Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Treated as a loss-making company. None of the usual models had enough data, so this uses Net asset value, Discounted cash flow, Price to FFO, and P/E comparison instead.
ACCE opinionWillamette Valley Vineyards Inc. Common Stock (WVVI)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
$1.53
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $1.90 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Net asset value, Discounted cash flow, Price to FFO, and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
26
out of 100
1-year return
-49.3%
Dividend yield
0.00%
Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc. Common Stock in four questions
Plain answers, details below
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Overview
ACCE thesis
Willamette Valley Vineyards makes Pinot Noir and other wines from its Oregon estate vineyards and sells them through a direct-to-consumer club, tasting rooms and wholesale distribution. The structural appeal is the 59.1% gross margin, which says the brand and the estate fruit still earn real pricing power, and a forward P/E of 11.2 against a trailing P/E of zero, which means earnings are expected to recover from a loss-making year. The problem is that revenue is shrinking (down 1.6%), operating margin sits at -13.5%, and ROE is -3.3%, so the business is not yet converting its gross margin into profit. A recovery in the wine cycle or cost cuts that close the gap between gross and operating margin would be the catalyst to watch. At a market cap of roughly $10M, this is a micro-cap with thin liquidity and no index membership, and the composite score of 26/100 suggests the numbers do not yet justify a deeper look without evidence that operating losses are narrowing.
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
high
Earnings falling fast
Earnings are down 42.5% year over year, with a -13.5% operating margin and -5.9% net margin. Revenue is shrinking too, at -1.6%.
high
Cash burn
Free cash flow was $-2,293,126 against a $9M market cap, while debt to equity sits at 0.46. The balance sheet has less room to absorb continued losses.
moderate
Price above ACCE target
The stock trades 24.2% above the ACCE price target of $1.53, with the current price at $1.90. The score has also slipped from 33 to 26 over 90 days.
AI research notes
AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 23, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
The five-year average revenue growth of 6.4% per year shows the business has expanded well over time, even though the latest year slipped.
Debt to equity of 0.46 means the company carries modest borrowing relative to its equity base.
At a forward P/E of 11.2x, the shares are priced well below the sector median of 18.6x.
Why it could disappoint
Revenue fell 1.6% in the latest year, so the recent trend has turned down after a stronger multi-year run.
A net margin of -5.9% and return on equity of -3.3% mean the company is losing money on what it sells and on shareholder capital.
Free cash flow over the last 12 months was -$2M, so the business is consuming cash rather than generating it for owners.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.
Next results
Nov 12, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle
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Valuation
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Where WVVI's valuation models land
Price
$1.90
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $7.38
Model
Fair value
Upside
Net asset value
Discounted cash flow
Price to FFO
P/E comparison
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Quality
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Analysts
Wall Street consensus
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Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE
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+Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
+Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
+ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street
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