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LND

Brasilagro Brazilian Agric Real Estate Co Sponsored ADR (Brazil) (LND) fair value

Consumer Defensive · Farm Products · NYSE · United States
$3.60+1.63%
Market cap $365MNext earnings 2026-11-05Updated Oct 21, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 170% above our fair value
Price
$3.60
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$1.33
Model range
$0.94 to $1.67
Fair value $1.33
Price $3.60
2 models fit Brasilagro Brazilian Agric Real Estate Co Sponsored ADR (Brazil) and they disagree: 0 of 2 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionBrasilagro Brazilian Agric Real Estate Co Sponsored ADR (Brazil) (LND)
Fair value (2 models)
$1.33
ACCE price target
$3.70
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST; previously $2.73 since 7 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST.
Price used: $3.60 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow and Dividend discount.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
170.1% above
-63.0% to fair value
ACCE score
23
out of 100
P/E
0.0x
forward 16.4x
1-year return
-4.3%
Dividend yield
1.60%

Brasilagro Brazilian Agric Real Estate Co Sponsored ADR (Brazil) in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Brasilagro owns and operates Brazilian farmland and farms it directly, growing soybeans, corn, cotton and sugarcane across its own estates, with a smaller land-sales and leasing business. Its appeal rests on the land itself: scarce, productive acreage in Brazil's agricultural interior that has historically held value against inflation and can be sold or leased to fund the operation. The near-term story, though, is weak. Revenue fell 15.0% over the last year, and the operating margin of -8.1% means the farming business is losing money at the operating line, with ROE at -4.3%. The forward P/E of 16.4 implies the market expects earnings to recover, so the question for a deeper look is whether a turnaround in crop prices, input costs or land sales is visible in the company's own disclosures before the ADR is worth more of our attention.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026

Next results

Nov 5, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where LND's valuation models land
Price
$3.60
Model fair value
$1.33
Model range
$0.94 to $1.67
Fair value $1.33
Price $3.60
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+0.3%
1 month
+1.7%
3 months
-2.7%
6 months
-11.1%
YTD
+0.6%
1 year
-4.3%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CESTFair value$1.33$2.73$3.66
21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$3.66
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$3.70first publication$3.77
7 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$2.73$2.61$3.70
5 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$2.61$2.64$3.51
25 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$2.64$2.67$3.54
17 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$2.67$2.73$3.58
14 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$2.73$2.86$3.71
12 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$2.86$4.12$3.82
9 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$4.12$3.28$3.79

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth7Value28Quality27Momentum31Total23
Valuation
Trailing P/E
0.0x
Forward P/E
16.4x
PEG
0.00
P/B
0.89x
EV / Revenue
3.4x
Book value/sh
BRL 4.04
Enterprise value
$596M
Profitability
ROE
-4.3%
FCF yield
1.72%
ROIC
-2.2%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.71
Dividend yield
1.60%
Beta
-0.02

Price

-2.7% · 1Y

Ask anything about LND

Answered from Brasilagro Brazilian Agric Real Estate Co Sponsored ADR (Brazil) fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0x0.0xhigh 177.0x
ROEbetter than 17% of peers
low -202%-4%high 12%
Div yieldbetter than 83% of peers
low 0.0%1.6%high 3.6%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
LND Brasilagro Brazilian Agric Real Estate Co Sponsored ADR (Brazil)$3.60$1170% above--4.3%2723
CAMANCHACA.SN Pes CamanchacaCLP 86.42--7.6x12.1%6174
VITL Vital Farms Inc. Common Stock$9.41---0.1%4231
VFF Village Farms International Inc. Common Shares$2.71$434% below15.1x7.5%7157
AFRI Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares$12.07----202.2%1331
2003.T Nitto Fuji Flour Milling Co.,Ltd.¥1957.00--21.7x6.7%5244
ALCO Alico Inc. Common Stock$37.08$1994% above177.0x0.7%4545

Sector report card

Where LND ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
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    Preliminary data on early redemptions (prepayments)
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4 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
18 filings of 40
October 2026
Oct 5
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-30
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 30
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-09-29
View on SEC →
Sep 21
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-09-18
View on SEC →
15 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR