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BGSF

BGSF Inc. Common Stock (BGSF) fair value

Industrials · Staffing & Employment Services · NYSE · United States
$4.36+4.56%
Market cap $45MNext earnings 2026-11-06Updated Oct 18, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 58% below our fair value
Price
$4.36
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $10.50
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a loss-making company: Analyst consensus.
ACCE opinionBGSF Inc. Common Stock (BGSF)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
$4.17
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $4.36 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Analyst consensus.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
34
out of 100
Analysts
100% buy
2 covering
P/E
0.0x
forward 13.1x
1-year return
+24.9%
Dividend yield
0.00%

BGSF Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

BGSF is a US staffing firm that places light industrial, clerical and professional workers through its Staff Management and Professional Staffing segments, with a smaller Dallas-area light industrial and logistics footprint. The business runs on thin, labour-driven economics, so its 35.5% gross margin is the number to watch, but it is not yet converting into profit, with operating margin at -3.6% and return on equity at -11.2%. Revenue is shrinking, down 5.1%, which means the thesis rests on a demand recovery in temporary staffing or a self-help story rather than on any structural moat, and the company carries no index membership to support the stock. The forward P/E of 13.1 against a trailing figure that is not meaningful signals that the market expects earnings to return, so the question for a PM is whether margin repair is visible in the next few quarters. With a composite score of 34/100, this is a name that only merits a deeper look if there is a clear, dated catalyst for the operating line turning positive.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • severe
    Revenue and earnings collapsing
    Revenue is down 5.1% year over year and earnings are down 47.3%, with quarter over quarter revenue falling 62.8%. Revenue has shrunk at a 14.7% five-year CAGR.
  • high
    Operating losses and negative ROE
    Operating margin is -3.6%, net margin -9.0%, and ROE -11.2%. Free cash flow is $-25,000, so the business is not generating cash.
  • moderate
    Thin market cap and low score
    At a $47M market cap and an ACCE score of 34/100, the stock is small and fragile. The score has barely moved in 90 days, down 1 point from 35.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 20, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Analysts covering BGSF overwhelmingly rate it Buy or Strong Buy, with both of the two analysts on file doing so.
  • The most recent quarter beat expectations, with earnings per share of -0.04 against -0.12 expected, a surprise of +63.2%.
  • At 13.1x forward earnings, the stock is priced at a modest multiple of expected profit, and debt is light with debt to equity at 0.03.
Why it could disappoint
  • Revenue shrank 5.1% year over year and has fallen 14.7% per year on average over five years, a sustained decline rather than a blip.
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months was negative at -$25,000, and the free cash flow yield is -0.1%, so the business is not generating cash for shareholders.
  • Returns are negative across the board, with return on equity at -11.2% and return on invested capital at -12.7%, while the share count rose 1.8% last year, diluting holders.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 6, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where BGSF's valuation models land
Price
$4.36
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $10.50
Model
Fair value
Upside
Analyst consensus
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish100% buy · 2 covering analysts
● Strong buy 0● Buy 2● Hold 0● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
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Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-0.9%
1 month
-12.1%
3 months
-20.9%
6 months
-31.8%
YTD
-5.8%
1 year
+24.9%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$4.17first publication$4.55

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth7Value51Quality39Momentum39Total34
Valuation
Trailing P/E
0.0x
Forward P/E
13.1x
PEG
0.44
P/B
1.15x
EV / Revenue
0.4x
Book value/sh
$4.31
Enterprise value
$35M
Profitability
ROE
-11.2%
FCF yield
-0.06%
ROIC
-12.7%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.03
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
0.42

Price

+25.3% · 1Y

Ask anything about BGSF

Answered from BGSF Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0x0.0xhigh 24.5x
ROEbetter than 17% of peers
low -18%-11%high 29%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 7.2%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
BGSF BGSF Inc. Common Stock$4.36----11.2%3934
CALVIK.ST Calviks AB (publ)kr 65.60--24.5x8.0%3074
DEDI.ST Dedicare AB (publ)kr 53.50kr 6113% below13.5x13.1%5780
STRR Star Equity Holdings Inc. Common Stock$9.70----18.2%2749
PION-B.ST PION Group AB (publ)kr 6.64--17.0x13.8%4057
ALDLS.PA DLSI€10.20€2863% below--1.9%3137
OGUN-B.ST Ogunsen AB (publ)kr 20.90kr 2311% below13.9x29.4%5842

Sector report card

Where BGSF ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 5, 2026
    BGSF, Inc. Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results
  • GlobeNewswire•Jul 16, 2026
    BGSF, Inc. Announces Timing of Fiscal 2026 Second Quarter Results and Earnings Conference Call
  • GlobeNewswire•May 18, 2026
    BGSF, Inc. Participating in the 16th Annual East Coast IDEAS Conference at The Westin New York at Times Square
33 filings of 39
September 2026
Sep 16
ProxyProxy statementPeriod 2025-12-28
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 6
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-04
View on SEC →
Aug 6
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-04
View on SEC →
30 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR