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VOLCAR-B.ST

Volvo Car AB (publ.) (VOLCAR-B.ST) fair value

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers · Nasdaq Stockholm · Sweden
kr 10.70-24.23%
Market cap kr 30.7BNext earnings 2026-10-23Updated Oct 22, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 16% above our fair value
Price
kr 10.70
Model fair valueConfidence: good
kr 9.19
Model range
kr 8.15 to kr 10.22
Fair value kr 9.19
Price kr 10.70
2 models fit Volvo Car AB (publ.) and they agree: 2 of 2 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Premium(i)
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionVolvo Car AB (publ.) (VOLCAR-B.ST)
Fair value (2 models)
kr 9.19
ACCE price target
kr 17.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 22 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 23 Oct 2026, 01:52 CEST.
Rating published on 22 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST.
Price used: kr 10.70 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 17:30 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
16.5% above
-14.2% to fair value
ACCE score
51
out of 100
P/E
3.3x
forward 3.7x
1-year return
-65.9%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Volvo Car AB (publ.) in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Volvo Car AB builds passenger vehicles, including the XC40, XC60, XC90 and the fully electric EX30 and EX90, sold through dealers and direct channels across Europe, North America and China. The company's edge is its safety brand and Swedish design identity, along with a fully electric lineup that gives it a credible path as combustion models face tighter emissions rules in Europe. The near-term story is execution on that electrification push: revenue fell 16.9% in the latest year, so the investment case rests on volume recovery and cost discipline rather than top-line momentum. At a 4.5 trailing P/E and a 0.8% operating margin, the market is pricing in a long stretch of margin repair rather than a return to prior profitability. That gap between a low multiple and a thin margin is the question worth working through before anything else.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 23, 2026

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where VOLCAR-B.ST's valuation models land
Price
kr 10.70
Model fair value
kr 9.19
Model range
kr 8.15 to kr 10.22
Fair value kr 9.19
Price kr 10.70
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Recent performance

1 week
-24.6%
1 month
-33.1%
3 months
-42.9%
6 months
-51.2%
YTD
-65.1%
1 year
-65.9%

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
23 Oct 2026, 01:52 CESTACCE price targetkr 17.00first publicationkr 14.12
22 Oct 2026, 12:04 CESTFair valuekr 9.19first publicationkr 14.36
22 Oct 2026, 12:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publicationkr 14.36

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

This security trades in SEK. Exchange-rate movements can increase or reduce the result in your own currency.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth43Value100Quality42Momentum17Total51
Valuation
Trailing P/E
3.3x
Forward P/E
3.7x
PEG
0.09
P/B
0.47x
EV / Revenue
0.1x
Book value/sh
kr 50.84
Enterprise value
kr 44.8B
Profitability
ROE
3.6%
FCF yield
38.47%
ROIC
0.1%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.26
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.05

Price

-66.2% · 1Y

Ask anything about VOLCAR-B.ST

Answered from Volvo Car AB (publ.) fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 3.3x3.3xhigh 43.3x
ROEbetter than 50% of peers
low -8%4%high 12%
Div yieldbetter than 17% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 5.1%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
VOLCAR-B.ST Volvo Car AB (publ.)kr 10.70kr 916% above3.3x3.6%4251
7211.T Mitsubishi Motors Corporation¥345.90--43.3x2.3%3453
7261.T Mazda Motor Corporation¥1085.00--19.5x5.9%4365
7201.T Nissan Motor Co., Ltd.¥268.70----7.7%1730
7202.T Isuzu Motors Limited¥2113.50--10.0x11.6%5257
TMPV.NS Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles Limited₹264.60----6743
HEROMOTOCO.NS Hero MotoCorp Limited₹5047.00--18.5x-7161

Sector report card

Where VOLCAR-B.ST ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…