3 models fit First Advantage Corporation Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 3 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
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Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionFirst Advantage Corporation Common Stock (FA)
Fair value (3 models)
$16.19
ACCE price target
$20.50
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 23 Oct 2026, 10:03 CEST; previously $17.60 since 18 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 23 Oct 2026, 10:03 CEST.
Price used: $21.25 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
31.2% above
-23.8% to fair value
ACCE score
68
out of 100
Analysts
60% buy
10 covering
P/E
151.8x
forward 14.1x
1-year return
+47.4%
Dividend yield
0.00%
First Advantage Corporation Common Stock in four questions
Plain answers, details below
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Overview
ACCE thesis
First Advantage runs background screening and identity verification, selling employment checks, drug testing, tenant screening and fraud-prevention services to employers and property managers. Its moat is mostly workflow: its platform is embedded in hiring and onboarding systems, and switching providers means reworking compliance processes that customers would rather not touch. Revenue grew 14.9% over the period in the data, and the gap between a trailing P/E of 143.4 and a forward P/E of 12.9 says earnings are recovering sharply from a depressed base, which is the number to check first. The 45.2% gross margin and 12.8% operating margin are respectable for a services business, though the 1.9% ROE shows how little equity sits behind the earnings, so the balance sheet deserves a look alongside the recovery story. At a market cap of about $3.4B with no index membership, the name is small enough that the forward multiple could be mispriced if the earnings rebound holds, which is worth testing against the debt load and the cyclicality of hiring volumes.
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
high
Earnings growth not repeatable
Earnings are up 5498.7% YoY on a net margin of just 1.5%, and the P/E of 139.7 against a forward P/E of 13.0 implies a one-off or very low trailing base rather than sustained profit growth.
moderate
Leverage elevated
Debt/Equity of 1.59 is high for a business with a 1.9% ROE, so the balance sheet leaves little room if revenue growth slows from the 14.9% pace.
moderate
Heavy short interest
Short interest stands at 12.2%, and insiders bought $0.11M against $0.38M of sales over the last 10 disclosed trades.
moderate
Sequential revenue decline
Revenue fell 8.3% quarter on quarter even though it grew 14.9% year on year, which points to a slowdown that the annual figure hides.
AI research notes
AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 21, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
Revenue grew 14.9% over the past year, against a five-year average of 25.3% per year, showing the business is still expanding.
Earnings per share beat expectations by 22.2% in the latest report, with 0.33 reported against 0.27 expected.
Why it could disappoint
Net margin is just 1.5% and return on equity is 1.9%, so little of each dollar of sales reaches shareholders as profit.
The company's debt is 1.59 times its equity, and its return on invested capital is -0.8%, so it earns less than its capital costs.
The diluted share count rose 16.6% last fiscal year, which dilutes existing holders' stake in future earnings.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.
Next results
Nov 5, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle
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Valuation
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Where FA's valuation models land
Price
$21.25
Model fair value
$16.19
Model range
$8.16 to $27.63
Fair value $16.19
Price $21.25
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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