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FLL

Full House Resorts Inc. Common Stock (FLL) fair value

Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos · NASDAQ · United States
$0.87-10.37%
Market cap $32MNext earnings 2026-11-05Updated Oct 18, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 80% below our fair value
Price
$0.87
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $4.32
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a loss-making company: Sales comps and Analyst consensus.
ACCE opinionFull House Resorts Inc. Common Stock (FLL)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
$0.78
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $0.87 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Analyst consensus and Sales comps.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
30
out of 100
Analysts
75% buy
4 covering
1-year return
-69.0%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Full House Resorts Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Full House Resorts runs small regional casinos and hotels, including the Bronco Billy's and Rising Star properties in Colorado and Indiana, plus a managed-gaming business in Michigan. The bull case rests on a 5.6% top-line growth rate and a 51.4% gross margin, which point to a asset-heavy regional operator with some pricing power in local gaming. The 2.9% operating margin and a negative return on equity of -936.4% make clear that the balance sheet, not operations alone, is the central question, so any deeper look should start with leverage and the cash required to service it. A forward P/E of 125 on a sub-$50 million market cap leaves little room for execution error, and the score of 30/100 with no index membership reflects that. This is a name to examine only if you already have a view on regional gaming demand and on how the debt is being refinanced.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Negative free cash flow
    Free cash flow was $-2,681,000 against a $36M market cap, and debt/equity is 209.46. The company is burning cash while carrying heavy leverage.
  • high
    Trades above ACCE target
    The stock trades at $0.87, which is 11.5% above the ACCE price target of $0.78. The price has run ahead of our own valuation.
  • moderate
    Net margin negative
    Operating margin is +2.9% but net margin is -12.1%, and ROE is -936.4%. Earnings are not reaching shareholders at the operating level.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 21, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 5.6% year over year, and the five-year average annual growth rate is 19.2%.
Why it could disappoint
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months was negative at -$3M, so the business is not generating cash.
  • Net margin of -12.1% and debt to equity of 209.46 leave little room for error in a downturn.
  • The latest quarter missed expectations, with EPS of -0.24 against -0.18 expected, a surprise of -33.3%.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 5, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where FLL's valuation models land
Price
$0.87
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $4.32
Model
Fair value
Upside
Analyst consensus
Sales comps
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish75% buy · 4 covering analysts
● Strong buy 2● Buy 1● Hold 1● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
0 buys · 3 sells
Since Apr 21, 2026, 1 member
Average delay
13 days
From trade to public filing
Full trade list on ProDo politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-20.2%
1 month
-51.1%
3 months
-62.7%
6 months
-65.1%
YTD
-66.7%
1 year
-69.0%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$0.78first publication$1.12

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth40Value36Quality25Momentum17Total30
Valuation
Trailing P/E
no data
Forward P/E
-2.1x
PEG
no data
P/B
36.65x
EV / Revenue
1.8x
Book value/sh
$-0.36
Enterprise value
$558M
Profitability
ROE
-936.4%
FCF yield
-8.42%
ROIC
-6.2%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
209.46
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.41

Price

-69.1% · 1Y

Ask anything about FLL

Answered from Full House Resorts Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
ROEbetter than 0% of peers
low -936%-936%high 15%
Div yieldbetter than 50% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 7.3%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
FLL Full House Resorts Inc. Common Stock$0.87----936.4%2530
CNTY Century Casinos Inc. Common Stock$0.76----676.1%3425
CPHC Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' Common Stock$15.78$1814% below526.0x0.1%4246
MSC Studio City International Holdings Limited American depositary shares each representing four Class A ordinary shares$0.79$255% below--10.2%3841
PARP.PA Groupe Partouche SA€17.00--3.6x13.6%5556
BALY Bally's Corporation Common Stock$13.86----56.6%2548
SKIS-B.ST SkiStar AB (publ)kr 176.40--22.0x14.8%6661

Sector report card

Where FLL ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 6, 2026
    Full House Resorts Announces Strong Second Quarter Results
  • GlobeNewswire•Jul 30, 2026
    Full House Resorts Announces Second Quarter Earnings Release Date
  • GlobeNewswire•May 7, 2026
    Full House Resorts Announces Strong First Quarter Results
1 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
33 filings of 40
October 2026
Oct 21
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-21
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 8
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-02
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 6
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-06
View on SEC →
30 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR