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VIV
ACCE-researched

Telefonica Brasil S.A. American Depositary Shares (Each representing One Common Share) (VIV) fair value

Communication Services · Telecom Services · NYSE · United States
$12.96-0.92%
Market cap $20.7BNext earnings 2026-11-10Updated Oct 18, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 20% below our fair value
Price
$12.96
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$16.29
Model range
$10.59 to $25.90
Fair value $16.29
Price $12.96
5 models fit Telefonica Brasil S.A. American Depositary Shares (Each representing One Common Share) and they disagree: 2 of 5 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Discount(i)Bronze55
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionTelefonica Brasil S.A. American Depositary Shares (Each representing One Common Share) (VIV)
Fair value (5 models)
$16.29
ACCE price target
$12.70
Rating
Undervalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST; previously $20.59 since 14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST.
Price used: $12.96 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
20.4% below
+25.7% to fair value
ACCE score
65
out of 100
Analysts
13% buy
8 covering
P/E
16.6x
forward 12.1x
1-year return
+4.2%
Dividend yield
7.67%

Telefonica Brasil S.A. American Depositary Shares (Each representing One Common Share) in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Telefônica Brasil, the Vivo mobile and fixed-line operator, is the second-largest telecom in Brazil, selling postpaid and prepaid mobile plans, broadband, and pay-TV, with a market cap of about $19.4B. The moat is scale in a three-player mobile market and a fixed-broadband footprint that is hard to replicate, which supports an operating margin of 17.6% and a gross margin of 48.3%. Revenue growth of 7.6% is the number to watch, as it shows the business compounding faster than many regional telecom peers. At 15.6x trailing earnings and 11.3x forward, the stock prices in a meaningful earnings step-up, so the investment case rests on delivery of that growth rather than on multiple expansion. ROE of 9.9% is modest, which is the main reason this name warrants a deeper look on capital efficiency before anything else.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 13, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    ACCE score deterioration
    Score fell 7 points in 90 days (71 to 64). Moat pillar collapsed from likely ~70s to 56, signalling weakening competitive position or market share pressure.
  • moderate
    Moat score weakness
    Growth pillar at 56 is the lowest component. In telecom, this suggests commoditizing services, pricing pressure, or slowing subscriber growth relative to peers.
  • moderate
    Valuation multiple compression risk
    Forward P/E of 9.9 is deeply discounted to current 15.6, implying market expects earnings deceleration. QoQ growth of 1.9% vs YoY 18.5% confirms momentum is fading.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Free cash flow yield of 11.5% offers substantial income return at current valuation.
  • Consistent revenue growth of 7.6% year over year with 5-year average of 6.3% demonstrates resilience.
  • Share buybacks reducing dilution by 1.8% last year enhance per-share value creation.
Why it could disappoint
  • Return on invested capital of 5.6% trails cost of capital, destroying shareholder value.
  • Latest earnings missed expectations by 17.4%, signaling operational headwinds.
  • Only 13% of analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy, showing weak conviction.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 10, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

Ask ACCE

Valuation

INVESTOR
Where VIV's valuation models land
Price
$12.96
Model fair value
$16.29
Model range
$10.59 to $25.90
Fair value $16.29
Price $12.96
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish13% buy · 8 covering analysts
● Strong buy 1● Buy 0● Hold 6● Sell 0● Strong sell 1
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+3.6%
1 month
+11.2%
3 months
-7.8%
6 months
-19.3%
YTD
+9.3%
1 year
+4.2%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTFair value$16.29$20.59$12.51
18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTRatingUndervaluedfirst publication$12.51
14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$20.59first publication$12.16
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$12.70first publication$11.69

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth56Value96Quality71Momentum38Total65
Valuation
Trailing P/E
16.6x
Forward P/E
12.1x
PEG
0.90
P/B
1.50x
EV / Revenue
1.7x
Book value/sh
BRL 8.17
Enterprise value
$21.4B
Profitability
ROE
9.9%
FCF yield
10.80%
ROIC
5.6%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.30
Dividend yield
7.67%
Beta
0.19

Price

+2.1% · 1Y

Ask anything about VIV

Answered from Telefonica Brasil S.A. American Depositary Shares (Each representing One Common Share) fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 33% of peers
low 0.0x16.6xhigh 35.7x
ROEbetter than 33% of peers
low -112%10%high 31%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0%7.7%high 7.7%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
VIV Telefonica Brasil S.A. American Depositary Shares (Each representing One Common Share)$12.96$1620% below16.6x9.9%7165
TELIA.ST Telia Companykr 48.26kr 3347% above35.7x10.6%5759
BCE.TO BCEC$29.10C$4738% below4.2x30.5%7853
TEL.OL Telenorkr 127.50kr 128At fair value10.8x25.0%8449
RCI-B.TO Rogers Communications BC$46.43C$9249% below4.1x30.9%7870
BT-A.L BT Group£2.12£21% above19.3x8.5%5459
ECHO EchoStar Corporation Common Stock$85.79----112.3%3033

Sector report card

Where VIV ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Sep 3, 2026
    Vivendi: Results for the First Half of 2026
  • TMX Newsfile•Jul 28, 2026
    2Q26 Results: Telefonica Brasil S.A.
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 14
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-12-31
View on SEC →
Oct 14
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-12-31
View on SEC →
Oct 14
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-12-31
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR