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AEG

Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares (AEG) fair value

Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified · NYSE · United States
$8.10-1.34%
Market cap $12.0BNext earnings 2026-08-20Updated Oct 21, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 36% below our fair value
Price
$8.10
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$12.62
Model range
$7.17 to $17.38
Fair value $12.62
Price $8.10
3 models fit Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares and they disagree: 1 of 3 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large discount(i)Silver70
Valued as an insurer: Residual income, P/E comparison, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionAegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares (AEG)
Fair value (3 models)
$12.62
ACCE price target
$8.20
Rating
Undervalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST; previously $9.03 since 4 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST.
Price used: $8.10 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Dividend discount, P/E comparison, and Residual income.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
35.8% below
+55.8% to fair value
ACCE score
51
out of 100
Analysts
50% buy
2 covering
P/E
11.7x
forward 8.7x
1-year return
+9.3%
Dividend yield
5.91%

Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Aegon is a Dutch life and pensions insurer and asset manager, selling term and whole life policies, annuities, pension plans and retail mutual funds across the Netherlands, the US, the UK and Brazil. Its edge is scale in workplace pensions and a large in-house asset management arm, though the business is cyclical and sensitive to interest rates and equity markets. Revenue fell 8.2% in the latest reported period and operating margin is thin at 5.8%, so the top line is shrinking and the company has yet to show it can stabilise it. The stock trades at 12.0 times trailing and 9.1 times forward earnings, a discount that prices in the current weakness, with ROE of 11.1% indicating the balance sheet is earning a reasonable return. The composite score is 54/100 and the name carries no index membership, so the case rests on whether the forward earnings estimate holds up as the decline in revenue works through.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026

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Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where AEG's valuation models land
Price
$8.10
Model fair value
$12.62
Model range
$7.17 to $17.38
Fair value $12.62
Price $8.10
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Dividend discount
P/E comparison
Residual income
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Mixed50% buy · 2 covering analysts
● Strong buy 0● Buy 1● Hold 1● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-2.6%
1 month
-7.4%
3 months
-11.3%
6 months
+1.0%
YTD
+5.1%
1 year
+9.3%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
21 Oct 2026, 12:04 CESTRatingUndervaluedfirst publication$8.32
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$12.55$9.03$8.24
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$8.20first publication$8.27
4 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$9.03$9.23$7.53
30 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$9.23$9.34$7.73
25 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$9.34$9.51$7.67
22 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$9.51$9.68$7.89
14 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$9.68$9.81$7.82
6 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$9.81$10.14$7.86
1 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$10.14$8.28$7.89

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth19Value71Quality59Momentum54Total51
Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.7x
Forward P/E
8.7x
PEG
1.54
P/B
1.27x
EV / Revenue
0.4x
Book value/sh
€6.74
Enterprise value
$13.6B
Profitability
ROE
11.1%
FCF yield
7.69%
ROIC
6.1%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.74
Dividend yield
5.91%
Beta
0.65

Price

+9.5% · 1Y

Ask anything about AEG

Answered from Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 67% of peers
low 3.8x11.7xhigh 45.2x
ROEbetter than 33% of peers
low 1%11%high 20%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0%5.9%high 5.9%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
AEG Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares$8.10$1336% below11.7x11.1%5951
ACGLO Arch Capital Group Ltd. Depositary Shares Each Representing 1/1000th Interest in a Share of 5.45% Non-Cumulative Preferred Shares Series F$18.02--3.8x19.9%8744
AGN.AS Aegon Ltd.€7.33€1134% below12.4x11.1%5954
IAG.TO iA Financial Corporation Inc.C$211.89C$17521% above17.8x13.9%7279
BNT Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd. Class A Exchangeable Limited Voting Shares$38.26--45.2x1.1%3941
TRYG.CO Trygkr 156.70kr 9762% above20.4x12.5%7256
MAP.MC Mapfre€4.40€513% below11.6x17.4%5767

Sector report card

Where AEG ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 8, 2026
    Aegon EGM approves Redomiciliation and Omnibus Incentive Plan
  • GlobeNewswire•Sep 1, 2026
    Aegon publishes agenda for EGM on redomiciliation to US
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 26, 2026
    Aegon has filed Shareholder Circular for proposed US redomiciliation
7 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 15
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-10-15
View on SEC →
Oct 15
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-10-15
View on SEC →
Oct 15
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-10-15
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR