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XPER

Xperi Inc. Common Stock (XPER) fair value

Technology · Software - Application · NYSE · United States
$5.18-0.58%
Market cap $254MNext earnings 2026-11-04Updated Oct 19, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 70% below our fair value
Price
$5.18
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $17.19
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a loss-making company: Sales comps and Analyst consensus.
ACCE opinionXperi Inc. Common Stock (XPER)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
$5.50
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $5.18 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Analyst consensus and Sales comps.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
51
out of 100
Analysts
100% buy
5 covering
P/E
0.0x
forward 4.0x
1-year return
-21.6%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Xperi Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Xperi licenses and monetizes intellectual property, including its DTS audio codecs and its TiVo-derived media and content discovery technology, which are embedded in TVs, streaming devices and in-car systems. The business runs on high gross margins, reported at 71.9%, because each licence earns recurring royalties with little incremental cost. Revenue growth of 8.1% is respectable for a company of this size, but operating margin of 2.7% shows how much of that gross profit is still absorbed by overhead, amortization and litigation-linked costs. The forward P/E of 4.0 against a trailing P/E of zero reflects a sharp swing in reported earnings, and it is the reason to look closer at whether the royalty base is durable or simply lumpy. With a market cap of about $244M and an ROE of -7.8%, the equity is cheap on paper, but the score of 51/100 and absence from any index mean the market is not yet paying for a clean earnings story.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Negative free cash flow
    FCF was $-21.5M while the company still reports a net margin of -7.1% and ROE of -7.8%. Cash burn at this scale is hard to ignore for a $254M market cap.
  • moderate
    Heavy short interest
    Short interest stands at 10.7% of float, which signals meaningful bearish positioning and raises the risk of volatile moves on any negative news.
  • moderate
    Score down 11 points
    The ACCE score fell from 62 to 51 over 90 days, with Momentum at 17/100 and Quality at 47/100 as the weakest components.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 13, 2026 · figures from 2026-10-13 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Analysts are unanimous, with all five covering analysts rating the stock Buy or Strong Buy.
  • The average analyst price target of $11.40 sits well above the current $4.98 share price.
  • Earnings beat expectations last quarter, with earnings per share of $0.14 against $0.08 expected.
Why it could disappoint
  • The company lost money over the last twelve months, with negative free cash flow of -$21M.
  • Net margin of -7.1% and return on equity of -7.8% show the business is not yet earning a profit on its capital.
  • Shareholders are being diluted, with the diluted share count rising 1.8% over the last fiscal year.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 4, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Ask ACCE

Valuation

INVESTOR
Where XPER's valuation models land
Price
$5.18
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $17.19
Model
Fair value
Upside
Analyst consensus
Sales comps
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish100% buy · 5 covering analysts
● Strong buy 3● Buy 2● Hold 0● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+4.0%
1 month
-5.8%
3 months
-31.6%
6 months
-21.8%
YTD
-11.6%
1 year
-21.6%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$5.50first publication$5.06

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth76Value64Quality47Momentum17Total51
Valuation
Trailing P/E
0.0x
Forward P/E
4.0x
PEG
no data
P/B
0.65x
EV / Revenue
0.5x
Book value/sh
$8.52
Enterprise value
$243M
Profitability
ROE
-7.8%
FCF yield
-8.46%
ROIC
-9.5%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.17
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
0.90

Price

-22.3% · 1Y

Ask anything about XPER

Answered from Xperi Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0x0.0xhigh 116.0x
ROEbetter than 17% of peers
low -109%-8%high 96%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 0.9%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
XPER Xperi Inc. Common Stock $5.18----7.8%4751
3697.T SHIFT Inc.¥1156.00--40.0x17.8%5673
WTC.AX WiseTech Global LimitedA$40.12--52.1x9.8%7359
FIG Figma Inc. Class A Common Stock$24.64$2212% above--108.6%4748
HUBS HubSpot Inc. Common Stock$270.88$20731% above96.7x7.9%6467
MANH Manhattan Associates Inc. Common Stock$238.19$100138% above67.8x96.4%8960
GWRE Guidewire Software Inc. Common Stock$189.00$82131% above116.0x10.5%7153

Sector report card

Where XPER ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 14, 2026
    Xperi Inc. to Release Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results on November 4
  • Business Wire•Oct 5, 2026
    TiVo One Ad Platform Surpassed 6.3 Million Monthly Active Users, Delivered Record Q2 Revenue Growth and Expanded Global Advertising Footprint
  • Business Wire•Sep 22, 2026
    TiVo Ads Launches Enhanced U.S. TV Viewership Data Offering, Unifying STB and ACR Data in a Single Feed
12 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
21 filings of 40
May 2026
May 7
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-03-31
View on SEC →
May 6
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-05-06
View on SEC →
April 2026
Apr 21
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-04-17
View on SEC →
18 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR