ZK International Group Co. Ltd Ordinary Share (ZKIN) fair value
Basic Materials · Steel · NASDAQ · United States
$1.34-3.96%
Market cap $84MNext earnings 2025-01-27Updated Oct 19, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 126% above our fair value
Price
$1.34
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$0.59
Only one of our models could value this stock with confidence, so use it as a guide.
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Valued as a cyclical company: Discounted cash flow.
ACCE opinionZK International Group Co. Ltd Ordinary Share (ZKIN)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
$1.60
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $1.34 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
18
out of 100
P/E
0.0x
forward 0.0x
1-year return
-38.2%
Dividend yield
0.00%
ZK International Group Co. Ltd Ordinary Share in four questions
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Overview
ACCE thesis
ZK International makes steel wire and stainless steel products, mostly for construction and industrial customers in China and export markets, and sells them under thin margins. The data here argues against a deeper look at this stage: revenue fell 43.5% year on year, gross margin sits at 5.6%, and the operating margin of -797% means the business is losing far more than it earns on each dollar of sales. ROE of -48.3% confirms that equity is being eroded, and with a PE of 0.0 there are no positive earnings to anchor a valuation. Against the company's own record, the 29/100 score and absence from any index reflect a business with no visible near-term catalyst in the data provided. A turnaround would need to show stabilising volumes, a credible path back to positive gross profit, and a cut in operating losses before the name merits more work.
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
severe
Revenue and earnings collapse
Revenue fell 43.5% year on year and earnings fell 97.7%, with operating margin at -797.0% and ROE at -48.3%. The business is shrinking fast and losing money at the operating level.
high
Negative EV/EBITDA and thin cash
EV/EBITDA is -9.1, so operating earnings cannot support the enterprise value. Free cash flow of $191,770 against a $107M market cap gives little cushion if losses persist.
moderate
Leverage on a shrinking base
Debt/Equity of 0.96 is high for a company whose revenue fell 43.5% and whose 5-year revenue CAGR is -3.9%. Debt is harder to service as the top line contracts.
AI research notes
AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 13, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
Free cash flow over the last twelve months was positive at $191,770, so the business is not burning cash.
Revenue has declined only about 3.9% per year on average over five years, a far gentler trend than this year's drop.
Debt to equity of 0.96 is a moderate level, so the balance sheet is not stretched by borrowing.
Why it could disappoint
Revenue fell 43.5% year over year, a sharp break from its longer-term trend and a clear sign of shrinking demand.
The company loses money on every dollar of sales, with a net margin of negative 28.0%.
The diluted share count rose 15.7% in the last fiscal year, so each existing share now owns a smaller slice of the company.
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Valuation
INVESTOR
Where ZKIN's valuation models land
Price
$1.34
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$0.59
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
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