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ACGLO

Arch Capital Group Ltd. Depositary Shares Each Representing 1/1000th Interest in a Share of 5.45% Non-Cumulative Preferred Shares Series F (ACGLO) fair value

Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified · NASDAQ · United States
$18.07+0.28%
Market cap $12.0BNext earnings 2025-07-28Updated Oct 20, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 78% below our fair value
Price
$18.07
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $82.48
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Treated as an insurer. None of the usual models had enough data, so this uses Net asset value, Graham number, and Price to FFO instead.
ACCE opinionArch Capital Group Ltd. Depositary Shares Each Representing 1/1000th Interest in a Share of 5.45% Non-Cumulative Preferred Shares Series F (ACGLO)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
$19.50
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $18.07 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Net asset value, Graham number, and Price to FFO.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
44
out of 100
P/E
3.8x
forward 0.0x
1-year return
-16.8%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Arch Capital Group Ltd. Depositary Shares Each Representing 1/1000th Interest in a Share of 5.45% Non-Cumulative Preferred Shares Series F in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

ACGLO is a depositary share, each representing a 1/1000th interest in a Series F 5.45% non-cumulative preferred share issued by Arch Capital Group, the Bermuda-based specialty insurer and reinsurer. The security is a fixed-dividend claim on the parent's preferred capital, so its appeal rests on the parent's credit quality and its ability to keep paying the coupon rather than on earnings growth. The parent reports a 19.9% ROE and a 26.6% operating margin, which supports the claim, though the -10.5% revenue growth figure and a score of 44/100 argue for caution. The headline 3.9 P/E belongs to the common equity and should not be read as a signal for the preferred. Worth a deeper look if you want a yield-oriented credit position, but the data provided does not establish the coupon, call terms or spread, so those need checking before any decision.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Revenue and earnings declining
    Revenue fell 10.5% year on year and earnings fell 7.1%, with a 6.9% quarter-on-quarter drop. The five-year revenue CAGR of 19.2% shows this is a recent turn, not a long-term trend.
  • moderate
    ACCE score down 17 points
    The composite score dropped from 61 to 44 over 90 days, with momentum scoring just 23 out of 100. Margin and growth signals have weakened while the stock trades at a P/E of 3.9.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 14, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months reached $6.1B, a large cash base behind the preferred payments.
  • Return on equity of 19.9% shows the business earns strong profits on the capital shareholders have put in.
  • Debt is small relative to equity, with debt to equity at 0.11, leaving little leverage strain on the company.
Why it could disappoint
  • Revenue fell 10.5% year over year, a sharp reversal from its longer-term growth pattern.
  • Return on invested capital of 13.4% is well below the 19.9% return on equity, so returns on the wider capital base are weaker.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Walk me through this stock

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where ACGLO's valuation models land
Price
$18.07
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $82.48
Model
Fair value
Upside
Net asset value
Graham number
Price to FFO
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Quality

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  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

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  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

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Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-2.7%
1 month
-3.7%
3 months
-7.3%
6 months
-11.6%
YTD
-10.9%
1 year
-16.8%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$19.50first publication$18.22

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth7Value59Quality87Momentum23Total44
Valuation
Trailing P/E
3.8x
Forward P/E
0.0x
PEG
no data
P/B
0.00x
EV / Revenue
0.0x
Book value/sh
$68.32
Enterprise value
$6.8B
Profitability
ROE
19.9%
FCF yield
51.27%
ROIC
13.4%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.11
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
0.26

Price

-17.2% · 1Y

Ask anything about ACGLO

Answered from Arch Capital Group Ltd. Depositary Shares Each Representing 1/1000th Interest in a Share of 5.45% Non-Cumulative Preferred Shares Series F fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 3.8x3.8xhigh 45.2x
ROEbetter than 100% of peers
low 1%20%high 20%
Div yieldbetter than 0% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 5.9%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
ACGLO Arch Capital Group Ltd. Depositary Shares Each Representing 1/1000th Interest in a Share of 5.45% Non-Cumulative Preferred Shares Series F$18.07--3.8x19.9%8744
AEG Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares$8.10$1336% below11.7x11.1%5951
AGN.AS Aegon Ltd.€7.31€1134% below12.4x11.1%5954
IAG.TO iA Financial Corporation Inc.C$207.18C$17518% above17.8x13.9%7279
BNT Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd. Class A Exchangeable Limited Voting Shares$37.95--45.2x1.1%3941
TRYG.CO Trygkr 157.80kr 9763% above20.4x12.5%7256
MAP.MC Mapfre€4.39€513% below11.6x17.4%5767

Sector report card

Where ACGLO ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Sep 28, 2026
    Arch Capital Group Ltd. to Report 2026 Third Quarter Results on October 27
  • Business Wire•Aug 31, 2026
    Best’s Market Segment Report: US and Bermuda Reinsurers Maintain Strong Performance Despite Softening Market
  • Business Wire•Jun 3, 2026
    Arch Capital Group Ltd. Announces Leadership Transition
2 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
August 2026
Aug 20
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-18
View on SEC →
Aug 4
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-06-30
View on SEC →
July 2026
Jul 28
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-07-28
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR