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FCC.MC
ACCE-researched

Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A. (FCC.MC) fair value

Industrials · Waste Management · BME · Spain
€10.38+0.78%
Market cap €4.9BNext earnings 2027-02-25Updated Oct 22, 2026
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Our verdict
Trades 28% below our fair value
Price
€10.38
Model fair valueConfidence: good
€14.50
Model range
€7.05 to €24.65
Fair value €14.50
Price €10.38
4 models fit Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A. and they disagree: 0 of 4 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large discount(i)Bronze47
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionFomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A. (FCC.MC)
Fair value (4 models)
€14.50
ACCE price target
€10.50
Rating
Undervalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 22 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 22 Oct 2026, 16:00 CEST.
Rating published on 22 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST.
Price used: €10.38 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 17:30 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
28.4% below
+39.7% to fair value
ACCE score
61
out of 100
P/E
23.6x
forward 12.2x
1-year return
-10.4%
Dividend yield
4.85%

Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A. in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas runs waste collection, municipal cleaning, urban water and wastewater treatment, and construction and civil works, with Spain as its core market and a growing footprint in the UK and Portugal. Its moat rests on long-dated municipal and regional service concessions, which give it recurring, inflation-linked revenue and high switching costs for councils. Reported revenue growth of 13.7% is the figure to test, since a fast top line on a 6.1% operating margin suggests volume and pricing gains that have not yet reached the bottom line. The forward P/E of 12.1 against a trailing 23.4 implies earnings are expected to recover sharply, and that gap is the central question for a deeper look. The 8.6% ROE is thin for a business of this type, so the work should focus on whether margin normalisation and the capital intensity of its water and treatment assets justify the lower multiple.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 23, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Heavy leverage and thin margins
    Debt/Equity of 1.64 and a net margin of 2.0% leave little cushion if contract margins slip or refinancing costs rise.
  • moderate
    Insider-dominated ownership
    Insiders hold 88.6% of the shares, so institutional float is only 7.5%, which can mean thin trading and limited outside scrutiny.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 22, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 13.7% year over year in the June interim report, well ahead of its 9.5% five-year average pace.
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months reached EUR 487M, and the stock offers a 9.9% free cash flow yield.
  • Analysts' mean price target of EUR 13.83 sits 33.5% above the current share price of €10.38.
Why it could disappoint
  • Return on invested capital of 1.5% is thin, suggesting the business earns little on the capital it deploys.
  • Debt to equity of 1.64 means borrowings are heavy relative to shareholder funds, leaving less room for error.
  • The diluted share count rose 2.6% last fiscal year, so each share now claims a smaller slice of earnings.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Feb 25, 2027
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where FCC.MC's valuation models land
Price
€10.38
Model fair value
€14.50
Model range
€7.05 to €24.65
Fair value €14.50
Price €10.38
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

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  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Recent performance

1 week
+0.0%
1 month
-3.5%
3 months
-12.6%
6 months
-6.8%
YTD
-5.8%
1 year
-10.4%

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
22 Oct 2026, 16:00 CESTACCE price target€10.50first publication€10.36
22 Oct 2026, 12:04 CESTRatingUndervaluedfirst publication€10.36
22 Oct 2026, 12:04 CESTFair value€14.50first publication€10.36

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

This security trades in EUR. Exchange-rate movements can increase or reduce the result in your own currency.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth76Value87Quality42Momentum40Total61
Valuation
Trailing P/E
23.6x
Forward P/E
12.2x
PEG
0.47
P/B
1.49x
EV / Revenue
0.7x
Book value/sh
€7.22
Enterprise value
€7.5B
Profitability
ROE
8.6%
FCF yield
9.92%
ROIC
1.5%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
1.64
Dividend yield
4.85%
Beta
0.98

Price

-9.1% · 1Y

Ask anything about FCC.MC

Answered from Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A. fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 60% of peers
low 0.0x23.6xhigh 1084.6x
ROEbetter than 67% of peers
low -2%9%high 23%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0%4.8%high 4.8%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
FCC.MC Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A.€10.38€1528% below23.6x8.6%4261
CWST Casella Waste Systems Inc. Class A Common Stock$96.89$46109% above1084.6x0.4%4349
CWY.AX Cleanaway Waste Management LimitedA$3.00A$231% above74.8x3.2%5156
UMI.BR Umicore€17.89€181% below8.4x22.9%4070
SES.TO SECURE Waste Infrastructure Corp.C$24.62--41.7x16.3%6366
GFL GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value$44.14$2573% above--2.3%3149
GFL.TO GFL Environmental Inc.C$61.74C$3765% above--2.3%3151

Sector report card

Where FCC.MC ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…