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WLDN

Willdan Group Inc. Common Stock (WLDN) fair value

Industrials · Engineering & Construction · NASDAQ · United States
$72.48+0.58%
Market cap $1.1BNext earnings 2026-11-05Updated Oct 21, 2026
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Our verdict
Close to our fair value
Price
$72.48
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$70.71
Model range
$39.63 to $118
Fair value $70.71
Price $72.48
4 models fit Willdan Group Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 1 of 4 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Near fair value(i)Bronze44
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionWilldan Group Inc. Common Stock (WLDN)
Fair value (4 models)
$70.71
ACCE price target
$85.00
Rating
Fairly valued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST; previously $98.59 since 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST.
Price used: $72.48 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
2.5% above
-2.4% to fair value
ACCE score
68
out of 100
Analysts
100% buy
2 covering
P/E
17.0x
forward 22.5x
1-year return
-26.6%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Willdan Group Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Willdan Group provides energy efficiency program administration, engineering and consulting services, and environmental and disaster recovery consulting, much of it for utilities and state and municipal clients. The structural case rests on that utility exposure: program-delivery work is tied to multi-year regulatory mandates for demand reduction and electrification, which gives the revenue more visibility than typical engineering contracting. Revenue growth of 33.2% is the headline, and with an operating margin of only 8.6% against a 37.8% gross margin, the gap shows the business is still converting top-line growth into profit slowly, so the question for a deeper look is whether that spread widens as the contract base matures. At 14.7x forward earnings and a 21.2% ROE, the valuation is not stretched for a company growing this quickly, though the stock sits outside any major index, which limits the buyer base and may keep the multiple depressed. The name merits a closer review of contract backlog, margin trajectory by segment, and how much of the growth is organic versus acquired.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 1 flagAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Short interest elevated
    Short interest is 12.1% of float, a meaningful bet against the stock. Combined with a 10.7% quarter-on-quarter revenue drop, the market is clearly not uniformly bullish.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 16, 2026 · figures from 2026-10-11 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 33.2% over the past year, far above the company's own 11.8% average annual pace over five years.
  • The shares trade at 14.7 times forward earnings, well below the sector median of 23.9 times.
Why it could disappoint
  • Free cash flow yield is 6.3%, and the company has grown its diluted share count by 5.8% in the last fiscal year.
  • The price implies only 6.1% yearly cash flow growth for five years, which is a modest bar against recent results.
  • A 5.2% risk-free rate sits behind the valuation, so fair value estimates shift meaningfully if rates or assumptions move.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 5, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where WLDN's valuation models land
Price
$72.48
Model fair value
$70.71
Model range
$39.63 to $118
Fair value $70.71
Price $72.48
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish100% buy · 2 covering analysts
● Strong buy 2● Buy 0● Hold 0● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+0.3%
1 month
-10.9%
3 months
-0.2%
6 months
-7.0%
YTD
-30.1%
1 year
-26.6%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CESTFair value$70.71$98.59$72.72
21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CESTRatingFairly valuedfirst publication$72.72
17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$98.59$101$71.61
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$85.00first publication$75.12
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$101$107$75.12
8 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$107$106$73.91
1 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$106$108$75.72
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$108$109$79.63
22 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$109$111$79.95
19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$111$106$79.99

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth100Value75Quality73Momentum25Total68
Valuation
Trailing P/E
17.0x
Forward P/E
22.5x
PEG
0.32
P/B
5.16x
EV / Revenue
2.3x
Book value/sh
$23.06
Enterprise value
$1.4B
Profitability
ROE
21.2%
FCF yield
6.40%
ROIC
11.5%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.23
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.20

Price

-29.2% · 1Y

Ask anything about WLDN

Answered from Willdan Group Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 0% of peers
low 9.3x17.0xhigh 17.0x
ROEbetter than 100% of peers
low 8%21%high 21%
Div yieldbetter than 0% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 5.5%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
WLDN Willdan Group Inc. Common Stock$72.48$713% above17.0x21.2%7368
1934.T Yurtec Corporation¥2402.00¥2401At fair value14.2x7.7%5253
1946.T Toenec Corporation¥2007.00¥141242% above9.3x13.9%6071
1926.T Raito Kogyo Co., Ltd.¥952.00--13.0x15.1%6453
1968.T Taihei Dengyo Kaisha, Ltd.¥2449.00--11.7x11.1%5971
1982.T Hibiya Engineering, Ltd.¥3160.00¥32904% below15.3x12.6%5566
1965.T Techno Ryowa Ltd.¥2015.00--10.8x20.2%7675

Sector report card

Where WLDN ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 6, 2026
    Willdan Announces Date of Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call
  • Business Wire•Sep 22, 2026
    Willdan to Acquire Mantis Innovation, Strengthening Its Position in Energy Management and Infrastructure
  • Business Wire•Aug 17, 2026
    Willdan Expands Power Delivery Engineering Capabilities With KCS Corporation
3 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
September 2026
Sep 23
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-22
View on SEC →
Sep 17
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-16
View on SEC →
Sep 16
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-15
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR