4 models fit Generac Holdlings Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 4 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Bronze43
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionGenerac Holdlings Inc. Common Stock (GNRC)
Fair value (4 models)
$109
ACCE price target
$210
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST; previously $135 since 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 20 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST.
Price used: $187 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, Dividend discount, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
72.3% above
-42.0% to fair value
ACCE score
52
out of 100
Analysts
73% buy
22 covering
P/E
46.7x
forward 15.9x
1-year return
-1.1%
Dividend yield
0.00%
Generac Holdlings Inc. Common Stock in four questions
Plain answers, details below
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Overview
ACCE thesis
Generac makes residential and commercial standby generators, portable generators, and the PWRcell solar-plus-storage system, with its home-backup franchise anchored by the Generac brand and a large dealer and distributor network. The core advantage is that a standby unit is a hard-to-replace hardware asset sold through installers, so the company benefits from storm-driven replacement demand and a growing installed base that feeds service and parts revenue. The near-term driver is the shift from pure backup power toward connected energy storage and grid-services offerings, which broadens the addressable home market beyond outage insurance. At a $12.7B market cap the stock trades at 16.5x forward earnings against 47.8x trailing, a gap that signals the market expects earnings to recover sharply rather than simply grow, so the question for a deeper look is whether that recovery is credible. Revenue is growing 10.6% with a 17.9% operating margin and 9.5% ROE, and the name carries a 62/100 score with no index membership, which is worth keeping in mind when judging its liquidity and the breadth of institutional coverage.
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
high
Valuation disconnect
Forward P/E 17.3 masks trailing P/E 51.7, suggesting earnings spike may not sustain.
moderate
Earnings quality concern
YoY earnings +92% against revenue +10.6% indicates margin expansion, not growth. Net margin 5.8% is thin; sustainability unclear if revenue growth decelerates further from QoQ -2.9%.
moderate
Insider selling pressure
Last 10 disclosures show $1.48M in insider sales, zero buys. Ownership stake +1.7% but selling pattern warrants attention given valuation premium.
AI research notes
AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
Recent earnings beat 49.2% expectations, suggesting management execution is improving and the market underestimated near-term earnings power.
Forward P/E of 17.3x trades below the 24.1x sector median, offering valuation relief despite 10.6% revenue growth this year.
Share buybacks reduced diluted count by 1.8% last year while generating 289M in free cash flow, supporting per-share value creation.
Why it could disappoint
Consensus fair value is 40.1% below the current share price of 224.94, implying significant downside if analyst models prove correct.
Five-year revenue growth averaged minus 2.7% per year, showing the business has shrunk structurally despite this year's 10.6% rebound.
Return on invested capital of 3.4% lags the 5.2% risk-free rate, meaning capital deployed earns less than Treasury bonds.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.
Next results
Oct 28, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle
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Valuation
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Where GNRC's valuation models land
Price
$186.92
Model fair value
$109
Model range
$52.04 to $226
Fair value $109
Price $187
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality
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