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LOG.MC
ACCE-researched

Compania de Distribucion Integral Logista (LOG.MC) fair value

Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics · BME · Spain
€37.02-0.64%
Market cap €4.9BNext earnings 2026-11-06Updated Oct 24, 2026
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Our verdict
Trades 22% above our fair value
Price
€37.02
Model fair valueConfidence: good
€30.26
Model range
€15.31 to €52.05
Fair value €30.26
Price €37.02
4 models fit Compania de Distribucion Integral Logista and they disagree: 1 of 4 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Premium(i)Silver75
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionCompania de Distribucion Integral Logista (LOG.MC)
Fair value (4 models)
€30.26
ACCE price target
€38.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST; previously €30.81 since 18 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST.
Price used: €37.02 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 17:30 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
22.3% above
-18.3% to fair value
ACCE score
67
out of 100
P/E
17.5x
forward 11.2x
1-year return
+27.6%
Dividend yield
5.45%

Compania de Distribucion Integral Logista in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Logista is a Spanish distributor of tobacco, fuel and related products, moving goods for manufacturers and retailers across Iberia, Italy, France and other European markets, and operating the regulated tobacco wholesale networks that much of that volume depends on. Its edge is structural: government-granted distribution concessions and the logistics density built around them make it hard to replicate, and the business earns a steady fee on volume rather than on product pricing. The growth case rests on incremental volume from new distribution contracts and on the pricing and cost discipline that comes with a mature, cash-generative network, though the data available here does not quantify either. At roughly 17.8x trailing and 15.6x forward earnings it is not cheap in absolute terms but screens reasonably for a low-volatility, dividend-paying European logistics name, and the fact that it is outside all index memberships means it is worth checking whether that reflects liquidity, free float or coverage gaps rather than fundamentals. Revenue growth, margins and returns are missing from the dataset, so the first step in a deeper review is to pull the reported top-line trend, operating margin and ROE before forming a view.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 17, 2026

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 17, 2026 · figures from 2026-10-16 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • The 5.5% dividend yield gives income investors a sizeable cash return while they wait for the share price to move.
  • At 15.6 times forward earnings, the shares look cheaper than their trailing multiple of 17.8 times, suggesting expected profit growth.
  • Shares at EUR 37.48 sit at a valuation that is not stretched on the trailing earnings multiple.
Why it could disappoint
  • The 5.5% dividend is a large part of the case, yet cash flow can swing with working capital and excise tax timing.
  • Trailing earnings of 17.8 times leave little room for error if the forward profit growth the lower 15.6 times implies fails to arrive.
  • Logista's core tobacco distribution business is in long-term decline, so the share price may not re-rate even at EUR 37.48.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 6, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where LOG.MC's valuation models land
Price
€37.02
Model fair value
€30.26
Model range
€15.31 to €52.05
Fair value €30.26
Price €37.02
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

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  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

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Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

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  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
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Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Recent performance

1 week
-1.2%
1 month
+3.8%
3 months
+5.8%
6 months
+12.4%
YTD
+22.9%
1 year
+27.6%

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication€37.02
24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTFair value€30.26€30.81€37.02
18 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value€30.81first publication€37.48
17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target€38.00first publication€37.48

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

This security trades in EUR. Exchange-rate movements can increase or reduce the result in your own currency.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth47Value84Quality54Momentum83Total67
Valuation
Trailing P/E
17.5x
Forward P/E
11.2x
PEG
1.00
P/B
7.21x
EV / Revenue
0.2x
Book value/sh
€4.95
Enterprise value
€2.3B
Profitability
ROE
42.5%
FCF yield
11.45%
ROIC
25.1%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.43
Dividend yield
5.45%
Beta
0.45

Price

+27.8% · 1Y

Ask anything about LOG.MC

Answered from Compania de Distribucion Integral Logista fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 67% of peers
low 7.9x17.5xhigh 73.3x
ROEbetter than 100% of peers
low 5%42%high 42%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0%5.5%high 5.5%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
LOG.MC Compania de Distribucion Integral Logista€37.02€3022% above17.5x42.5%5467
GXO GXO Logistics Inc. Common Stock $48.43$2966% above42.9x4.5%2436
9143.T SG Holdings Co.,Ltd.¥1469.50--14.8x11.5%4466
LSTR Landstar System Inc. Common Stock$165.79$12335% above43.0x15.0%5761
QUB.AX Qube Holdings LimitedA$5.11A$444% above42.6x7.0%4762
2618.HK JD Logistics, Inc.HK$9.90HK$3066% below7.9x12.3%4960
INPST.AS InPost S.A.€15.39€1812% below73.3x13.2%4654

Sector report card

Where LOG.MC ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…