AACCE Investments
ScreenerStocksIndicesPicksETFsBlogPricing

© 2026 ACCE Investments. All rights reserved.

ACCE Investments - Institutional-grade stock research for retail investors | BetaList
IndicesStocksETFsScreenerBlogGlossaryCompareMarket dataAdvisors
TermsPrivacyCookiesDisclaimerLegal noticeProfessional termsAboutContact
JAKK

JAKKS Pacific Inc. Common Stock (JAKK) fair value

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure · NASDAQ · United States
$30.52+3.32%
Market cap $349MNext earnings 2026-10-22Updated Oct 23, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 86% above our fair value
Price
$30.52
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$16.39
Model range
$8.98 to $22.52
Fair value $16.39
Price $30.52
4 models fit JAKKS Pacific Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 4 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Bronze55
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Discounted cash flow, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionJAKKS Pacific Inc. Common Stock (JAKK)
Fair value (4 models)
$16.39
ACCE price target
$29.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 23 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST; previously $16.91 since 21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST.
Price used: $30.52 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
86.2% above
-46.3% to fair value
ACCE score
69
out of 100
Analysts
100% buy
2 covering
P/E
21.6x
forward 8.1x
1-year return
+58.2%
Dividend yield
3.39%

JAKKS Pacific Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

JAKKS Pacific designs, sources and sells toys and consumer products, with licensed lines that include Disney Princess, Spin Master's Paw Patrol-adjacent franchises and its own Bratz and Pinkfong-linked brands sold through mass retailers and e-commerce. Its edge is distribution depth and licensing relationships at the big-box accounts, which lets it fill shelf space quickly when a property takes off. Revenue growth of 16.9% is the number that matters here, and the near-term question is whether that top-line momentum converts into operating profit, since the operating margin is currently just below zero at -0.1% against a 34.0% gross margin. The forward P/E of 8.1 against a trailing 20.6 suggests the market expects earnings to recover sharply, which makes this a name for a PM to test rather than accept: the gap between reported and forward earnings is the thesis. Return on equity of 6.7% and a sub-$350M market cap also mean the company is small, cyclical and sensitive to holiday-season sell-through, so the deeper look should focus on inventory levels and cost discipline.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Earnings collapse despite revenue growth
    Revenue rose 16.9% YoY while earnings fell 62.5%, and operating margin sits at -0.1%. Top-line growth is not reaching the bottom line.
  • moderate
    Free cash flow negative
    Free cash flow is $-1,071,000. Reported profits are not converting into cash at present.
  • moderate
    Insider selling outweighs buying
    Last 10 disclosed insider trades show $4.23M in sales against $0.39M in buys. Insiders own 21.0% of the company.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 16.9% year over year, well ahead of its 2.0% average annual pace over five years.
  • Analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy, and the analysts' mean price target sits at $28.50.
  • The stock pays a 3.5% dividend yield, and debt is modest at 0.21 times equity.
Why it could disappoint
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months was negative at -$1M, and the free cash flow yield is -0.3%.
  • Return on invested capital is just 2.7%, and the latest earnings surprise was -2600.0% with EPS of -0.25 against 0.01 expected.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

Ask ACCE

Valuation

INVESTOR
Where JAKK's valuation models land
Price
$30.52
Model fair value
$16.39
Model range
$8.98 to $22.52
Fair value $16.39
Price $30.52
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
Create a free account: 5 full stock pages a month, no card.

See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish100% buy · 2 covering analysts
● Strong buy 1● Buy 1● Hold 0● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+7.0%
1 month
+25.0%
3 months
+24.6%
6 months
+37.5%
YTD
+80.8%
1 year
+58.2%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
23 Oct 2026, 12:04 CESTFair value$16.39$16.91$29.54
21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$29.20
21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CESTFair value$16.91$20.00$29.20
17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$20.00$17.03$29.04
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$29.00first publication$28.08
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$17.03$23.34$28.23
5 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$23.34$22.75$27.15
20 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$22.75$23.04$24.13
16 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$23.04$23.49$24.33
8 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$23.49$23.06$24.58

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

Get the full JAKK page, free

Every model, the scenarios, fair value history, AI notes and the four questions. 5 full stock pages every month on the free plan, no card.

Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the full page.

Snapshot

Growth52Value75Quality51Momentum97Total69
Valuation
Trailing P/E
21.6x
Forward P/E
8.1x
PEG
no data
P/B
1.13x
EV / Revenue
0.5x
Book value/sh
$21.66
Enterprise value
$267M
Profitability
ROE
6.7%
FCF yield
-0.32%
ROIC
2.7%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.21
Dividend yield
3.39%
Beta
1.31

Price

+57.8% · 1Y

Ask anything about JAKK

Answered from JAKKS Pacific Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 0% of peers
low 0.0x21.6xhigh 21.6x
ROEbetter than 67% of peers
low -2%7%high 22%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%3.4%high 5.1%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
JAKK JAKKS Pacific Inc. Common Stock$30.52$1686% above21.6x6.7%5169
FNKO Funko Inc. Class A Common Stock$7.04----1.0%2953
JOUT Johnson Outdoors Inc. Class A Common Stock$45.44$20131% above--1.8%4854
ESCA Escalade Incorporated Common Stock$18.89$183% above11.1x13.2%7275
BOWL.L Hollywood Bowl Group plc£2.74£36% below13.6x21.7%7465
LUCK Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation Class A Common Stock$4.49---0.0%3336
DOM.ST Dometic Group AB (publ)kr 20.22kr 4958% below21.5x1.4%4741

Sector report card

Where JAKK ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 5, 2026
    JAKKS Pacific to Debut Doll Haus of Dread™ at New York Comic Con; Horror's Most Iconic Fiends Dressed to Kill
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 1, 2026
    JAKKS Pacific, Inc. Announces Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Call
  • GlobeNewswire•Jul 23, 2026
    JAKKS Pacific Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results
5 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
20 filings of 38
September 2026
Sep 11
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-09
View on SEC →
Sep 11
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-09
View on SEC →
Sep 11
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-09
View on SEC →
17 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR