AACCE Investments
ScreenerStocksIndicesPicksETFsBlogPricing

© 2026 ACCE Investments. All rights reserved.

ACCE Investments - Institutional-grade stock research for retail investors | BetaList
IndicesStocksETFsScreenerBlogGlossaryCompareMarket dataAdvisors
TermsPrivacyCookiesDisclaimerLegal noticeProfessional termsAboutContact
VRTX
ACCE-researched

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated Common Stock (VRTX) fair value

Healthcare · Biotechnology · NASDAQ · United States
$523.93-2.10%
Market cap $135.6BNext earnings 2026-11-02Updated Oct 19, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 60% above our fair value
Price
$523.93
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$327
Model range
$213 to $430
Fair value $327
Price $524
3 models fit Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated Common Stock and they disagree: 1 of 3 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Bronze55
Valued as a growth company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionVertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated Common Stock (VRTX)
Fair value (3 models)
$327
ACCE price target
$503
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 19 Oct 2026, 18:04 CEST; previously $492 since 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 19 Apr 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 19 Oct 2026, 18:04 CEST.
Price used: $524 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
60.1% above
-37.6% to fair value
ACCE score
68
out of 100
Analysts
81% buy
32 covering
P/E
30.5x
forward 24.1x
1-year return
+24.0%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Vertex sells Trikafta, Symdeko and Alyftrek, its cystic fibrosis modulator franchise, which treats the underlying CFTR defect in roughly nine in ten patients and has made it the dominant player in CF care for years. The moat is the scale of that franchise, its long patent runway, and a 38.1% operating margin that funds a pipeline in pain, kidney disease and type 1 diabetes without needing outside capital. The near-term story is whether the CF franchise keeps expanding into younger and broader patient groups while the newer programs move toward late-stage readouts. At 24.1x forward earnings against 29.6x trailing, the market is pricing in continued earnings growth on 12.5% revenue growth and a 23.5% ROE. Worth a deeper look to test how durable the CF cash flows are against the pipeline timelines.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Valuation premium to model
    Forward P/E 25.4 and EV/EBITDA 23.9 are elevated for 8% earnings growth, leaving limited margin of safety.
  • moderate
    Earnings growth deceleration
    Earnings YoY +8.0% trails revenue growth +12.5% and 5y CAGR +10.4%. Margin expansion masking underlying business slowdown.
  • moderate
    Insider selling concentration
    Last 10 disclosures show $4.59M in sales versus $0 in buys. No offsetting insider conviction signal.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Net margin of 35.0% and ROE of 23.5% show Vertex converts revenue into shareholder value exceptionally well.
  • Free cash flow of 2.6B dollars funds growth and returns while debt to equity stays minimal at 0.10.
  • Revenue grew 12.5% year over year, outpacing the 10.4% five-year average, signaling accelerating momentum.
Why it could disappoint
  • Forward P/E of 25.4x exceeds the sector median of 23.6x, pricing in growth the stock may not deliver.
  • Consensus fair value sits 3.6% below the current share price of 510.08 dollars, suggesting limited upside.
  • Free cash flow yield of 2.0% is thin, offering modest cash return relative to the risk-free rate of 5.2%.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 2, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

Ask ACCE

Valuation

INVESTOR
Where VRTX's valuation models land
Price
$523.93
Model fair value
$327
Model range
$213 to $430
Fair value $327
Price $524
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
Create a free account: 5 full stock pages a month, no card.

See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish81% buy · 32 covering analysts
● Strong buy 20● Buy 6● Hold 5● Sell 0● Strong sell 1
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
0 buys · 1 sell
Since Aug 26, 2026, 1 member
Average delay
8 days
From trade to public filing
Full trade list on ProDo politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+4.8%
1 month
+1.5%
3 months
+9.8%
6 months
+21.8%
YTD
+15.6%
1 year
+24.0%

SEC filings

Recent ACCE blog coverage

  • Biotech Catalysts Index Hits 957: Gene Therapy Revolution Accelerates
    ACCE Biotech Catalysts Index reaches 957 as gene therapy breakthroughs drive sector momentum. Vertex, Lilly, and BioMarin lead the transformation.
    2026-05-06

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
19 Oct 2026, 18:04 CESTFair value$327$492$500
19 Oct 2026, 18:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$500
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$492$271$510
30 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$271$276$528
12 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$276$288$515
5 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$288$481$557
25 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$481$487$550
23 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$487$480$550
20 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$480$345$530
22 Jul 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$345$455$482

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

Get the full VRTX page, free

Every model, the scenarios, fair value history, AI notes and the four questions. 5 full stock pages every month on the free plan, no card.

Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the full page.

Snapshot

Growth52Value40Quality91Momentum90Total68
Valuation
Trailing P/E
30.5x
Forward P/E
24.1x
PEG
1.90
P/B
6.46x
EV / Revenue
9.9x
Book value/sh
$79.92
Enterprise value
$125.0B
Profitability
ROE
23.5%
FCF yield
2.36%
ROIC
14.4%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.21
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
0.28

Member of

ACCE Biotech Catalysts

Price

+24.3% · 1Y

Ask anything about VRTX

Answered from Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 25% of peers
low 19.9x30.5xhigh 69.1x
ROEbetter than 83% of peers
low -39%24%high 24%
Div yieldbetter than 50% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 2.1%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated Common Stock$523.93$32760% above30.5x23.5%9168
REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. Common Stock$819.09$8473% below19.9x14.0%8671
MRNA Moderna Inc. Common Stock$202.63----39.0%3146
CSL.AX CSLA$196.14A$16023% above--15.8%5252
UCB.BR UCB€259.10€14381% above24.1x20.6%9576
ARGX argenx SE American Depositary Shares$875.76$399119% above30.3x23.6%9174
ONC BeOne Medicines Ltd. American Depositary Shares$382.27$152151% above69.1x14.7%7669

Sector report card

Where VRTX ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 9, 2026
    Vertex to Present New Data on ALYFTREK® at the North American Cystic Fibrosis Conference
  • Business Wire•Oct 7, 2026
    Vertex to Announce Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results November 2nd
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 5, 2026
    Vortex Energy Commissions Hydrogen and Helium Study at Robinsons River Salt Project
13 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 19
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-15
View on SEC →
Oct 19
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-15
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 10
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-08
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR