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DK

Delek US Holdings Inc. Common Stock (DK) fair value

Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · NYSE · United States
$74.41-1.82%
Market cap $4.6BNext earnings 2026-11-06Updated Oct 19, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 74% below our fair value
Price
$74.41
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$283
Only one of our models could value this stock with confidence, so use it as a guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison and Discounted cash flow.
ACCE opinionDelek US Holdings Inc. Common Stock (DK)
Fair value (2 models)
Not available
ACCE price target
$77.00
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $74.41 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
76
out of 100
Analysts
46% buy
13 covering
P/E
21.2x
forward 20.3x
1-year return
+98.1%
Dividend yield
1.30%

Delek US Holdings Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Delek US Holdings runs a small-to-mid-sized independent refining system, with refineries in Tyler, Texas and El Dorado, Arkansas, plus a Big Spring, Texas facility, feeding gasoline, diesel and jet fuel into regional wholesale and retail channels. Its edge is regional: it sells into inland Southern and Southwestern markets that are structurally short refining capacity and far from coastal supply, which supports local crack spreads and lets a non-integrated refiner keep more of its margin. The near-term swing factor is refining margin itself, since revenue growth of 47.8% shows the top line has moved sharply higher and the 10.4% gross margin and 7.6% operating margin will decide how much of that reaches shareholders. At 20.8x trailing and 20.3x forward earnings the stock is not cheap on a cyclical peak-margin basis, so the question for a PM is whether current throughput and spreads are durable or a cyclical high. The 78.8% ROE is flattered by a thin equity base and should be checked against through-cycle returns before it is read as a quality signal. A composite score of 76/100 and no index membership put it outside the large-cap benchmarks, so any position would need its own liquidity and balance sheet review.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Thin cash generation
    Free cash flow is $22M against a $4.6B market cap, and debt/equity sits at 11.70. Earnings jumped 1870% on a 1.9% net margin, so the rebound rests on a low base and leverage.
  • moderate
    Heavy insider selling
    Insiders disclosed $11.08M in sales across their last 10 filings and no purchases, while the stock trades at $77.33 against an ACCE fair value of $77.00.
  • moderate
    Elevated short interest
    Short interest stands at 12.4% of float, meaning a meaningful minority of holders are betting on the stock falling.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 13, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 47.8% year over year, well above the company's 8.0% average annual pace over five years.
  • The latest quarterly earnings per share came in at 5.48 against 2.21 expected, a 148.0% surprise.
  • The analyst mean price target of $78.54 sits 1.6% above the $77.33 share price.
Why it could disappoint
  • Return on invested capital is negative at -0.5%, so the business is not currently earning back its cost of capital.
  • Debt is 11.70 times equity, leaving very little cushion if refining margins weaken.
  • Free cash flow yield is only 0.5%, and the trailing 12-month free cash flow was just $22M.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 6, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where DK's valuation models land
Price
$74.41
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$283
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Mixed46% buy · 13 covering analysts
● Strong buy 5● Buy 1● Hold 6● Sell 1● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-2.8%
1 month
+3.0%
3 months
+17.7%
6 months
+87.6%
YTD
+150.9%
1 year
+98.1%

SEC filings

Held by ETFs

ETFs we cover that hold Delek US Holdings Inc. Common Stock among their largest holdings, by weight.

  • XOP · SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production2.6% of the fund
Holdings as of 2026-10-24

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$77.00first publication$74.51
7 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$54.04$54.75$75.40
4 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$54.75$51.52$74.19
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$51.52$54.39$67.84
25 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$54.39$55.99$72.26
23 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$55.99$57.10$74.37
21 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$57.10$58.63$78.12
18 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$58.63$56.50$79.16
11 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$56.50$57.34$75.28
9 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$57.34$54.96$71.86

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth100Value65Quality41Momentum97Total76
Valuation
Trailing P/E
21.2x
Forward P/E
20.3x
PEG
0.01
P/B
23.72x
EV / Revenue
0.6x
Book value/sh
$3.05
Enterprise value
$7.1B
Profitability
ROE
78.8%
FCF yield
0.47%
ROIC
-0.5%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
11.70
Dividend yield
1.30%
Beta
0.60

Price

+99.0% · 1Y

Ask anything about DK

Answered from Delek US Holdings Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 40% of peers
low 4.5x21.2xhigh 88.1x
ROEbetter than 100% of peers
low -18%79%high 79%
Div yieldbetter than 33% of peers
low 0.0%1.3%high 32.6%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
DK Delek US Holdings Inc. Common Stock$74.41--21.2x78.8%4176
PETRONET.NS Petronet LNG Limited₹286.30--10.2x-7167
RUI.PA Rubis€35.96€4111% below11.1x12.0%4871
IEP Icahn Enterprises L.P. Common Stock$5.77----17.8%1741
PARR Par Pacific Holdings Inc. Common Stock$77.15$8914% below4.5x53.5%6989
CVI CVR Energy Inc. Common Stock$58.16$26124% above88.1x24.3%3560
VEA.AX Viva Energy Group LimitedA$2.79A$1108% above21.8x12.9%3169

Sector report card

Where DK ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 16, 2026
    Delek US Holdings to Host Third Quarter 2026 Conference Call on November 6, 2026
  • Business Wire•Sep 25, 2026
    Delek US Holdings, Inc. Announces Pricing of $400 Million of Convertible Senior Notes
  • Business Wire•Sep 24, 2026
    Delek US Holdings, Inc. Announces Proposed Offering of Convertible Senior Notes
3 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
September 2026
Sep 29
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-24
View on SEC →
Sep 15
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-11
View on SEC →
Sep 15
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-11
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR