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E
ACCE-researched

ENI S.p.A. Common Stock (E) fair value

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated · NYSE · United States
$62.08+4.28%
Market cap $85.2BNext earnings 2026-10-23Updated Oct 20, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 42% above our fair value
Price
$62.08
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$43.65
Model range
$19.46 to $73.68
Fair value $43.65
Price $62.08
3 models fit ENI S.p.A. Common Stock and they disagree: 1 of 3 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Premium(i)Silver74
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Discounted cash flow, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionENI S.p.A. Common Stock (E)
Fair value (3 models)
$43.65
ACCE price target
$65.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 20 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST; previously $37.24 since 16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 24 Oct 2026, 03:20 CEST; previously $58.00 since 19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 20 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST.
Price used: $62.08 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
42.2% above
-29.7% to fair value
ACCE score
77
out of 100
Analysts
0% buy
5 covering
P/E
20.7x
forward 9.8x
1-year return
+71.5%
Dividend yield
4.10%

ENI S.p.A. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

ENI produces crude oil, natural gas, and refined products from operations across Europe, Africa, and the Caspian region, with downstream refining and retail networks concentrated in Italy and the Mediterranean. The company benefits from a structural shift toward energy security in Europe, where geopolitical tensions have reduced reliance on Russian supply and created sustained demand for diversified sources. Production from the Zohr gas field in Egypt and recent discoveries offshore West Africa position ENI to grow output volumes through the mid-2020s as these projects ramp. The forward PE of 8.7x reflects depressed valuations typical of European integrated oil majors, yet ENI trades at a discount to peers despite higher return on equity and a dividend yield above 4%. At current commodity prices, the company generates sufficient free cash flow to fund capex, service debt, and return capital while maintaining production growth, making the valuation compelling if energy demand remains resilient.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 12, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Negative free cash flow
    FCF is -$9.0B despite $80B market cap and positive net income. Unsustainable cash burn requires external funding or asset sales.
  • moderate
    Quality score weakness
    ACCE Quality component at 52/100, dragging overall score. Suggests earnings quality or accounting concerns warrant scrutiny.
  • moderate
    Long-term revenue decline
    5-year revenue CAGR of -14.7% masks recent recovery. Structural headwinds in legacy oil & gas assets may resurface.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue surged 18.5% year over year, suggesting strong near-term commodity tailwinds and operational momentum.
  • Share buybacks reduced diluted count by 4.4%, boosting per-share value without requiring earnings growth.
Why it could disappoint
  • Free cash flow was negative EUR 9.0B last 12 months, raising questions about dividend and capex sustainability.
  • Five-year revenue declined 14.7% annually on average, showing structural headwinds despite recent commodity strength.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where E's valuation models land
Price
$62.08
Model fair value
$43.65
Model range
$19.46 to $73.68
Fair value $43.65
Price $62.08
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish0% buy · 5 covering analysts
● Strong buy 0● Buy 0● Hold 5● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+5.0%
1 month
+13.2%
3 months
+18.5%
6 months
+14.7%
YTD
+63.6%
1 year
+71.5%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
24 Oct 2026, 03:20 CESTACCE price target$65.00$58.00$62.08
20 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$58.85
20 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTFair value$43.65$37.24$58.85
16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$37.24$39.78$57.71
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$39.78$84.31$56.00
1 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$84.31$85.24$48.13
29 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$85.24$86.77$47.98
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$86.77$88.46$46.46
22 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$88.46$89.98$47.66
19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$58.00first publication$54.62

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth88Value88Quality47Momentum83Total77
Valuation
Trailing P/E
20.7x
Forward P/E
9.8x
PEG
0.43
P/B
1.32x
EV / Revenue
1.0x
Book value/sh
€35.46
Enterprise value
$104.1B
Profitability
ROE
10.9%
FCF yield
6.12%
ROIC
2.6%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.91
Dividend yield
4.10%
Beta
0.26

Member of

ACCE Fair Value Leaders

Price

+68.6% · 1Y

Ask anything about E

Answered from ENI S.p.A. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 33% of peers
low 12.6x20.7xhigh 22.5x
ROEbetter than 17% of peers
low 4%11%high 21%
Div yieldbetter than 83% of peers
low 1.7%4.1%high 4.9%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
E ENI S.p.A. Common Stock$62.08$4442% above20.7x10.9%4777
ENI.MI Eni€26.13--22.5x10.9%5275
SU Suncor Energy Inc. Common Stock$77.41$4959% above14.6x19.3%8890
SU.TO Suncor EnergyC$108.39C$6565% above15.2x19.3%8892
0386.HK China Petroleum & Chemical CorporationHK$4.44HK$631% below13.5x4.1%3451
EQNR Equinor ASA$46.42$454% above12.6x21.3%7690
IMO.TO Imperial OilC$184.78C$10282% above22.1x16.8%6880

Sector report card

Where E ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
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3 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 14
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-10-14
View on SEC →
Oct 7
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-10-02
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 30
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-09-22
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR