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EA
ACCE-researched

Electronic Arts Inc. Common Stock (EA) fair value

Communication Services · Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · NASDAQ · United States
$209.70+0.00%
Market cap $52.9BNext earnings 2026-11-03Updated Oct 19, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 90% above our fair value
Price
$209.70
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$110
Model range
$92.95 to $125
Fair value $110
Price $210
2 models fit Electronic Arts Inc. Common Stock and they agree: 2 of 2 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Gold96
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionElectronic Arts Inc. Common Stock (EA)
Fair value (2 models)
$110
ACCE price target
$209
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 19 Oct 2026, 18:04 CEST; previously $180 since 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 18 Oct 2026, 01:52 CEST; previously $205 since 20 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 19 Oct 2026, 18:04 CEST.
Price used: $210 at the close on 14 Aug 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
90.3% above
-47.4% to fair value
ACCE score
88
out of 100
Analysts
36% buy
28 covering
P/E
49.0x
forward 24.1x
1-year return
+17.1%
Dividend yield
0.36%

Electronic Arts Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

EA publishes the EA Sports franchises (EA Sports FC, Madden NFL, College Football), plus Battlefield and The Sims, and earns much of its money from live-service spending inside those games. Revenue growth of 18.9% at a 79.9% gross margin is a strong profile for a publisher this size. The trailing PE of 49.0 falls to 24.1 on forward earnings, so the market expects profits to rise sharply. Before relying on the share price, confirm the status of the take-private agreement announced in 2025, because it would cap the stock's trading behaviour. The internal score is 88/100, the highest of the games names screened here.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 12, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Earnings surprise collapse
    Q3 2026 EPS missed by 185.2%, yet YoY earnings growth shows +97.5%. Reconcile this contradiction; suggests either one-time charge or guidance reset risk.
  • high
    Sequential revenue cliff
    QoQ revenue declined 27.6% despite +18.9% YoY growth. Seasonal or structural? Material deceleration warrants clarification on forward guidance.
  • moderate
    Valuation multiple compression
    Trailing P/E of 59.7 vs forward P/E of 21.8 implies sharp earnings decline priced in.
  • moderate
    Insider selling pressure
    Last 10 disclosures show $5.19M in sales, zero buys. Modest absolute level but directional signal of insider caution post-earnings miss.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Aug 14, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue jumped 18.9% year over year, driven by live-service engagement and new releases.
  • Strong capital returns: net margin of 13.8% and ROE of 16.5% show efficient operations.
  • Share buybacks reduced diluted count by 4.2% last year, concentrating value for remaining shareholders.
Why it could disappoint
  • Consensus fair value sits 14.4% below current price, and only 2 of 5 valuation models support current levels.
  • Latest earnings missed expectations by 185.2%, signaling execution risk beneath the recent revenue beat.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where EA's valuation models land
Price
$209.70
Model fair value
$110
Model range
$92.95 to $125
Fair value $110
Price $210
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish36% buy · 28 covering analysts
● Strong buy 10● Buy 0● Hold 18● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
2 buys · 2 sells
Since May 15, 2026, 1 member
Average delay
24 days
From trade to public filing
Full trade list on ProDo politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+0.0%
1 month
+1.1%
3 months
+4.5%
6 months
+4.5%
YTD
+2.6%
1 year
+17.1%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
19 Oct 2026, 18:04 CESTFair value$110$180$210
19 Oct 2026, 18:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$210
18 Oct 2026, 01:52 CESTACCE price target$209$205$210
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$180$130$210
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$130$134$210
20 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$205first publication$210
14 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$134$136$210
12 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$136$137$210
5 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$137$139$210
23 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$139$85.25$210

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth88Value-Quality87Momentum-Total88
Valuation
Trailing P/E
49.0x
Forward P/E
24.1x
PEG
1.30
P/B
7.48x
EV / Revenue
6.6x
Book value/sh
$26.98
Enterprise value
$52.1B
Profitability
ROE
16.5%
FCF yield
4.39%
ROIC
8.4%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.27
Dividend yield
0.36%
Beta
0.64

Price

+4.4% · 1Y

Ask anything about EA

Answered from Electronic Arts Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 0% of peers
low 16.2x49.0xhigh 49.0x
ROEbetter than 50% of peers
low -432%16%high 21%
Div yieldbetter than 33% of peers
low 0.0%0.4%high 2.5%

Peers

Prices Aug 14, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
EA Electronic Arts Inc. Common Stock$209.70$11090% above49.0x16.5%8788
7974.T Nintendo¥8699.00¥515669% above21.2x14.9%5148
TTWO Take-Two Interactive Software Inc. Common Stock$207.81----9.0%3429
RBLX Roblox Corporation Class A Common Stock$53.96----432.3%2137
9999.HK NetEase, Inc.HK$181.80HK$28536% below16.2x20.4%9561
NTES NetEase Inc. American Depositary Shares$118.67$1144% above16.5x20.4%9563
9766.T Konami Group Corporation¥25175.00--21.0x21.2%9180

Sector report card

Where EA ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
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40 filings
August 2026
Aug 4
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-04
View on SEC →
Aug 4
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-04
View on SEC →
Aug 4
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-04
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR