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AAD.DE

Amadeus FiRe AG (AAD.DE) fair value

Industrials · Staffing & Employment Services · XETRA · Germany
€15.14+1.34%
Market cap €82MNext earnings 2026-11-02Updated Oct 22, 2026
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Our verdict
Trades 85% below our fair value
Price
€15.14
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about €99.05
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Discounted cash flow.
ACCE opinionAmadeus FiRe AG (AAD.DE)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
€17.30
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 23 Oct 2026, 01:52 CEST.
Price used: €15.14 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 17:30 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, EV/EBITDA comparison, and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
32
out of 100
1-year return
-71.8%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Amadeus FiRe AG in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Amadeus FiRe is a German staffing firm placing finance, accounting and IT specialists on temporary and permanent contracts, with a sizeable share of revenue from interim placements. The business earns a 50.2% gross margin, which is healthy for staffing, but operating margin is slightly negative at -1.2% and ROE sits at -1.6%, so the gross profit is not yet covering overhead. Revenue fell 6.8%, and the near-term catalyst is any sign that German white-collar hiring is turning, since placement volumes lead the earnings recovery. At a forward P/E of 8.2 on an 81M EUR market cap, the shares price in a lot of pessimism, but the case rests on whether cost discipline can turn the current small operating loss into a profit before the balance sheet is tested. This is worth a deeper look on the margin and cash-flow trajectory, not on the multiple alone.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 23, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • severe
    Earnings collapse, losses
    Earnings fell 89.4% year on year, operating margin is -1.2% and net margin -1.9%, with ROE at -1.6%. The business is losing money at the operating line.
  • high
    Revenue shrinking
    Revenue declined 6.8% year on year after a 5-year CAGR of 5.4%, so the trend has reversed sharply.
  • high
    Leverage against thin equity
    Debt/Equity stands at 1.11 while the company is loss-making, leaving little cushion if earnings keep falling.
  • moderate
    Trailing P/E not meaningful
    Trailing P/E reads 0.0 because earnings are negative, so the Forward P/E of 18.2 rests entirely on recovery forecasts that the recent figures do not yet support.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 22, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months is EUR 15M, and the stock's free cash flow yield is 17.9%.
  • Earnings per share beat expectations, coming in at -0.14 against -0.20 expected, a 30.0% surprise.
  • Analysts' mean price target is EUR 49.00, which sits 219.8% above the current share price.
Why it could disappoint
  • Revenue fell 6.8% year over year, well below the 5.4% average annual growth of the past five years.
  • The company is loss-making, with a net margin of -1.9% and a return on equity of -1.6%.
  • Debt is 1.11 times equity, and the forward P/E of 18.2x is below the sector median of 22.9x for a reason.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 2, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where AAD.DE's valuation models land
Price
€15.14
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about €99.05
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
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  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

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Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

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Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Recent performance

1 week
-4.7%
1 month
-16.9%
3 months
-38.1%
6 months
-36.9%
YTD
-65.0%
1 year
-71.8%

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
23 Oct 2026, 01:52 CESTACCE price target€17.30first publication€14.94

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

This security trades in EUR. Exchange-rate movements can increase or reduce the result in your own currency.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth7Value71Quality34Momentum17Total32
Valuation
Trailing P/E
no data
Forward P/E
8.3x
PEG
no data
P/B
0.73x
EV / Revenue
0.4x
Book value/sh
€23.24
Enterprise value
€146M
Profitability
ROE
-1.6%
FCF yield
18.81%
ROIC
-0.7%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
1.11
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
0.99

Price

-72.2% · 1Y

Ask anything about AAD.DE

Answered from Amadeus FiRe AG fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
ROEbetter than 17% of peers
low -11%-2%high 23%
Div yieldbetter than 33% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 11.6%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
AAD.DE Amadeus FiRe AG€15.14----1.6%3432
EWRK.ST Ework Group AB (publ)kr 52.30kr 8136% below16.6x23.3%4537
ALFRE.PA Freelance.com SA€2.14€556% below5.1x13.3%4438
DEDI.ST Dedicare AB (publ)kr 53.50kr 6113% below13.5x13.1%5780
BGSF BGSF Inc. Common Stock$4.17----11.2%3934
HQI HireQuest Inc. Common Stock (DE)$16.51$1067% above27.0x12.5%8875
CALVIK.ST Calviks AB (publ)kr 65.60--24.5x8.0%3074

Sector report card

Where AAD.DE ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…