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LTM
ACCE-researched

LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing two thousand (2000) shares of Common Stock) (LTM) fair value

Industrials · Airlines · NYSE · United States
$46.27-2.01%
Market cap $14.0BNext earnings 2026-11-13Updated Oct 18, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 65% below our fair value
Price
$46.27
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$132
Model range
$111 to $152
Fair value $132
Price $46.27
2 models fit LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing two thousand (2000) shares of Common Stock) and they disagree: 0 of 2 land within 15% of the average. The price is below every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large discount(i)Bronze50
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Discounted cash flow, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionLATAM Airlines Group S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing two thousand (2000) shares of Common Stock) (LTM)
Fair value (2 models)
$132
ACCE price target
$51.00
Rating
Undervalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST; previously $134 since 14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 18 Oct 2026, 01:52 CEST; previously $54.00 since 26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST.
Price used: $46.27 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: P/E comparison and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
64.8% below
+184.5% to fair value
ACCE score
60
out of 100
Analysts
100% buy
10 covering
P/E
8.9x
forward 10.2x
1-year return
+2.8%
Dividend yield
3.24%

LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing two thousand (2000) shares of Common Stock) in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

LATAM Airlines runs one of South America's largest passenger networks, flying domestic and international routes out of hubs in Santiago, Lima, São Paulo and Bogotá, with a freight arm that carries cargo across the same network. Its structural edge is scale in a region where a few carriers control most seats, which gives it dense route coverage and a loyalty program that feeds high-margin partnerships. Revenue grew 27.2% over the latest period, and the stock trades at 9.0 times trailing earnings and 7.6 times forward earnings, a discount that the market may be applying to emerging-market airline risk, currency exposure, and an operating margin of only 5.3%. Return on equity of 108% is inflated by a thin equity base and should not be read as a clean quality signal, so the question for a deeper look is whether margin recovery can keep pace with top-line growth at a 14.2 billion dollar market cap.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 14, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Earnings collapse despite revenue growth
    Earnings down 46.2% YoY while revenue up 27.2%. Suggests margin pressure or one-time charges eroding profitability despite strong top-line growth.
  • high
    Extreme leverage
    Debt/Equity of 6.01 is very high for cyclical airline sector. Limits financial flexibility if demand softens or fuel costs spike.
  • high
    ACCE score deterioration
    Score fell 17 points in 90 days (80 to 63). Quality and Momentum scores both weak at 56 and 54, signalling recent operational or market headwinds.
  • moderate
    Deceleration in sequential growth
    QoQ revenue growth of only 0.8% despite 27.2% YoY, indicating momentum is fading. May signal demand normalization.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 27.2% year over year with a 5-year average of 29.5%, showing sustained expansion.
  • Stock trades at 9.3x trailing P/E and 10.2x forward P/E, half the sector median of 23.7x.
  • Free cash flow of 1.5B generates a 10.1% yield, and all 10 analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy.
Why it could disappoint
  • Debt to equity of 6.01 creates extreme leverage that magnifies exposure to fuel and currency swings.
  • Earnings per share grew only 11.2% implied by the current price, far below the 27.2% revenue growth rate.
  • ROE of 108% reflects a thin post-bankruptcy equity base, not durable returns, and masks underlying margin pressure.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 13, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where LTM's valuation models land
Price
$46.27
Model fair value
$132
Model range
$111 to $152
Fair value $132
Price $46.27
The price is below the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish100% buy · 10 covering analysts
● Strong buy 6● Buy 4● Hold 0● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-2.5%
1 month
-11.8%
3 months
-7.7%
6 months
-7.5%
YTD
-14.3%
1 year
+2.8%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTFair value$132$134$47.47
18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTRatingUndervaluedfirst publication$47.47
18 Oct 2026, 01:52 CESTACCE price target$51.00$54.00$47.47
14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$134$141$50.00
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$141$85.81$50.44
4 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$85.81$84.13$47.92
30 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$84.13$86.66$51.50
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$54.00first publication$51.66
25 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$86.66$89.84$52.46
23 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$89.84$86.72$53.31

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth52Value91Quality56Momentum41Total60
Valuation
Trailing P/E
8.9x
Forward P/E
10.2x
PEG
2.58
P/B
7.67x
EV / Revenue
1.3x
Book value/sh
$6.00
Enterprise value
$21.3B
Profitability
ROE
108.0%
FCF yield
10.64%
ROIC
12.7%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
6.01
Dividend yield
3.24%
Beta
0.84

Price

+3.5% · 1Y

Ask anything about LTM

Answered from LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing two thousand (2000) shares of Common Stock) fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 8.9x8.9xhigh 22.9x
ROEbetter than 80% of peers
low 6%108%high 113%
Div yieldbetter than 50% of peers
low 0.0%3.2%high 6.7%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
LTM LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing two thousand (2000) shares of Common Stock)$46.27$13265% below8.9x108.0%5660
LTM.SN LATAM Airlines Group S.ACLP 23.38--9.4x108.0%6061
C6L.SI Singapore AirlinesS$6.62S$484% above22.9x7.2%5649
INDIGO.NS InterGlobe Aviation Limited₹4600.00----4952
LUV Southwest Airlines Company Common Stock$42.03$4711% below20.5x11.1%4866
LHA.DE Deutsche Lufthansa AG€7.12€918% below12.5x6.2%3446
QAN.AX Qantas Airways LimitedA$8.45A$498% above10.0x112.7%5347

Sector report card

Where LTM ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
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35 filings of 40
October 2026
Oct 8
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-09-30
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 8
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-09-08
View on SEC →
Sep 2
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-09-01
View on SEC →
32 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR