$SMCI Score Jumps 10 Points to 74 — What's Driving It
Super Micro Computer's ACCE composite score rose from 64 to 74. Here's what the data says about growth, value, momentum, and the risks still in the mix.
$SMCI just saw its ACCE composite score climb 10 points, moving from 64 to 74 out of 100. That's a meaningful single move — large enough to shift the stock from a lukewarm watch-list name into territory where the underlying data starts making a stronger case for attention.
The current score breakdown tells the story clearly: Growth sits at a perfect 100, Value at 67, Momentum at 76, and Quality at 53. A 10-point composite jump of this size typically reflects improvement across at least two of those four pillars, and the numbers here give a clear picture of where the strength is coming from.
What it means
Growth is the headline. Year-over-year revenue is up 122.7% and year-over-year earnings are up 326.0%. Those are not rounding errors — that's the kind of acceleration that pushes a Growth subscore to the ceiling. If recent quarters have continued to confirm that trajectory rather than show it fading, the scoring model would respond accordingly. The most recent earnings report (Q3 FY2026) came in 1.9% ahead of expectations, which adds another data point that execution is holding up.
Get the ACCE weekly digest
Index returns, picks recap, score movers - every Sunday. No fluff.
Momentum at 76 suggests the market is starting to notice. The 1-year return sits at -13.6%, so this is not a stock that has been rewarded for its fundamentals over the past year. A Momentum score of 76, however, suggests that more recent price action has turned more constructive — shorter-term windows are likely pulling that subscore higher even as the longer trailing period drags.
Value at 67 is solid without being exceptional. The forward P/E of 9.7 is notably low relative to the trailing P/E of 16.6, which implies the market is pricing in continued earnings growth. The 6-model fair value estimate of $43.34 sits 8.8% above the current price of $39.82 — and notably above the analyst consensus target of $37.81. That divergence is worth watching: the quantitative models see more upside than the Street does.
Quality at 53 is the reason for caution. Net margin is 3.7%, ROE is 17.9%, and earnings quality is flagged as strong — but the FCF yield of -34.1% is a significant red flag. Negative free cash flow at that scale means the business is consuming cash even as reported earnings grow. That gap between accounting earnings and cash generation is exactly what keeps the Quality score from climbing alongside the others, and it's the right reason to stay measured here.
A score of 74 reflects a company with exceptional growth momentum and improving market recognition, trading at what the models suggest is a modest discount to fair value. The Quality drag is real, though, and the FCF situation deserves scrutiny before treating this as a clean setup.
See the full $SMCI breakdown at acceinvestments.com/stocks/SMCI.
ACCE scores thousands of stocks across valuation models matched to each company, with fair value, conviction and the full thesis on every name. Start free, no card required.
