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VMI

Valmont Industries Inc. Common Stock (VMI) fair value

Industrials · Conglomerates · NYSE · United States
$435.01-0.20%
Market cap $8.4BNext earnings 2026-10-20Updated Oct 23, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 45% above our fair value
Price
$435.01
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$299
Model range
$180 to $503
Fair value $299
Price $435
4 models fit Valmont Industries Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 1 of 4 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Bronze48
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionValmont Industries Inc. Common Stock (VMI)
Fair value (4 models)
$299
ACCE price target
$445
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 23 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST; previously $316 since 21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 24 Oct 2026, 03:20 CEST; previously $487 since 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 20 Oct 2026, 14:06 CEST.
Price used: $435 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
45.3% above
-31.2% to fair value
ACCE score
59
out of 100
Analysts
83% buy
6 covering
P/E
17.0x
forward 18.1x
1-year return
+5.8%
Dividend yield
0.69%

Valmont Industries Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Valmont makes engineered steel and concrete poles for utility transmission and distribution, lighting and traffic structures, and irrigation systems for agriculture, plus coatings and galvanizing services. Its moat is less about any single product than about being a qualified, one-stop supplier that utilities and highway contractors trust to deliver large, spec-sensitive structures on schedule. The near-term tailwind is grid and utility capex, which keeps the Utility Support Structures business busy as transmission and distribution spending rises. At 17.0x trailing and 16.6x forward earnings, with 6.5% revenue growth, a 29.8% ROE and a 14.8% operating margin, the stock is priced for steady execution rather than a rerating. It scores 59/100 and sits outside the major indexes, so the case rests on whether the utility backlog converts into margin expansion.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 24, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Score slipped over 90 days
    ACCE score fell from 68 to 63 over 90 days, with Growth at 56 and Value at 62. Worth checking which component drove the drop before sizing a position.
  • moderate
    Trades well above model fair value
    The price of $435.01 sits 45.3% above the model fair value of $299.42, so the stock already prices in more than the four-model consensus supports.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 17, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months reached $311M, showing the business turns sales into real cash.
  • Return on equity of 45.3% and a net margin of 11.7% point to a business that earns strong returns on shareholder money.
  • Analysts rating the stock Buy or Strong Buy make up 83% (5 of 6), and their mean price target sits 40.5% above the current price.
Why it could disappoint
  • The stock trades 45.3% above the model fair value of $299.42, so the consensus models do not support today's price.
  • At a forward P/E of 18.3x, the shares are priced below the sector median of 23.8x, but the free cash flow yield of 3.6% is modest.
  • The price implies cash flow growth of only 7.5% a year for five years, a demanding bar given revenue grew 6.5% last year.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where VMI's valuation models land
Price
$435.01
Model fair value
$299
Model range
$180 to $503
Fair value $299
Price $435
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish83% buy · 6 covering analysts
● Strong buy 3● Buy 2● Hold 1● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-2.1%
1 month
-7.6%
3 months
-10.5%
6 months
-12.8%
YTD
+8.1%
1 year
+5.8%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
24 Oct 2026, 03:20 CESTACCE price target$445$487$435
23 Oct 2026, 12:04 CESTFair value$299$316$436
21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CESTFair value$316$320$451
20 Oct 2026, 14:06 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$452
20 Oct 2026, 14:06 CESTFair value$320$343$452
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$487first publication$469
30 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$343$349$468
25 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$349$344$471
14 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$344$352$483
6 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$352$371$481

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth56Value66Quality74Momentum38Total59
Valuation
Trailing P/E
17.0x
Forward P/E
18.1x
PEG
0.67
P/B
5.23x
EV / Revenue
2.3x
Book value/sh
$91.49
Enterprise value
$9.8B
Profitability
ROE
30.2%
FCF yield
3.69%
ROIC
11.2%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.57
Dividend yield
0.69%
Beta
1.35

Price

+4.1% · 1Y

Ask anything about VMI

Answered from Valmont Industries Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 33% of peers
low 10.5x17.0xhigh 31.7x
ROEbetter than 83% of peers
low 6%30%high 31%
Div yieldbetter than 33% of peers
low 0.0%0.7%high 3.8%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
VMI Valmont Industries Inc. Common Stock$435.01$29945% above17.0x30.2%7459
COPEC.SN Empresas Copec S.A.CLP 6523.30--10.5x8.4%4460
7911.T TOPPAN Holdings Inc.¥2127.00--19.5x5.6%4865
7912.T Dai Nippon Printing Co., Ltd.¥2843.50--12.5x6.9%5250
5706.T Mitsui Kinzoku Company, Limited¥2078.50--10.6x30.6%8175
5201.T AGC Inc.¥5447.00--12.8x6.1%4860
SRF.NS SRF Limited₹2310.00--31.7x16.0%8063

Sector report card

Where VMI ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Sep 29, 2026
    Valmont Announces Timing of Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call
  • Business Wire•Sep 16, 2026
    Valmont to Participate in D.A. Davidson Industrials and Services Conference
  • Business Wire•Jul 28, 2026
    Valmont Announces Planned Board Chair Transition
3 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 22
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-20
View on SEC →
Oct 20
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-20
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 9
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-08
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR