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VTEX

VTEX Class A Common Shares (VTEX) fair value

Technology · Software - Application · NYSE · United States
$4.17+0.00%
Market cap $711MNext earnings 2026-11-05Updated Oct 18, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Close to our fair value
Price
$4.17
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$3.98
Model range
$2.32 to $5.97
Fair value $3.98
Price $4.17
2 models fit VTEX Class A Common Shares and they disagree: 0 of 2 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Near fair value(i)Silver73
Valued as a growth company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionVTEX Class A Common Shares (VTEX)
Fair value (2 models)
$3.98
ACCE price target
$4.95
Rating
Fairly valued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST; previously $4.24 since 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST.
Price used: $4.17 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: P/E comparison and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
4.8% above
-4.5% to fair value
ACCE score
68
out of 100
Analysts
40% buy
10 covering
P/E
24.5x
forward 15.1x
1-year return
-7.7%
Dividend yield
0.00%

VTEX Class A Common Shares in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

VTEX sells a SaaS commerce platform, covering storefront, catalog, order management and payments, to large retailers and consumer brands, mostly in Latin America with a growing footprint abroad. Its moat rests on being embedded in the operations of high-volume merchants, where switching costs are real and gross margin of 79.3% shows the software economics are intact. The near-term case depends on whether revenue growth of 9.5% can re-accelerate and whether operating margin of 15.0% keeps expanding as the company scales. At a trailing P/E of 25.0 and a forward P/E of 24.8, the market is pricing in modest earnings growth rather than a sharp rebound. With a market cap of about $703M and no index membership, the name sits in the under-followed corner of the software universe, which is the reason it merits a deeper look at the cash flow and retention data.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 1 flagAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Insider selling outweighs buying
    Insiders disclosed $0.94M in sales and no purchases across the last 10 filings, despite insiders holding 47.4% of shares. Worth tracking, though the amount is small.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 21, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months reached $32M, and the company carries almost no debt, with debt to equity at 0.01.
  • Analysts' mean price target of $5.57 sits 32.0% above the current share price, and 40% of covering analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy.
  • The company beat earnings expectations last quarter, with earnings per share of 0.06 against 0.04 expected, and it reduced its diluted share count by 3.7%.
Why it could disappoint
  • Revenue grew only 9.5% year over year, well below the 19.5% yearly average of the last five years.
  • The share price sits 4.8% above the model fair value of $3.98, and the consensus of two valuation models puts it 5.7% above fair value.
  • Return on invested capital of 6.9% is modest, and return on equity of 12.8% is only a little above that, so the business earns thin returns on the capital it uses.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 5, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where VTEX's valuation models land
Price
$4.17
Model fair value
$3.98
Model range
$2.32 to $5.97
Fair value $3.98
Price $4.17
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Mixed40% buy · 10 covering analysts
● Strong buy 3● Buy 1● Hold 6● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-0.7%
1 month
+15.5%
3 months
+6.9%
6 months
+3.5%
YTD
+10.9%
1 year
-7.7%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTRatingFairly valuedfirst publication$4.20
18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTFair value$3.98$4.24$4.20
14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$4.95first publication$4.18
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$4.24$3.72$3.95
2 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$3.72$3.76$3.65
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$3.76$3.71$3.63
18 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$3.71$3.58$3.67
16 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$3.58$3.51$3.67
10 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$3.51$3.57$3.54
8 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$3.57$3.62$3.61

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth76Value57Quality76Momentum62Total68
Valuation
Trailing P/E
24.5x
Forward P/E
15.1x
PEG
0.09
P/B
2.67x
EV / Revenue
1.7x
Book value/sh
$1.35
Enterprise value
$418M
Profitability
ROE
12.8%
FCF yield
4.55%
ROIC
6.9%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.01
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
0.93

Price

-7.1% · 1Y

Ask anything about VTEX

Answered from VTEX Class A Common Shares fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 24.5x24.5xhigh 116.0x
ROEbetter than 67% of peers
low -109%13%high 96%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 0.9%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
VTEX VTEX Class A Common Shares$4.17$45% above24.5x12.8%7668
3697.T SHIFT Inc.¥1156.00--40.0x17.8%5673
WTC.AX WiseTech Global LimitedA$40.12--52.1x9.8%7359
FIG Figma Inc. Class A Common Stock$24.64$2212% above--108.6%4748
HUBS HubSpot Inc. Common Stock$270.88$20731% above96.7x7.9%6467
MANH Manhattan Associates Inc. Common Stock$238.19$100138% above67.8x96.4%8960
GWRE Guidewire Software Inc. Common Stock$189.00$82131% above116.0x10.5%7153

Sector report card

Where VTEX ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Aug 6, 2026
    VTEX Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results
  • Business Wire•May 26, 2026
    VTEX Announces the Results of its 2026 Annual General Meeting of Shareholders
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 20
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-19
View on SEC →
Oct 20
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-19
View on SEC →
Oct 20
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-16
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR