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HMS.ST

HMS Networks AB (publ) (HMS.ST) fair value

Technology · Communication Equipment · Nasdaq Stockholm · Sweden
kr 478.80+0.59%
Market cap kr 24.0BNext earnings 2026-10-21Updated Oct 23, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 96% above our fair value
Price
kr 478.80
Model fair valueConfidence: good
kr 244
Model range
kr 125 to kr 380
Fair value kr 244
Price kr 479
3 models fit HMS Networks AB (publ) and they disagree: 1 of 3 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionHMS Networks AB (publ) (HMS.ST)
Fair value (3 models)
kr 244
ACCE price target
kr 424
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 23 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST; previously kr 253 since 22 Oct 2026, 14:04 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 23 Oct 2026, 01:53 CEST.
Rating published on 22 Oct 2026, 14:04 CEST.
Price used: kr 479 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 17:30 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
96.4% above
-49.1% to fair value
ACCE score
48
out of 100
P/E
43.5x
forward 40.6x
1-year return
-5.5%
Dividend yield
1.01%

HMS Networks AB (publ) in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

HMS Networks sells industrial communication gateways and network products, chiefly the Anybus and Ixxat lines, that let factory machines and building systems talk to each other across different fieldbus and Ethernet protocols. Its moat is mostly switching cost and protocol breadth: once a device maker designs an Anybus module into a product, that choice tends to stick for the product's life, and the company gets 63.3% gross margins and a 23.9% operating margin from it. Revenue growth of 17.6% is running well ahead of what most industrial automation peers manage, and the business benefits from the industrial shift to Ethernet-based and IIoT connectivity. The stock is not cheap on earnings, trading at 43.2 times trailing and 40.4 times forward earnings, so the question for a deeper look is whether that growth persists long enough to justify the multiple. With no index membership and a 15.8% return on equity, the name sits in a niche that is easy to overlook but needs checking against the valuation.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 23, 2026

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where HMS.ST's valuation models land
Price
kr 478.80
Model fair value
kr 244
Model range
kr 125 to kr 380
Fair value kr 244
Price kr 479
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

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Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Recent performance

1 week
-14.1%
1 month
-14.1%
3 months
+1.7%
6 months
-11.4%
YTD
+14.3%
1 year
-5.5%

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
23 Oct 2026, 12:04 CESTFair valuekr 244kr 253kr 476
23 Oct 2026, 01:53 CESTACCE price targetkr 424first publicationkr 476
22 Oct 2026, 14:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publicationkr 541
22 Oct 2026, 14:04 CESTFair valuekr 253first publicationkr 541

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

This security trades in SEK. Exchange-rate movements can increase or reduce the result in your own currency.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth40Value34Quality79Momentum40Total48
Valuation
Trailing P/E
43.5x
Forward P/E
40.6x
PEG
no data
P/B
7.57x
EV / Revenue
7.9x
Book value/sh
kr 78.36
Enterprise value
kr 30.1B
Profitability
ROE
15.0%
FCF yield
3.41%
ROIC
6.0%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.70
Dividend yield
1.01%
Beta
1.05

Price

-6.0% · 1Y

Ask anything about HMS.ST

Answered from HMS Networks AB (publ) fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 50% of peers
low 15.2x43.5xhigh 70.9x
ROEbetter than 67% of peers
low -73%15%high 55%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%1.0%high 2.7%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
HMS.ST HMS Networks AB (publ)kr 478.80kr 24496% above43.5x15.0%7948
TSAT Telesat Corporation Class A Common Shares and Class B Variable Voting Shares $40.40----73.0%2128
TWEKA.AS TKH Group N.V.€49.68€477% above15.2x15.0%6875
DGII Digi International Inc. Common Stock$72.80$4083% above59.5x7.5%7574
EXTR Extreme Networks Inc. Common Stock$22.04$1822% above70.9x54.6%6565
HUBN.SW Huber+Suhner AGCHF 156.20CHF 9859% above39.3x11.2%6338
ONDS Ondas Inc. Common Stock$6.02---19.3%7446

Sector report card

Where HMS.ST ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…