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Market OutlookWednesday, July 1, 2026

Tanker Stocks 2026: STNG and INSW Earnings, Valuations Compared

INSW earnings grew 475% YoY and STNG posted 254% growth. Here's what the data says about tanker stocks heading into H2 2026.

Adrien Chantreuil
Adrien Chantreuil
Founder, ACCE Investments

Tanker Stocks 2026: STNG and INSW Earnings, Valuations Compared

Product tanker stocks have quietly delivered some of the best risk-adjusted returns in the market over the past year. Scorpio Tankers (STNG) is up 76.5% over the trailing twelve months. International Seaways (INSW) is up 110.7%. Both names sit near the top of the ACCE scoring universe, and the underlying data explains why.

This is not a story about oil prices or geopolitical noise. It is a story about earnings power, balance sheet discipline, and what happens when a capital-intensive industry runs lean during a multi-year supply constraint.

The Earnings Picture

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Scorpio Tankers (STNG) posted year-over-year earnings growth of 254.1% on revenue growth of 46.2%. Net margin sits at 48.4%. The trailing P/E is 6.8x. The forward P/E is 10.8x, which means the market is pricing in some normalization, but even at the forward multiple, STNG trades at a fraction of what most industrial or energy companies command.

International Seaways (INSW) is even more striking on the earnings line. Year-over-year earnings grew 475.0% on revenue growth of 78.5%. Net margin is 55.3%. The trailing P/E is 7.0x, and the forward P/E steps up to 11.9x.

Both companies are generating cash at a pace that compresses their multiples faster than the market seems willing to acknowledge. STNG carries a free cash flow yield of 14.0%. That figure alone puts it in rare company across any sector.

Quality Scores Tell the Same Story

ACCE scores STNG at 94/100, with a Quality subscore of 90 and a Growth subscore of 100. INSW scores 93/100, with Quality at 100 and Growth at 100. The Momentum subscores for both are 91 and 97, respectively, reflecting the sustained price appreciation rather than a short-term spike.

These are not speculative names. ROE for STNG is 15.9%. For INSW, it is 26.9%. Both companies are earning well above their cost of capital, and they are doing it on hard assets in a market where newbuild delivery timelines remain extended.

Why the Tanker Cycle Has Legs

The product tanker market benefits from a structural supply constraint that did not appear overnight. Orderbooks for medium-range and long-range tankers stayed thin through most of the early 2020s as shipowners, burned by prior cycles, resisted committing capital to newbuilds. Yards filled with LNG carriers and container ships instead.

The result: the existing fleet is aging, utilization rates are high, and the vessels needed to replace retiring tonnage will not arrive in meaningful numbers for several more years. That dynamic supports elevated day rates even as the macro environment shifts.

Trade route disruption has added another layer. Longer voyages, driven by rerouting around conflict zones and sanctions-related cargo flows, consume more vessel capacity per unit of cargo moved. That is a structural tailwind for ton-mile demand, and it benefits operators with modern, fuel-efficient fleets, which both STNG and INSW have invested in building.

Valuation: Cheap on Every Metric That Matters

Analyst consensus targets for both names imply meaningful upside from current levels. The INSW analyst target is $91.17. The STNG analyst target is $99.22. These are street-level figures, not ACCE projections, and they reflect a view that the market is underpricing the earnings durability of both franchises.

The bear case is straightforward: day rates normalize, earnings fall, and the low trailing multiples prove to have been a value trap. That is a legitimate risk. The forward P/E expansion from trailing levels for both STNG and INSW signals that analysts already expect some earnings compression. The question is how much.

At 14.0% FCF yield for STNG and 1.0% for INSW (the latter reflecting heavier capital deployment), the two companies are in different phases of their capital allocation cycle. STNG is returning cash aggressively. INSW is investing. Neither posture is wrong; they reflect different strategic priorities within the same favorable macro backdrop.

How These Names Fit the Broader Energy Picture

The ACCE Clean Energy index holds names like GEV, NEE (NextEra Energy), and First Solar (FSLR) that represent the long-term energy transition. Tanker stocks sit on the other side of that ledger, moving the hydrocarbons that still power roughly 80% of global energy consumption.

That is not a contradiction. It is a recognition that the transition takes decades, and the infrastructure moving fossil fuels during that transition is underbuilt relative to demand. STNG and INSW are not legacy bets against clean energy; they are plays on the physical reality of how energy moves today.

The energy sector more broadly has been a source of high-scoring names in the ACCE universe. STNG at 94 and INSW at 93 are the two highest-scoring individual equities in the sector right now, and both carry analyst targets well above current trading levels.

What to Watch in H2 2026

Several variables will determine whether the tanker trade extends or fades into year-end.

  • Day rate trends: Any sustained softening in MR or LR2 spot rates would pressure forward earnings estimates and likely compress multiples further.
  • Fleet supply: Newbuild deliveries scheduled for late 2026 and 2027 bear watching. A surge in supply would shift the balance.
  • Geopolitical normalization: A reduction in trade route disruption, particularly in the Red Sea corridor, would shorten average voyage lengths and reduce ton-mile demand.
  • Capital return cadence: STNG's 2.4% dividend yield and ongoing buyback activity provide a floor, but the sustainability of that return depends on cash generation holding up.
The data as of July 1, 2026 makes a clear case: STNG and INSW are generating exceptional earnings, trading at low multiples relative to those earnings, and carrying quality metrics that most sectors would envy. The cycle will turn eventually. The current setup suggests it has not turned yet.
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