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CHT
ACCE-researched

Chunghwa Telecom Co. Ltd. (CHT) fair value

Communication Services · Telecom Services · NYSE · United States
$48.51-0.43%
Market cap $37.8BNext earnings 2026-11-05Updated Oct 21, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 112% above our fair value
Price
$48.51
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$22.87
Model range
$16.08 to $30.32
Fair value $22.87
Price $48.51
5 models fit Chunghwa Telecom Co. Ltd. and they partly agree: 3 of 5 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Silver66
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionChunghwa Telecom Co. Ltd. (CHT)
Fair value (5 models)
$22.87
ACCE price target
$44.90
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST; previously $18.80 since 8 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 18 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST; previously $40.00 since 19 May 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CEST.
Price used: $48.51 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, Dividend discount, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
112.1% above
-52.9% to fair value
ACCE score
65
out of 100
Analysts
0% buy
1 covering
P/E
29.0x
forward 26.5x
1-year return
+12.3%
Dividend yield
3.31%

Chunghwa Telecom Co. Ltd. in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Chunghwa Telecom is Taiwan's largest telecom operator, selling fixed-line and mobile service, broadband, and enterprise data and cloud products under its own brand, with a 36.5% gross margin and a 21.6% operating margin that reflect a mostly regulated, infrastructure-heavy incumbent position. The structural case rests on that incumbency: a dense fibre network and a large subscriber base that new entrants would struggle to replicate, with revenue growing 8.2%, faster than a mature telecom profile would suggest. The near-term driver is the enterprise and cloud business, where Chunghwa is positioning data centre and managed-service offerings as growth lines alongside its core connectivity revenue. At 28.2x trailing and 26.5x forward earnings the stock is not cheap for a 10.9% ROE business, so the question for a deeper look is whether the enterprise mix shift lifts returns enough to justify that multiple. With a score of 62/100 and no index membership, the name sits outside the usual screens, which may be part of why it is worth a closer read.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Valuation premium to fair value
    Forward P/E of 26.5 elevated for telecom sector with 4.6% earnings growth.
  • moderate
    Earnings growth deceleration
    YoY earnings growth of 4.6% trails revenue growth of 8.2%. Five-year revenue CAGR of 2.5% signals structural slowdown in core business.
  • moderate
    Governance score weakness
    ACCE Governance score of 52/100 is the weakest component of the model, well below overall score of 62. Warrants review of capital allocation and board oversight.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Recent revenue growth of 8.2% year over year significantly outpaces the 5-year average of 2.5%, suggesting accelerating momentum.
  • Strong balance sheet with 0.10 debt to equity and TWD 49.6B free cash flow supports a 3.5% dividend yield.
  • Net margin of 16.1% and share buybacks reducing dilution by 0.3% demonstrate operational efficiency and capital discipline.
Why it could disappoint
  • Trailing P/E of 28.0x and forward P/E of 26.5x price in growth that long-term 2.5% average suggests may not materialize.
  • ROE of 10.9% and ROIC of 7.5% lag cost of capital, indicating the company struggles to generate returns above its hurdle rate.
  • No analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy, and the 4.5% upside to mean price target of 48.08 offers limited margin of safety.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 5, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where CHT's valuation models land
Price
$48.51
Model fair value
$22.87
Model range
$16.08 to $30.32
Fair value $22.87
Price $48.51
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish0% buy · 1 covering analyst
● Strong buy 0● Buy 0● Hold 1● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+1.8%
1 month
+5.0%
3 months
+13.5%
6 months
+12.7%
YTD
+16.3%
1 year
+12.3%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$47.59
18 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$44.90$40.00$47.64
16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$22.98$18.80$46.51
8 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$18.80$18.55$46.08
5 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$18.55$19.28$46.16
29 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$19.28$19.51$46.15
27 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$19.51$19.74$46.15
22 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$19.74$19.94$45.90
20 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$19.94$21.39$45.90
17 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$21.39$19.75$45.37

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth52Value61Quality70Momentum76Total65
Valuation
Trailing P/E
29.0x
Forward P/E
26.5x
PEG
1.69
P/B
3.08x
EV / Revenue
4.4x
Book value/sh
TWD 3.65
Enterprise value
$34.3B
Profitability
ROE
10.9%
FCF yield
4.12%
ROIC
7.5%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.10
Dividend yield
3.31%
Beta
0.10

Price

+12.0% · 1Y

Ask anything about CHT

Answered from Chunghwa Telecom Co. Ltd. fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 0% of peers
low 0.0x29.0xhigh 29.0x
ROEbetter than 50% of peers
low -112%11%high 15%
Div yieldbetter than 17% of peers
low 0.0%3.3%high 5.2%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
CHT Chunghwa Telecom Co. Ltd.$48.51$23112% above29.0x10.9%7065
VOD Vodafone Group Plc American Depositary Shares$16.12$2639% below-0.1%3851
TLS.AX Telstra GroupA$4.86A$343% above24.7x15.4%6748
VOD.L Vodafone Group£1.20£234% below-0.1%3851
ORA.PA Orange€14.37€1048% above13.5x14.2%5854
SCMN.SW SwisscomCHF 684.00CHF 51732% above27.0x11.4%6363
ECHO EchoStar Corporation Common Stock$85.79----112.3%3033

Sector report card

Where CHT ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 6, 2026
    Taiwan Data Center Colocation Market - Supply and Demand Analysis, 2026-2031 | AI, Cloud, and Hyperscale Demand to Drive 15.98% CAGR and High-Density Investment
  • PR Newswire•Sep 17, 2026
    Chunghwa Telecom Receives Frost & Sullivan's 2026 Taiwanese Customer Value Leadership Recognition for AI-Powered Customer Services
  • PR Newswire•Sep 17, 2026
    Chunghwa Telecom Receives Frost & Sullivan's 2026 Taiwanese Customer Value Leadership Recognition for AI-Powered Customer Services
7 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 13
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-10-13
View on SEC →
Oct 5
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-10-05
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 10
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-09-10
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR