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XERS

Xeris Biopharma Holdings Inc. Common Stock (XERS) fair value

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · NASDAQ · United States
$10.20-6.08%
Market cap $1.9BNext earnings 2026-11-05Updated Oct 21, 2026
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Our verdict
Trades 510% above our fair value
Price
$10.20
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $1.67
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a growth company: Discounted cash flow and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionXeris Biopharma Holdings Inc. Common Stock (XERS)
Fair value (2 models)
Not available
ACCE price target
$10.50
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $10.20 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
51
out of 100
Analysts
86% buy
7 covering
1-year return
+11.7%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Xeris Biopharma Holdings Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Xeris Biopharma sells Gvoke, a ready-to-use liquid glucagon pen for severe hypoglycemia, along with Xeris's own Gvoke PFS and its XeriSol-based formulations, and it has been moving from a loss-making launch toward operating profitability. Its edge is in the product itself: the room-temperature, no-mixing formulation is easier for patients and caregivers to use in an emergency than the powder kits it competes with, and gross margins of 86.6% reflect a branded specialty product rather than a generic. Revenue growth of 28.7% and a positive 5.6% operating margin show the commercial build-out is starting to pay off, though the 36.9x forward P/E is pricing in more of that improvement than the trailing numbers support. The stock is interesting now because the profit inflection is recent and the next few quarters will show whether Gvoke's volume growth can keep operating leverage moving; the negative -617.2% ROE, reflecting past losses and a thin equity base, is the main reason to look closely before going further.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Earnings flat despite revenue growth
    Revenue grew 28.7% year over year, yet earnings growth is 0.0% and net margin is -5.1%. Growth is not reaching the bottom line.
  • moderate
    Leverage elevated
    Debt to equity is 2.76, a heavy load for a company still reporting a net loss. Free cash flow of $28M gives some cushion, but it limits flexibility.
  • moderate
    ACCE score down sharply
    The ACCE score fell 13 points over 90 days, from 63 to 50, with valuation at 25 and quality at 38 pulling it down.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 21, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 28.7% year over year in the latest 10-Q, a fast pace for a company already at scale.
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months came to $28M, so the business is generating cash rather than only burning it.
  • Six of seven analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy, and their mean price target sits 15.5% above the current share price.
Why it could disappoint
  • The company posted a net margin of -5.1% and a return on equity of -617.2%, so it still loses money on what it sells.
  • Debt to equity of 2.76 leaves the balance sheet heavily geared, and the share count grew 17.7% last year, diluting existing holders.
  • The latest earnings per share came in 150.0% below expectations, and the stock trades at 36.9 times forward earnings.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 5, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where XERS's valuation models land
Price
$10.20
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $1.67
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish86% buy · 7 covering analysts
● Strong buy 5● Buy 1● Hold 1● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-1.1%
1 month
+17.8%
3 months
+22.6%
6 months
+68.6%
YTD
+29.9%
1 year
+11.7%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$10.50first publication$10.48
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.01$1.04$9.10
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.04$1.11$8.95
23 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.11$1.04$8.80
20 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.04$1.06$8.20
18 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.06$1.02$7.78
15 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.02$1.05$7.45
10 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.05$1.06$8.48
30 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.06$3.85$8.48
14 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$3.85$3.98$8.42

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth52Value25Quality38Momentum90Total51
Valuation
Trailing P/E
no data
Forward P/E
51.9x
PEG
no data
P/B
107.68x
EV / Revenue
5.2x
Book value/sh
$-0.06
Enterprise value
$1.7B
Profitability
ROE
-617.2%
FCF yield
1.42%
ROIC
0.9%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
2.76
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
0.84

Price

+10.7% · 1Y

Ask anything about XERS

Answered from Xeris Biopharma Holdings Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
ROEbetter than 0% of peers
low -617%-617%high 39%
Div yieldbetter than 33% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 2.1%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
XERS Xeris Biopharma Holdings Inc. Common Stock$10.20----617.2%3851
BIOG-B.ST BioGaia AB (publ)kr 129.30kr 7476% above34.3x30.8%10068
AJANTPHARM.NS Ajanta Pharma Limited₹3270.60--36.2x-9674
LABB.MX Genomma Lab InternacionalMXN 14.68MXN 2129% below8.6x14.2%7655
IPCALAB.NS Ipca Laboratories Limited₹1903.50--36.9x-9178
4506.T Sumitomo Pharma Co., Ltd.¥1904.00--7.6x38.5%8473
ABBOTINDIA.NS Abbott India Limited₹25360.00--32.9x-9554

Sector report card

Where XERS ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 2, 2026
    Xeris Announces Inducement Grants Under NASDAQ Listing Rule 5635(c)(4)
  • Business Wire•Sep 9, 2026
    Xeris Hosts Webinar Detailing Its Comprehensive Development Program for XP-8121, an Investigational, Once-Weekly Subcutaneous Levothyroxine for Hypothyroidism
  • Business Wire•Aug 26, 2026
    Xeris Announces Details for XP-8121 Program Overview Webinar
8 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
30 filings of 40
May 2026
May 7
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-05-07
View on SEC →
May 7
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-03-31
View on SEC →
May 1
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-05-01
View on SEC →
27 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR