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FTNT
ACCE-researched

Fortinet Inc. Common Stock (FTNT) fair value

Technology · Software - Infrastructure · NASDAQ · United States
$179.99+4.05%
Market cap $132.1BNext earnings 2026-10-28Updated Oct 19, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 127% above our fair value
Price
$179.99
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$79.20
Model range
$63.76 to $94.65
Fair value $79.20
Price $180
2 models fit Fortinet Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 2 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Silver68
Valued as a growth company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionFortinet Inc. Common Stock (FTNT)
Fair value (2 models)
$79.20
ACCE price target
$151
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CEST; previously $90.52 since 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 2 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CEST.
Price used: $180 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
127.2% above
-56.0% to fair value
ACCE score
73
out of 100
Analysts
20% buy
44 covering
P/E
63.6x
forward 47.5x
1-year return
+111.9%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Fortinet Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Fortinet sells FortiGate firewalls, FortiSwitch and FortiAP networking hardware, and the FortiGuard security subscriptions that run on top of them, so a meaningful share of revenue recurs once a customer has deployed the appliances. The moat is the single operating system across firewalls, switches, access points and cloud workloads, which lets it sell consolidated platforms against point-product rivals and holds gross margin at 80.2%. Revenue growth of 25.6% is strong for a company of this scale, and the forward P/E of 45.0 against a trailing 64.3 says the market expects earnings to catch up quickly. The question for the deeper look is whether the 33.6% operating margin can keep expanding while the firm grows this fast, and whether the 73/100 score reflects that durability or already prices it.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Valuation well above fair value
    Forward P/E 51.6 and EV/EBITDA 52.1 leave little margin for error.
  • moderate
    Insider selling concentration
    Last 10 disclosures show $36.23M in sales, zero buys. Suggests insiders see limited upside at current price.
  • moderate
    Valuation score collapse
    V score only 15/100 despite strong fundamentals. Model flags extreme multiple relative to growth and profitability.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue accelerated to 25.6% year-over-year growth, well ahead of the 15.5% five-year average, showing strong market demand.
  • Net margin of 28.2% and ROE of 117.4% demonstrate exceptional profitability and capital efficiency relative to peers.
  • Latest earnings beat expectations by 22.7% while free cash flow reached 2.3B, supporting the company's ability to fund growth.
Why it could disappoint
  • Free cash flow yield of only 1.6% leaves minimal margin of safety if growth decelerates from current elevated levels.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Oct 28, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where FTNT's valuation models land
Price
$179.99
Model fair value
$79.20
Model range
$63.76 to $94.65
Fair value $79.20
Price $180
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish20% buy · 44 covering analysts
● Strong buy 8● Buy 1● Hold 30● Sell 2● Strong sell 3
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
0 buys · 2 sells
Since Apr 14, 2026, 2 members
Average delay
12 days
From trade to public filing
Full trade list on ProDo politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+6.4%
1 month
+0.7%
3 months
+18.1%
6 months
+113.4%
YTD
+126.7%
1 year
+111.9%

SEC filings

Recent ACCE blog coverage

  • $ZS Added to Index as Pure-Play SSE/SASE Bet
    Zscaler joins the ACCE book in a rebalance move. Here's what triggered the add, what the data shows, and how it affects existing FTNT weight.
    2026-05-25

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$169
19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CESTFair value$79.20$90.52$169
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$90.52$92.81$191
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$92.81$82.23$195
2 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$151first publication$179
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$82.23$83.83$173
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$83.83$82.90$179
19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$82.90$83.76$173
17 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$83.76$81.88$172
14 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$81.88$83.55$156

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth88Value15Quality91Momentum97Total73
Valuation
Trailing P/E
63.6x
Forward P/E
47.5x
PEG
1.40
P/B
82.43x
EV / Revenue
16.5x
Book value/sh
$2.11
Enterprise value
$124.3B
Profitability
ROE
117.4%
FCF yield
1.74%
ROIC
68.0%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.81
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.04

Member of

ACCE Cybersecurity

Price

+110.4% · 1Y

Ask anything about FTNT

Answered from Fortinet Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 80% of peers
low 19.8x63.6xhigh 5151.4x
ROEbetter than 100% of peers
low -14%117%high 117%
Div yieldbetter than 83% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 1.6%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
FTNT Fortinet Inc. Common Stock$179.99$79127% above63.6x117.4%9173
NET Cloudflare Inc. Class A Common Stock$303.61----14.4%3351
SNPS Synopsys Inc. Common Stock$422.48$24076% above76.0x3.7%6259
CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. Class A Common Stock$237.94--5151.4x1.5%5061
PANW Palo Alto Networks Inc. Common Stock$354.92--951.4x1.7%5968
XYZ Block Inc. Class A Common Stock$79.02$846% below134.1x1.6%4757
ORCL Oracle Corporation Common Stock$125.54$13910% below19.8x41.2%8259

Sector report card

Where FTNT ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 14, 2026
    Atos expands partnership with Fortinet to deliver a global unified cybersecurity framework across hybrid and multi-cloud environments
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 7, 2026
    Operational Technology Security Market Forecasts Growth from $27.39B (2026) to $58.94B by 2031, Profiling Cisco, Palo Alto Networks, Fortinet, Siemens, Honeywell & 35 Other Key Players
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 7, 2026
    SEON Appoints Ken Talanian as Chief Financial Officer
11 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 1
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-30
View on SEC →
Oct 1
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-30
View on SEC →
Oct 1
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-30
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR