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CPHN.SW

CPH Group AG (CPHN.SW) fair value

Basic Materials · Paper & Paper Products · SIX · Switzerland
CHF 57.20+0.70%
Market cap CHF 343MNext earnings 2025-07-18Updated Oct 22, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 37% above our fair value
Price
CHF 57.20
Model fair valueConfidence: good
CHF 41.68
Model range
CHF 25.60 to CHF 54.74
Fair value CHF 41.68
Price CHF 57.20
3 models fit CPH Group AG and they disagree: 1 of 3 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Premium(i)
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Discounted cash flow, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionCPH Group AG (CPHN.SW)
Fair value (3 models)
CHF 41.68
ACCE price target
CHF 59.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 22 Oct 2026, 14:04 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 23 Oct 2026, 01:52 CEST.
Rating published on 22 Oct 2026, 14:04 CEST.
Price used: CHF 57.20 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 17:30 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
37.2% above
-27.1% to fair value
ACCE score
44
out of 100
P/E
16.7x
forward 11.7x
1-year return
-18.1%
Dividend yield
3.52%

CPH Group AG in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

CPH Group AG, a Swiss company on the SIX exchange, makes paper and paper products, a category too broad to be useful, so the specifics matter: check with the company's filings before relying on any product-level claim. What the numbers show is a business with a 48.4% gross margin and a 10.8% operating margin, which is unusually high for paper, and a 10.1% ROE on a CHF 341M market cap. Revenue growth has been essentially flat at 0.1%, so the investment case rests on margin durability and valuation rather than top-line expansion. At 16.6x trailing earnings against 11.6x forward, the market is pricing in a meaningful earnings rebound, which is the first thing to test. The next step is to pull the segment disclosures and see whether the forward estimates are backed by cost or mix changes that can actually be seen in reported results.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 23, 2026

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where CPHN.SW's valuation models land
Price
CHF 57.20
Model fair value
CHF 41.68
Model range
CHF 25.60 to CHF 54.74
Fair value CHF 41.68
Price CHF 57.20
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Recent performance

1 week
+0.4%
1 month
-3.4%
3 months
-1.0%
6 months
-7.1%
YTD
-17.3%
1 year
-18.1%

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
23 Oct 2026, 01:52 CESTACCE price targetCHF 59.00first publicationCHF 56.80
22 Oct 2026, 14:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publicationCHF 55.40
22 Oct 2026, 14:04 CESTFair valueCHF 41.68first publicationCHF 55.40

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

This security trades in CHF. Exchange-rate movements can increase or reduce the result in your own currency.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth19Value57Quality67Momentum31Total44
Valuation
Trailing P/E
16.7x
Forward P/E
11.7x
PEG
no data
P/B
1.69x
EV / Revenue
1.1x
Book value/sh
CHF 35.13
Enterprise value
CHF 381M
Profitability
ROE
10.1%
FCF yield
3.79%
ROIC
7.5%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.26
Dividend yield
3.52%
Beta
0.24

Price

-17.3% · 1Y

Ask anything about CPHN.SW

Answered from CPH Group AG fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 40% of peers
low 0.0x16.7xhigh 830.0x
ROEbetter than 100% of peers
low -13%10%high 10%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%3.5%high 5.8%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
CPHN.SW CPH Group AGCHF 57.20CHF 4237% above16.7x10.1%6744
MCM.MC Miquel y Costas & Miquel, S.A.€9.74€1218% below11.2x9.7%7446
CLW Clearwater Paper Corporation Common Stock$19.04----10.4%2739
ENC.MC ENCE Energía y Celulosa, S.A.€2.20----12.8%3934
2002.HK China Sunshine Paper Holdings Company LimitedHK$1.71HK$454% below12.4x2.9%2558
IBG.MC Iberpapel Gestión, S.A.€16.60€2739% below830.0x0.0%4646
ALTR.LS Altri, SGPS, S.A.€4.26€338% above71.0x2.8%3444

Sector report card

Where CPHN.SW ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…