AACCE Investments
ScreenerStocksIndicesPicksETFsBlogPricing

© 2026 ACCE Investments. All rights reserved.

ACCE Investments - Institutional-grade stock research for retail investors | BetaList
IndicesStocksETFsScreenerBlogGlossaryCompareMarket dataAdvisors
TermsPrivacyCookiesDisclaimerLegal noticeProfessional termsAboutContact
CARM.PA

Carmila S.A. (CARM.PA) fair value

Real Estate · REIT - Retail · Euronext Paris · France
€14.44+0.00%
Market cap €2.0BNext earnings 2027-02-17Updated Oct 22, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Close to our fair value
Price
€14.44
Model fair valueConfidence: good
€14.83
Model range
€14.59 to €14.95
Fair value €14.83
Price €14.44
2 models fit Carmila S.A. and they agree: 2 of 2 land within 15% of the average. The price is below every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Near fair value(i)Bronze40
Valued as a REIT (property company): Price to FFO, Dividend discount, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionCarmila S.A. (CARM.PA)
Fair value (2 models)
€14.83
ACCE price target
€15.20
Rating
Fairly valued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 22 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 23 Oct 2026, 01:53 CEST.
Rating published on 22 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST.
Price used: €14.44 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 17:30 CEST.
Models: Dividend discount and Price to FFO.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
2.6% below
+2.7% to fair value
ACCE score
56
out of 100
P/E
6.8x
forward 7.4x
1-year return
-17.2%
Dividend yield
9.50%

Carmila S.A. in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Carmila owns and operates shopping centres anchored by Carrefour hypermarkets across France, Spain and Italy, with the bulk of its rental income coming from the French portfolio. The structural case rests on that anchor: grocery-led centres with long leases and a dominant food tenant hold up better in downturns than discretionary malls, and the 59.4% operating margin reflects how little the business has to spend to earn its rent. Revenue is shrinking slightly (down 1.3%), so the catalysts are about cash flow and leasing rather than top-line growth, with the investment question being whether a stable rent roll and a low multiple of 6.8x trailing earnings are enough to offset a sub-9% ROE and a shrinking top line. At a 2.0 billion euro market cap and a forward P/E of 7.5x, the stock is priced for little growth, which makes it worth a look if you want to test whether the anchor-tenant model is as defensive as it appears. The thesis needs the portfolio's occupancy, lease expiry profile and debt maturities before it can be taken further.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 23, 2026

Next results

Feb 17, 2027
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

Ask ACCE

Valuation

INVESTOR
Where CARM.PA's valuation models land
Price
€14.44
Model fair value
€14.83
Model range
€14.59 to €14.95
Fair value €14.83
Price €14.44
The price is below the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Price to FFO
Create a free account: 5 full stock pages a month, no card.

See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Recent performance

1 week
-1.2%
1 month
-2.7%
3 months
-12.8%
6 months
-16.4%
YTD
-15.1%
1 year
-17.2%

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
23 Oct 2026, 01:53 CESTACCE price target€15.20first publication€14.44
22 Oct 2026, 13:04 CESTFair value€14.83first publication€14.40
22 Oct 2026, 13:04 CESTRatingFairly valuedfirst publication€14.40

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

This security trades in EUR. Exchange-rate movements can increase or reduce the result in your own currency.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

Get the full CARM.PA page, free

Every model, the scenarios, fair value history, AI notes and the four questions. 5 full stock pages every month on the free plan, no card.

Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the full page.

Snapshot

Growth43Value89Quality76Momentum17Total56
Valuation
Trailing P/E
6.8x
Forward P/E
7.4x
PEG
0.07
P/B
0.61x
EV / Revenue
8.9x
Book value/sh
€24.67
Enterprise value
€4.8B
Profitability
ROE
8.7%
FCF yield
10.77%
ROIC
2.5%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.80
Dividend yield
9.50%
Beta
0.72

Price

-15.2% · 1Y

Ask anything about CARM.PA

Answered from Carmila S.A. fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 6.8x6.8xhigh 158.6x
ROEbetter than 67% of peers
low 1%9%high 11%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 3.3%9.5%high 9.5%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
CARM.PA Carmila S.A.€14.44€153% below6.8x8.7%7656
IVT InvenTrust Properties Corp. Common Stock$30.08$4229% below158.6x0.9%6345
FCPT Four Corners Property Trust Inc. Common Stock$22.15--19.3x7.6%8150
UE Urban Edge Properties Common Shares of Beneficial Interest$19.33--36.9x5.1%7347
AKR Acadia Realty Trust Common Stock$18.78--55.2x5.7%7355
HMSO.L Hammerson Plc£3.51£533% below8.8x10.6%8170
RGN.AX Region GroupA$2.26A$317% below9.8x9.3%8150

Sector report card

Where CARM.PA ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…