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MSC

Studio City International Holdings Limited American depositary shares each representing four Class A ordinary shares (MSC) fair value

Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos · NYSE · United States
$0.79-0.40%
Market cap $154MNext earnings 2026-11-05Updated Oct 20, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 55% below our fair value
Price
$0.79
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$1.75
Model range
$0.91 to $2.76
Fair value $1.75
Price $0.79
2 models fit Studio City International Holdings Limited American depositary shares each representing four Class A ordinary shares and they disagree: 0 of 2 land within 15% of the average. The price is below every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large discount(i)Bronze48
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Discounted cash flow.
ACCE opinionStudio City International Holdings Limited American depositary shares each representing four Class A ordinary shares (MSC)
Fair value (2 models)
$1.75
ACCE price target
$0.95
Rating
Undervalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 20 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST; previously $1.84 since 7 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 20 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST.
Price used: $0.79 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
54.8% below
+121.4% to fair value
ACCE score
41
out of 100
P/E
0.0x
forward 18.5x
1-year return
-81.7%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Studio City International Holdings Limited American depositary shares each representing four Class A ordinary shares in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Studio City International runs Studio City, a integrated resort in Macau's Cotai district with gaming tables, slot machines, hotel rooms and a Batman-themed attraction, and it holds the concession through its subsidiary. The case rests on operating leverage: a 69.3% gross margin and a 9.1% operating margin mean the property converts revenue to operating profit efficiently once fixed costs are covered, which matters if Macau's VIP and mass-market gaming volumes recover. The stock is cheap on forward earnings at 18.5x, but trailing earnings are negative, revenue fell 13.4% and return on equity is -10.2%, so the forward multiple depends on a turnaround that has not yet shown up in the reported numbers. The 41/100 score and absence from any index reflect that unresolved gap. Worth a deeper look if you want exposure to a Macau recovery through a single asset, with the revenue decline and the Macau concession terms as the first questions to answer.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Revenue falling sharply
    Revenue is down 13.4% year over year. Net margin is still negative at -7.6% and ROE is -10.2%, so profitability has not recovered with the top line.
  • high
    Leverage and thin equity
    Debt/Equity is 3.91. A highly levered balance sheet leaves little cushion if the revenue decline continues.
  • moderate
    Score fell 9 points
    The ACCE score dropped from 50 to 41 over 90 days, with Quality at 38 and Momentum at 17 carrying most of the weakness.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 13, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months came to $148M, which is a meaningful cash cushion for a company of this size.
  • Revenue grew 69.8% a year on average over five years, showing the business has expanded sharply over time.
  • Analysts' mean price target of $11.00 sits far above the current share price, suggesting the sell-side sees substantial upside.
Why it could disappoint
  • Revenue fell 13.4% year over year, so the recent trend is moving in the opposite direction to the long-run average.
  • The company is losing money, with a net margin of -7.6% and a return on equity of -10.2%.
  • Debt is 3.91 times equity, a heavy borrowing load that leaves little room for a downturn in earnings.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 5, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where MSC's valuation models land
Price
$0.79
Model fair value
$1.75
Model range
$0.91 to $2.76
Fair value $1.75
Price $0.79
The price is below the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-19.4%
1 month
-1.3%
3 months
-56.8%
6 months
-70.7%
YTD
-77.7%
1 year
-81.7%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
20 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTFair value$1.75$1.84$0.93
20 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTRatingUndervaluedfirst publication$0.93
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$0.95first publication$0.95
7 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.84$1.88$0.99
5 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.88$1.85$1.05
21 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.85$1.54$0.99
19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.54$2.16$0.99
16 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$2.16$2.27$1.70
14 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$2.27$2.23$1.77
11 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$2.23$2.27$1.64

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth43Value67Quality38Momentum17Total41
Valuation
Trailing P/E
0.0x
Forward P/E
18.5x
PEG
no data
P/B
1.30x
EV / Revenue
4.1x
Book value/sh
$2.52
Enterprise value
$2.0B
Profitability
ROE
-10.2%
FCF yield
96.53%
ROIC
-1.9%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
3.91
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
0.13

Price

-81.0% · 1Y

Ask anything about MSC

Answered from Studio City International Holdings Limited American depositary shares each representing four Class A ordinary shares fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0x0.0xhigh 526.0x
ROEbetter than 50% of peers
low -936%-10%high 15%
Div yieldbetter than 50% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 7.3%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
MSC Studio City International Holdings Limited American depositary shares each representing four Class A ordinary shares$0.79$255% below--10.2%3841
PARP.PA Groupe Partouche SA€17.00--3.6x13.6%5556
CPHC Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' Common Stock$15.78$1814% below526.0x0.1%4246
BALY Bally's Corporation Common Stock$13.86----56.6%2548
FLL Full House Resorts Inc. Common Stock$0.87----936.4%2530
CNTY Century Casinos Inc. Common Stock$0.76----676.1%3425
SKIS-B.ST SkiStar AB (publ)kr 176.40--22.0x14.8%6661

Sector report card

Where MSC ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 13, 2026
    Studio City International Holdings Limited Announces Unaudited Second Quarter 2026 Earnings
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 7, 2026
    Studio City Announces Earnings Release Date
  • GlobeNewswire•May 13, 2026
    Studio City Company Limited Announces Results of its Tender Offer for Any and All of its 7.00% senior secured notes due 2027
6 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
30 filings of 40
October 2026
Oct 14
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-09
View on SEC →
Oct 8
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-06
View on SEC →
Oct 5
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
27 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR