. With a market capitalisation of roughly $446M, a 42.0% ROE and a score of 55/100, the name is small, unindexed and under-followed, which is precisely where a deeper look at the earnings bridge from trailing to forward is worth the time.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Leverage and thin operating margin
    Debt/Equity of 5.65 with an operating margin of -0.2% and FCF of $16M leaves little cushion if revenue growth (+4.0% YoY) stalls.
  • moderate
    Earnings falling sharply
    Earnings are down 44.0% YoY while revenue grew 4.0%, and the 5y revenue CAGR is only 0.6%, so profit is shrinking faster than the top line.
  • moderate
    Heavy short interest
    Short interest is 28.5% of ownership, which signals meaningful bearish positioning and can amplify price swings in either direction.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 14, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Latest quarterly earnings beat expectations by 121.4%, with earnings per share of 0.31 against 0.14 expected.
  • Free cash flow of $16M over the last twelve months, and the diluted share count fell 5.7% last fiscal year.
Why it could disappoint
  • The consensus fair value of $9.58 sits 52.5% below the $20.17 share price, and only 3 of 5 models contribute to it.
  • Trailing earnings multiple of 84.0x is far above the forward multiple of 17.2x, and the sector median forward multiple is 23.8x.
  • Revenue grew 0.6% a year on average over five years, with a net margin of only 4.2% and debt at 5.65 times equity.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Oct 26, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where NRC's valuation models land
Price
$21.93
Model fair value
$9.62
Model range
$8.09 to $11.46
Fair value $9.62
Price $21.93
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish100% buy · 1 covering analyst
● Strong buy 0● Buy 1● Hold 0● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+8.8%
1 month
+1.7%
3 months
+4.2%
6 months
+27.3%
YTD
+16.8%
1 year
+88.1%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
21 Oct 2026, 12:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$20.69
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$21.00first publication$20.17
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$9.58$10.78$20.33
5 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$10.78$11.00$20.35
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$11.00$11.36$20.35
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$11.36$11.11$21.86
19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$11.11$11.24$20.87
17 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$11.24$11.59$21.96
14 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$11.59$11.31$21.12
11 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$11.31$11.58$20.93

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth28Value44Quality56Momentum97Total56
Valuation
Trailing P/E
91.4x
Forward P/E
17.2x
PEG
no data
P/B
13.47x
EV / Revenue
2.6x
Book value/sh
$0.30
Enterprise value
$363M
Profitability
ROE
42.0%
FCF yield
3.25%
ROIC
10.2%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
5.65
Dividend yield
2.81%
Beta
0.28

Price

+88.1% · 1Y

Ask anything about NRC

Answered from National Research Corporation Common Stock (Delaware) fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 0% of peers
low 0.0x91.4xhigh 91.4x
ROEbetter than 100% of peers
low -646%42%high 42%
Div yieldbetter than 83% of peers
low 0.0%2.8%high 4.8%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
NRC National Research Corporation Common Stock (Delaware)$21.93$10128% above91.4x42.0%5656
EQS.PA Equasens Société anonyme€29.65€4128% below11.4x17.2%7557
EVH Evolent Health Inc Class A Common Stock$4.80----67.0%2148
RAY-B.ST RaySearch Laboratories AB (publ)kr 191.90kr 16417% above30.9x26.0%8541
CARL Carlsmed Inc. Common Stock$14.53----66.1%4751
CTEV Claritev Corporation Class A Common Stock$23.50----646.3%3843
WEAV Weave Communications Inc. Common Stock$7.40$477% above--25.1%4353

Sector report card

Where NRC ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Sep 21, 2026
    The Governance Institute Blue Ribbon Committee Reframes Hospital and Health System Board Assessment with Four Considerations for Stronger Governance
  • Business Wire•Sep 2, 2026
    KLAS First Look: NRC Health Rounding Earns 91.6 Overall Performance Score
  • Business Wire•Sep 1, 2026
    NRC Health Announces 2026 Award Winners Recognizing Excellence Across Healthcare
8 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
29 filings of 40
October 2026
Oct 19
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-14
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 11
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-07
View on SEC →
Aug 4
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-06-30
View on SEC →
26 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR