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DPZ

Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock (DPZ) fair value

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants · NASDAQ · United States
$313.61-1.29%
Market cap $10.3BNext earnings 2026-10-13Updated Oct 21, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 60% above our fair value
Price
$313.61
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$196
Model range
$96.41 to $344
Fair value $196
Price $314
4 models fit Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock and they disagree: 1 of 4 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Bronze40
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionDomino's Pizza Inc Common Stock (DPZ)
Fair value (4 models)
$196
ACCE price target
$329
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 21 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST; previously $193 since 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 18 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST; previously $337 since 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST.
Price used: $314 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Dividend discount.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
60.4% above
-37.6% to fair value
ACCE score
48
out of 100
Analysts
47% buy
30 covering
P/E
17.3x
forward 15.2x
1-year return
-25.6%
Dividend yield
2.51%

Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Domino's runs the pizza delivery and carryout chain, with most of its roughly 20,000 stores operated by franchisees and most of its revenue coming from royalties, supply chain sales to those franchisees, and company-owned store sales. Its moat is scale in delivery logistics and digital ordering, where the majority of U.S. orders now come through its app and website, which lowers labor and marketing cost per order relative to smaller pizza chains. Revenue growth of 3.4% is modest, so the investment case rests on margins and cash generation rather than top-line acceleration. The stock trades at 17.0 times trailing earnings and 15.0 times forward earnings, a moderate multiple for a franchisor with a 20.4% operating margin. ROE is reported at 0.0%, which reflects the company's heavy use of debt-funded buybacks and an equity base shrunk by them, so returns on book capital should be read with that in mind. The composite score of 47/100 is weak, and the name is not in any index we track, so the case needs checking against the full model before anyone looks further.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026

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Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where DPZ's valuation models land
Price
$313.61
Model fair value
$196
Model range
$96.41 to $344
Fair value $196
Price $314
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Mixed47% buy · 30 covering analysts
● Strong buy 12● Buy 2● Hold 15● Sell 0● Strong sell 1
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
1 buy · 2 sells
Since Apr 14, 2026, 1 member
Average delay
22 days
From trade to public filing
Full trade list on ProDo politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+1.6%
1 month
+5.8%
3 months
-5.8%
6 months
-14.7%
YTD
-24.8%
1 year
-25.6%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
21 Oct 2026, 12:04 CESTFair value$196$193$316
21 Oct 2026, 12:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$316
18 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$329$337$309
17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$193$220$303
16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$220$185$296
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$185$189$296
14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$189$194$311
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$194$203$309
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$337first publication$309
4 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$203$194$298

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth48Value75Quality47Momentum23Total48
Valuation
Trailing P/E
17.3x
Forward P/E
15.2x
PEG
1.35
P/B
0.00x
EV / Revenue
2.9x
Book value/sh
$-120.23
Enterprise value
$14.8B
Profitability
ROE
0.0%
FCF yield
6.56%
ROIC
no data
Health and risk
Debt / equity
-1.34
Dividend yield
2.51%
Beta
0.95

Price

-24.4% · 1Y

Ask anything about DPZ

Answered from Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 83% of peers
low 16.8x17.3xhigh 58.0x
ROEbetter than 0% of peers
low 0%0%high 120%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0%2.5%high 2.5%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
DPZ Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock$313.61$19660% above17.3x0.0%4748
TXRH Texas Roadhouse Inc. Common Stock$172.78$9385% above26.5x27.7%7054
7550.T Zensho Holdings Co., Ltd.¥11715.00--36.8x17.9%5664
3563.T Food & Life Companies Ltd.¥5778.00--42.2x30.0%6872
EAT Brinker International Inc. Common Stock$190.11$1759% above16.8x119.6%5668
BROS Dutch Bros Inc. Class A Common Stock$41.75$16163% above58.0x14.6%5148
2702.T McDonald's Holdings Company (Japan), Ltd.¥8250.00--30.1x13.2%6445

Sector report card

Where DPZ ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Oct 5, 2026
    Domino's® is Kicking Off National Pizza Month by Offering 50% Off All Menu-Priced Pizzas, Including the Domino™
  • PR Newswire•Oct 2, 2026
    Domino's® and the National Fire Protection Association® Team Up to Deliver Fire Safety Messages
  • PR Newswire•Sep 10, 2026
    Domino's® Announces Q3 2026 Earnings Webcast
3 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 13
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-09-06
View on SEC →
Oct 13
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-13
View on SEC →
Oct 8
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-02
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR