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Ticker UpdateTuesday, August 4, 2026

$RIO ACCE Score Jumps 13 Points to 79 — What Drove It

Rio Tinto's ACCE composite score moved from 66 to 79. Here's what the data says about Growth, Value, Quality, and Momentum behind the move.

Adrien Chantreuil
Adrien Chantreuil
Founder, ACCE Investments

What changed

$RIO just recorded one of the larger single-move score increases we track. The ACCE composite for Rio Tinto climbed 13 points, from 66 to 79 out of 100. That kind of jump typically reflects meaningful improvement across at least two or three of the four subscores — Growth, Value, Quality, and Momentum — rather than a single outlier reading.

Looking at where the subscores sit right now tells a clear story. Growth leads at 88/100, Value sits at 79/100, Quality comes in at 80/100, and Momentum trails the group at 70/100. A composite of 79 with three subscores above 79 suggests the overall score is being pulled up by genuine fundamental strength, not a single factor spike.

What it means

The Growth subscore of 88 is the standout. Rio Tinto posted year-over-year revenue growth of 15.5% and year-over-year earnings growth of 46.9%. That kind of earnings acceleration relative to revenue growth points to meaningful margin expansion or cost discipline — and it's the sort of data that moves a Growth subscore sharply higher when it wasn't fully priced into the prior reading.

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The Quality subscore of 80 has real numbers behind it. ROE sits at 19.3%, net margin at 19.6%, and earnings quality is flagged as strong. For a capital-intensive mining business, those are not routine figures. FCF yield of 3.1% adds to the picture, and the 4.8% dividend yield signals that cash generation is substantial enough to sustain meaningful shareholder returns.

The Value subscore of 79 reflects a trailing P/E of 13.1 and a forward P/E of 11.6. The forward multiple compressing below the trailing one is consistent with analysts expecting continued earnings growth — which aligns with the analyst consensus target of $105.85 against the current price of $95.37 (as of 2026-08-03). That implies roughly 11% upside to the consensus target.

One note of caution: the ACCE 6-model fair value sits at $83.29, which is 12.7% below the current price of $95.37. That gap between the quantitative fair-value estimate and the analyst target is worth watching. It suggests the market is pricing in a more optimistic scenario than the model composite supports. The Momentum subscore of 70 — the lowest of the four — is consistent with a stock that has already delivered a 1-year return of 59.9% and may be running into some near-term resistance after a strong run.

The score move to 79 reflects genuinely improved fundamentals. The earnings growth, margin profile, and dividend yield are all real. But the divergence between the 6-model fair value and the current price means this is a stock where the fundamental case and the valuation case are pulling in different directions. Watch for the next earnings report to see whether the Growth subscore can hold at these levels.

See the full $RIO profile and live score breakdown at acceinvestments.com/stocks/RIO.

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