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KOFUBL.MX
ACCE-researched

Coca-Cola FEMSA (KOFUBL.MX) fair value

Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · BMV · Mexico
MXN 220.25+0.27%
Market cap MXN 476.7BNext earnings 2025-07-17Updated Oct 17, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 26% above our fair value
Price
MXN 220.25
Model fair valueConfidence: good
MXN 175
Model range
MXN 81.39 to MXN 242
Fair value MXN 175
Price MXN 220
4 models fit Coca-Cola FEMSA and they disagree: 0 of 4 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Premium(i)Silver73
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionCoca-Cola FEMSA (KOFUBL.MX)
Fair value (4 models)
MXN 175
ACCE price target
MXN 219
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 18 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: MXN 220 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 23:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
25.9% above
-20.6% to fair value
ACCE score
70
out of 100
P/E
22.7x
forward 13.6x
1-year return
+41.8%
Dividend yield
35.15%

Coca-Cola FEMSA in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Coca-Cola FEMSA bottles and distributes Coca-Cola trademark beverages across Mexico, much of Latin America and parts of Southeast Asia, making it one of the largest Coca-Cola bottlers in the world. Its moat rests on exclusive bottling territories, a dense route-to-market network and long-standing distribution relationships that are hard to replicate in emerging markets. The near-term case centres on pricing power and volume recovery in its core Mexican franchise, alongside efficiency gains that can lift margins over time. At a trailing P/E of 22.7 and a forward P/E of 17.0, the market is already pricing in a meaningful earnings rebound, which makes the case worth testing against the reported figures. Our data set does not yet include revenue growth, returns or margin history, so those numbers should be pulled before any position is sized.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 17, 2026

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 17, 2026 · figures from 2026-10-16 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • The forward P/E of 17.0x sits below the trailing 22.7x, implying earnings are expected to grow.
  • A dividend yield of 3.6% gives income investors a meaningful cash return while they wait for the share price to move.
  • At a share price of MXN 219.43, the stock trades at a lower multiple on expected earnings than on past earnings.
Why it could disappoint
  • The trailing P/E of 22.7x is high enough that a sceptic would question paying that much for past earnings.
  • Forward earnings growth depends on forecasts that may not hold, so the lower 17.0x multiple carries its own uncertainty.
  • At MXN 219.43 a share, the price already reflects much of the good news, leaving little margin for disappointment.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where KOFUBL.MX's valuation models land
Price
MXN 220.25
Model fair value
MXN 175
Model range
MXN 81.39 to MXN 242
Fair value MXN 175
Price MXN 220
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

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  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

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Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

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Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Recent performance

1 week
+0.4%
1 month
+13.8%
3 months
+22.8%
6 months
+23.6%
YTD
+28.8%
1 year
+41.8%

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
18 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair valueMXN 175first publicationMXN 219
17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price targetMXN 219first publicationMXN 219

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

This security trades in MXN. Exchange-rate movements can increase or reduce the result in your own currency.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth56Value60Quality68Momentum97Total70
Valuation
Trailing P/E
22.7x
Forward P/E
13.6x
PEG
19.98
P/B
2.21x
EV / Revenue
1.5x
Book value/sh
MXN 67.87
Enterprise value
MXN 337.5B
Profitability
ROE
17.1%
FCF yield
1.46%
ROIC
8.6%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.56
Dividend yield
35.15%
Beta
0.52

Price

+37.0% · 1Y

Ask anything about KOFUBL.MX

Answered from Coca-Cola FEMSA fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 50% of peers
low 6.6x22.7xhigh 40.1x
ROEbetter than 50% of peers
low 5%17%high 97%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 0.5%35.1%high 35.1%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
KOFUBL.MX Coca-Cola FEMSAMXN 220.25MXN 17526% above22.7x17.1%6870
CCH.L Coca-Cola HBC£45.80£5111% below19.2x26.0%6968
AC.MX Arca ContinentalMXN 221.84MXN 18421% above6.6x14.3%7260
COKE Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. Common Stock$214.93$17026% above27.8x97.3%6067
VBL.NS Varun Beverages Limited₹400.80--40.1x16.9%7952
KDP Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. Common Stock$35.19$2541% above35.0x5.1%6370
CCEP Coca-Cola Europacific Partners plc Ordinary Shares$114.23$8534% above21.4x23.5%6465

Sector report card

Where KOFUBL.MX ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…