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ERAG.DE

Ernst Russ AG (ERAG.DE) fair value

Industrials · Marine Shipping · XETRA · Germany
€8.94-0.89%
Market cap €301MNext earnings 2026-11-12Updated Oct 23, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 66% below our fair value
Price
€8.94
Model fair valueConfidence: good
€26.61
Model range
€21.82 to €31.40
Fair value €26.61
Price €8.94
2 models fit Ernst Russ AG and they disagree: 0 of 2 land within 15% of the average. The price is below every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large discount(i)Gold86
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Discounted cash flow, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionErnst Russ AG (ERAG.DE)
Fair value (2 models)
€26.61
ACCE price target
€9.20
Rating
Undervalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 23 Oct 2026, 11:04 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 23 Oct 2026, 01:52 CEST.
Rating published on 23 Oct 2026, 11:04 CEST.
Price used: €8.94 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 17:30 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
66.4% below
+197.6% to fair value
ACCE score
78
out of 100
P/E
5.1x
forward 11.2x
1-year return
+27.7%
Dividend yield
2.72%

Ernst Russ AG in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Ernst Russ AG is a Hamburg-based marine shipping company that owns and charters out container vessels, with the bulk of its earnings coming from long-term charter income on its fleet rather than from spot freight. Its structural edge is a mid-sized, asset-backed fleet run with a lean cost base, which the 54.6% gross margin and 30.3% operating margin reflect. Revenue growth of 12.8% is the most visible sign that the fleet and charter book are expanding, though the company's sensitivity to container rates and charter cycles means that growth can reverse quickly. At a trailing P/E of 5.2 and a forward P/E of 11.3, the market is pricing in a meaningful earnings decline ahead, or is simply discounting a cyclical sector, which is the question worth testing before anything else. A 25.6% ROE on a 304M EUR market cap, with no index membership to force passive buying, makes this a small-cap name that a concentrated fund can research in depth without crowding.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 23, 2026

Next results

Nov 12, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where ERAG.DE's valuation models land
Price
€8.94
Model fair value
€26.61
Model range
€21.82 to €31.40
Fair value €26.61
Price €8.94
The price is below the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Recent performance

1 week
-3.9%
1 month
-14.4%
3 months
+18.3%
6 months
+10.1%
YTD
+28.4%
1 year
+27.7%

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
23 Oct 2026, 11:04 CESTRatingUndervaluedfirst publication€9.02
23 Oct 2026, 11:04 CESTFair value€26.61first publication€9.02
23 Oct 2026, 01:52 CESTACCE price target€9.20first publication€9.02

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

This security trades in EUR. Exchange-rate movements can increase or reduce the result in your own currency.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth40Value91Quality96Momentum83Total78
Valuation
Trailing P/E
5.1x
Forward P/E
11.2x
PEG
no data
P/B
1.32x
EV / Revenue
1.5x
Book value/sh
€7.72
Enterprise value
€229M
Profitability
ROE
25.6%
FCF yield
14.42%
ROIC
24.1%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.01
Dividend yield
2.72%
Beta
1.23

Price

+27.7% · 1Y

Ask anything about ERAG.DE

Answered from Ernst Russ AG fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 80% of peers
low 3.4x5.1xhigh 665.7x
ROEbetter than 83% of peers
low -7%26%high 29%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%2.7%high 9.1%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
ERAG.DE Ernst Russ AG€8.94€2766% below5.1x25.6%9678
SHIP Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. Common Stock$15.35$164% below5.7x21.4%8688
DSX Diana Shipping inc. common stock$2.53$28% above5.2x11.5%6876
GASS StealthGas Inc. Common Stock$8.10$2263% below5.4x8.5%8157
ESEA Euroseas Ltd. Common Stock (Marshall Islands)$66.27--3.4x29.2%9668
CMDB Costamare Bulkers Holdings Limited Common Stock$19.94--665.7x0.6%3948
SMHI SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. Common Stock $8.34----7.0%2639

Sector report card

Where ERAG.DE ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…