Healthcare · Biotechnology · Nasdaq Stockholm · Sweden
kr 21.05+3.19%
Market cap kr 1.4BNext earnings 2025-08-12Updated Oct 22, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 199% above our fair value
Price
kr 21.05
Model fair valueConfidence: good
kr 7.03
Model range
kr 5.74 to kr 8.20
Fair value kr 7.03
Price kr 21.05
3 models fit Genovis AB (publ.) and they disagree: 1 of 3 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Bronze50
Valued as a growth company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionGenovis AB (publ.) (GENO.ST)
Fair value (3 models)
kr 7.03
ACCE price target
kr 19.50
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 22 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 23 Oct 2026, 01:53 CEST.
Rating published on 22 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST.
Price used: kr 21.05 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 17:30 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
199.3% above
-66.6% to fair value
ACCE score
49
out of 100
P/E
70.2x
forward 44.8x
1-year return
-8.5%
Dividend yield
0.00%
Genovis AB (publ.) in four questions
Plain answers, details below
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Overview
ACCE thesis
Genovis sells enzyme-based tools, most notably the Cysteine Protease and Glycosidase families, that life science labs and biopharma manufacturers use to cut, trim and characterise proteins during drug development. The moat is the combination of proprietary enzyme discovery, an 88.6% gross margin that shows how little of each sale goes to cost of goods, and a consumables-style revenue base that recurs as customers move programmes from research into manufacturing. Revenue growth of 18.9% is the number to watch, with operating margin of 9.4% showing the company is still reinvesting heavily before scale shows up in the bottom line. At a trailing P/E of 68.0 and a forward P/E of 43.4, the market is already pricing in a meaningful step-up in earnings, so the case rests on whether margins expand as the installed base grows. Return on equity of 7.5% is thin for now, and the stock has no index membership, which limits passive demand. This is worth a deeper look to test the margin trajectory and the durability of the 18.9% growth rate.
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
high
Earnings collapse vs revenue growth
Revenue grew 18.9% year on year, but earnings fell 74.7%, and Q3 2026 EPS missed by 77.8%. Operating margin of 9.4% and net margin of 15.1% leave little cushion if the miss persists.
moderate
Rich valuation on weak earnings
P/E of 68.8 and EV/EBITDA of 27.0 at kr 21.05 price the stock for growth that the latest quarter did not deliver. Forward P/E is listed as 0.0, so no usable forward earnings estimate is in the data.
AI research notes
AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 22, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
Revenue grew 18.9% year over year, and has averaged 16.1% growth per year over five years.
Net margin of 15.1% shows the company keeps a meaningful share of each krona of sales as profit.
Analysts' mean price target of SEK 33.00 sits 60.2% above the current share price.
Why it could disappoint
Free cash flow of SEK 30M over the last twelve months gives a yield of just 2.2% at today's price.
A trailing P/E of 68.8x leaves little room for disappointment when earnings are this small.
The latest quarter's earnings per share came in 77.8% below expectations, at 0.02 against 0.09.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.
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Valuation
INVESTOR
Where GENO.ST's valuation models land
Price
kr 21.05
Model fair value
kr 7.03
Model range
kr 5.74 to kr 8.20
Fair value kr 7.03
Price kr 21.05
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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Quality
INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE
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Analysts
Wall Street consensus
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+Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
+Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
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