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ARBE

Arbe Robotics Ltd. Ordinary Shares (ARBE) fair value

Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments · NASDAQ · United States
$0.43-1.59%
Market cap $55MNext earnings 2026-11-16Updated Oct 17, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 43% above our fair value
Price
$0.43
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $0.30
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Treated as a pre-revenue company. None of the usual models had enough data, so this uses Net asset value instead.
ACCE opinionArbe Robotics Ltd. Ordinary Shares (ARBE)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
$0.41
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $0.43 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Net asset value.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
30
out of 100
Analysts
67% buy
3 covering
1-year return
-77.8%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Arbe Robotics Ltd. Ordinary Shares in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Arbe Robotics designs 4D imaging radar chipsets and perception software for automotive advanced driver assistance systems, selling them to Tier 1 suppliers and OEMs as an alternative to lidar and camera-only sensing. Its edge rests on a single-chip radar architecture with high angular resolution, a niche where few rivals have reached production volume, though that edge has not yet translated into profit. Revenue grew 156.6% on a small base, but gross margin is -24.1% and operating margin is -1398.9%, so every incremental dollar of sales is still deepening losses. The near-term catalyst is design-win conversion into production programs with European and Asian automakers, which would need to scale volume fast enough to close the gross margin gap. At a $62M market cap, the stock is a binary bet on that conversion, and the 30/100 score and negative ROE of -83.2% argue for treating it as a speculative position that needs a deep look at cash runway and dilution before anything else.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • severe
    Cash burn versus scale
    Free cash flow is $-38,426,000 against a $61M market cap, and operating margin is -1398.9%. Gross margin of -24.1% means each sale loses money before overheads.
  • high
    Shares trade above ACCE target
    The price of $0.43 sits 4.9% above the ACCE price target of $0.41, last updated 2026-10-14. Insider sales of $0.53M outweigh buys of $0.03M.
  • moderate
    Short interest elevated
    Short interest stands at 9.1% of float, which points to some bearish positioning alongside a score that has held flat at 30/100 over 90 days.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 21, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 156.6% year over year, far faster than the 25.3% average annual growth over five years.
  • Analysts are overwhelmingly positive, with 67% (2 of 3) rating the stock Buy or Strong Buy.
  • The analysts' mean price target of $2.75 sits far above the current $0.43 share price.
Why it could disappoint
  • The company still earns no profit, with a net margin of 0.0%, and free cash flow was negative $38M over the last twelve months.
  • Return on equity of -83.2% shows shareholders' money is being lost rather than compounded.
  • The diluted share count rose 37.6% last fiscal year, diluting existing holders and making the $0.43 price harder to justify.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 16, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where ARBE's valuation models land
Price
$0.43
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $0.30
Model
Fair value
Upside
Net asset value
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish67% buy · 3 covering analysts
● Strong buy 2● Buy 0● Hold 1● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-6.5%
1 month
-35.8%
3 months
-36.8%
6 months
-45.6%
YTD
-63.6%
1 year
-77.8%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$0.41first publication$0.53

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth64Value10Quality27Momentum17Total30
Valuation
Trailing P/E
no data
Forward P/E
-3.1x
PEG
no data
P/B
2.11x
EV / Revenue
37.2x
Book value/sh
$0.32
Enterprise value
$70M
Profitability
ROE
-83.2%
FCF yield
-69.38%
ROIC
-55.4%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.68
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.16

Price

-78.6% · 1Y

Ask anything about ARBE

Answered from Arbe Robotics Ltd. Ordinary Shares fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
ROEbetter than 33% of peers
low -672%-83%high 10%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 0.0%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
ARBE Arbe Robotics Ltd. Ordinary Shares$0.43----83.2%2730
V6C.DE Viscom SE€5.90----19.6%4352
SGG.ST Sensys Gatso Group AB (publ)kr 43.70kr 8850% below12.6x6.7%6066
GNSS Genasys Inc. Common Stock$1.48----672.0%2522
WRAP Wrap Technologies Inc. Common Stock$1.22----107.7%4735
SOTK Sono-Tek Corporation Common Stock$5.26$2124% above42.4x10.1%5446
LACR.PA LACROIX Group SA€15.90--5.0x9.0%4375

Sector report card

Where ARBE ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Sep 28, 2026
    Arbe Robotics Ltd. Announces Closing of $15 Million Underwritten Registered Direct Offering
  • GlobeNewswire•Sep 25, 2026
    Arbe Robotics Ltd. Announces $15 Million Underwritten Registered Direct Offering
  • PR Newswire•Sep 14, 2026
    Arbe Expands into Defense and Homeland Security with the Alerion C-UAS Radar for Hard-to-Detect Drone Threats
13 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
38 filings of 40
October 2026
Oct 13
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-10-13
View on SEC →
Oct 1
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-28
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 28
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-09-28
View on SEC →
35 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR