Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
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Valued as a loss-making company: Analyst consensus.
ACCE opinionGenasys Inc. Common Stock (GNSS)
Fair value (2 models)
Not available
ACCE price target
$0.97
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $1.48 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Analyst consensus.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
22
out of 100
Analysts
100% buy
3 covering
P/E
0.0x
forward 12.5x
1-year return
-32.1%
Dividend yield
0.00%
Genasys Inc. Common Stock in four questions
Plain answers, details below
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Overview
ACCE thesis
Genasys makes long-range acoustic devices (LRAD) and related mass-notification and emergency-alert systems used by police, militaries and municipalities, alongside its Genasys Protect software platform. The moat is thin: the LRAD franchise has long-standing public-safety customers and a respectable 49.3% gross margin, but revenue fell 26.0% and the operating margin of -58.5% shows the cost base has not yet adjusted to lower demand. The main near-term lever is whether cost cuts and the software mix can bring operating losses toward breakeven before the cash runway tightens, and nothing in the data yet shows that happening. At a $59M market cap and a forward P/E of 12.5, the stock looks cheap on earnings estimates, but a -672.0% ROE and a 0.0 trailing P/E mean that multiple rests on forecasts of a turnaround that has not yet appeared in reported results. Our score of 22/100 reflects that gap, so this is a name to examine only if you have a specific view on the margin recovery.
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
severe
Negative free cash flow
Free cash flow is -$9.0M against a $59M market cap, while operating margin is -58.5% and net margin -10.9%. The business is burning cash with no visible turn.
high
Revenue shrinking sharply
Revenue is down 26.0% year over year and the 5-year revenue CAGR is -1.1%, so the decline is not a one-off dip.
high
Earnings collapse and leverage
Earnings are down 92.4% year over year, and debt is 9.85 times equity. Equity has been eroded by losses, leaving little cushion.
moderate
Price well above ACCE target
The stock at $1.45 trades 52.6% above the ACCE price target of $0.97. The ACCE score has also fallen from 40 to 22 over 90 days.
AI research notes
AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 23, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
Three analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy, and their average target sits well above the current price.
At 12.5 times forward earnings, the stock is priced at a low multiple of expected profit.
Shares trade at $1.48, so a small rebound in the business could move the price a long way.
Why it could disappoint
Revenue fell 26.0% over the past year, and its five-year average has been negative at -1.1% a year.
Free cash flow over the last twelve months was negative at -$9M, so the business is burning cash.
Debt to equity of 9.85 leaves the balance sheet heavily leveraged against a shrinking business.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.
Next results
Dec 8, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle
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Valuation
INVESTOR
Where GNSS's valuation models land
Price
$1.48
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $3.87
Model
Fair value
Upside
Analyst consensus
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Quality
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Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE
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